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- Apr 2, 2011
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And therefore my argument is the opposite of silly. First try to understand before you run out and call anyone "silly". You are very quick to judge or harass persons, not the first time you've done that - you do it way too frequently, and shouldn't do it at all.
I only see HBM1/2 for highend cards now or in 2016 because its too expensive for lower cards - therefore it's (GDDR5X) good for middle to semi highend cards I'd say. I even would bet on that. You really expect a premier technology to be used on middle to semi high end cards? Me not. GDDR5X has a nice gap there to fill, I think.
Well that's no problem. If it arrives with HBM2, they can plan for it and produce cards with it (GDDR5X). I don't see why this would be a problem. And as I said, I only see HBM2 on highend or highest end (650$) cards. I think the 400 (if any)/500/650$ cards will have it - so everything cheaper than that will be GDDR5X, and that's not only "cheap cards". I don't see 200-400 as "cheap". Really cheap is 150 or less and this is GDDR5-land (not even GDDR5X) I think.
I contest these three points. Everything else I may not agree with, but there isn't any reason to believe it isn't possible.
Here's the post I quoted, paring out the unnecessary bits. I've highlighted the silliness. If I weren't being generous, I'd call garbage statments which are either factually incorrect or useless.
...I didn't talk about HBM one bit. But you're still wrong, HBM has already proven itself on Fiji cards - it's a fact that they would be even more bandwidth limited without HBM, as overclocking HBM increased performance of every Fiji card further. This has proven that Fiji has not too much bandwidth, it has proven that it can't have enough bandwidth. Besides HBM made Fiji possible - there would be no Fiji without HBM. The same chip with GDDR5 would've taken more than 300 W TDP, a no-go, or would have needed a lower clock speed, which is a no-go too, because AMD wanted to achieve Titan X-like performance. The 275W TDP of Fury X was only possible with HBM on it. So not only DID the increased bandwidth help (a lot), it helped making the whole card possible at all.
As you can see, most of this statement is silly. Allow me to tear into it though.
1) it's a fact that they would be even more bandwidth limited without HBM,
Really? Is it a fact? How then does Nvidia have the performance it has with Titan? You make a statement of false equivocation, based upon a faulty premise. Because HBM is designed to have higher bandwidth it must therefore be responsible for performance. Where are your facts?
2) overclocking HBM increased performance of every Fiji card further
Again, facts. What I've seen is overclocking HBM leads to 50% or less returns on improvement. For example, the cited 8% overclock only returns 4% increased numerical results. Technically overclocking does increase performance, but you're weaseling out of this argument by saying any increase is an increase. When 50% of your added effort is wasted without seeing real improvement then it isn't really a reasonable improvement.
3) Fiji has not too much bandwidth
This goes back to point two. If Fury X (not Fiji in general) was bandwidth limited an 8% increase in clocks would yield somewhere near 8% of improved performance. It doesn't, therefore your point is invalid. Rather than dismissing it, I call it a silly and unsubstantiated point.
4) proven that it can't have enough bandwidth
Same as 3.
5) there would be no Fiji without HBM
Except you're wrong. There would be no Fury inside of the form factor and thermal envelope they chose, that doesn't mean Fiji wouldn't exist. You're equating two entirely separate and unrelated topics without factual basis here.
6) 275W TDP of Fury X
Artificially chosen value by AMD. This is irrelevant to the implementation of HBM (as demonstrated by Nvidia).
7) So not only DID the increased bandwidth help (a lot), it helped making the whole card possible at all
You reiterated all of your previous points in a single sentence. Congratulations, but a house built without a solid foundation is going to collapse rather easily. You've drawn all of these conclusions, in the face of existing data that proves you wrong. My teachers called it cute when I did this in school. My bosses fired me for incompetence. You are denying reality, and therefore are either an idiot or silly. I choose to give you the benefit of doubt and assume silliness. We've all been guilty of that at some point in time.
As to HBM2 not being available/cost effective, may I ask what exactly you expect of GDDR5X? It's an as yet unmanufactured standard, without substantial testing behind it. It may be largely plug and play with older controllers, but it still has to be made by somebody. This means added costs as the process is proven out, additional costs for redesigns of controllers to actually see the benefits of GDDR5X (why would you switch to what has to be a more expensive type of memory while cheaper stuff is more readily available), and supply issues all their own.
What you're arguing for is that in the midst of pushing out HBM, both AMD and Nvidia will push out another new standard. Why? Why would you ever completely retool everything, with less than 12 months to design, test, rework, prototype, and have manufacturing specifications for a product line? It'd be insane to do so.
Let's offer the benefit of doubt again, and acquiesce to your theory (based on nothing) that 90% of cards will not be HBM based. In order to accept that we have to make the assumption that HBM2 is not being produced right now, and will in fact only see production late next year. Why would AMD and Nvidia let that happen? They know that their new processes will finally be out next year. They know that the shrink will produce more performance gains than the last two redesigns, because of its huge magnitude. They know that Pascal and Arctic Islands will be the time that everybody re-evaluates 3-4 year old cards and decides it's time to evaluate an upgrade. Knowing all of this, how do you come to the conclusion that they aren't already starting on HBM2 chip orders (yes, it was the interposer that was the issue with HBM1, I know)?
I refer to your statements as silly, because they make no logical sense. I don't directly call your opinions idiotic, because you've demonstrated a grasp on reality. Our opinions may differ, but you deserve the respect of being proven wrong rather than being dismissed out of hand for for saying things that are unconnected to observable and demonstrable reality. It would help your argument to bring facts to the table though. It's hard to argue point like "overclocking makes things faster" is inaccurate, when you don't go out and at least try to have factual support for your statements.
As to your personal opinions of me, I don't care. You are more than welcome to call me an ass, and there's no reason to defend myself against it. In the last month I've been misinterpreted so as to call everyone from West Virginia as victims of a lack of genetic diversity (further being stretched to personal insultation of a person I don't know), I've been accused of calling southerners all hicks and rednecks (despite never using the term), and I've more than once been proven wrong. None of us, in the US at least, have the right to not be offended. The point of a forum is to raise a substantive argument based upon facts, and have poorer arguments torn apart by reality. It's the only way we can make sure our beliefs are rooted in reality, and not fantasy.