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Semiconductor Market Extends Record Decline Into Fifth Quarter

TheLostSwede

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New research from Omdia reveals that the semiconductor market declined in revenue for a fifth straight quarter in the first quarter of 2023. This is the longest recorded period of decline since Omdia began tracking the market in 2002. Revenue in 1Q23 settled at $120.5B, down 9% from 4Q22. The semiconductor market is cyclical, and this prolonged decline follows the upsurge as the market grew to record revenues in each quarter between 4Q20 through 4Q21 following increased demand from the global pandemic.

The memory and MPU market are major areas of the semiconductor market that are contributing to the decline. The MPU market in 1Q23 was $13.1B, just 65% of its size in 1Q22 when it was $20B. The memory market fared worse, with 1Q23 coming in at $19.3B, just 44% of the market in 1Q22 when it was $43.6B. The combined MPU and memory markets declined 19% in 1Q23, dragging the market down to the 9% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) decline.




Commenting on the latest Omdia analyst, Cliff Leimbach, Senior Analyst said: "The semiconductor market is plagued by a lack of demand that has continued for multiple quarters and resulted in declining ASPs for many components. However, there is demand thanks to generative AI. NVIDIA has seen strong revenue growth as they lead in this space, reversing the performance of most semiconductor companies to begin 2023, but other semiconductor companies have yet to take advantage of this space in a similar way."

The decline of the memory market over the last three quarters has rearranged the market share rankings. One year ago, three of the top five semiconductor companies by revenue were memory companies, Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron. Only Samsung remains in the top ten rankings. The last time both SK Hynix and Micron were not in the top ten rankings was in 2008 illustrating the struggles faced by memory-focused semiconductor companies.

NVIDIA released their financial results after publication of the CLT report, and surpassed estimates on strength of the company's generative AI chips due to strong demand.

Infineon moved into the top ten this year following an 11% increase QoQ due to its strength in the automotive sector.

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This is what boom and bust looks like ?
This is what "This is a recession, but we dont want a recession because politically that would be bad, so were gonna change the definition of recession and refuse to acknowledge the recession" looks like.

We are in a full blown recession. Consumer spending is down, people are drowning in debt, prices are spiraling out of control. Every time I read a financial result and hear "we're expecting a recovery in 2023/2024" All I can see are poor unfortunate souls who have bought the line hook and sinker.
 
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In the case of semis, there was a massive boom due to remote working, video calls, lockdown gaming, etc. Combined with the free money.

Now almost everyone stocked up on tech and we get the mega bust.

Without AI, Nvidia would also be totally screwed.
 
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Maybe but outside of the commoditized x86 chips, DRAM, NAND & to a puny extent Android phones do you see any of the chipmakers lowering their prices? Has Apple lowered the prices of their products, AWS with Graviton, Google with Tensor or Alibaba with their custom chips powered services? Great times we live in where inflation continues to rocks the boat of middle class & yet the megacorps are still minting billions :nutkick:
 
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Looks like things are back to normal. Companies aren't looking to fill massive backorders anymore and people have caught up on updating/replacing hardware in the past few years. Of course, the impact of inflation isn't helping, but it seems like things are finally normalizing after the shortages are no longer an issue.
 
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Maybe but outside of the commoditized x86 chips, DRAM, NAND & to a puny extent Android phones do you see any of the chipmakers lowering their prices? Has Apple lowered the prices of their products, AWS with Graviton, Google with Tensor or Alibaba with their custom chips powered services? Great times we live in where inflation continues to rocks the boat of middle class & yet the megacorps are still minting billions :nutkick:

Unfortunately price increases stick very well but price decreases are much rarer. We are actually starting to see deflation and hopefully that forces some price decreases.
 
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Unfortunately price increases stick very well but price decreases are much rarer. We are actually starting to see deflation and hopefully that forces some price decreases.
SSDs are stupid cheap right now (at least, here in France, on Amazon).
 
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Total semiconductor still looks higher than q1 2020. Need this chart to go back to 2018. Probably highlight the pandemic greedflation even more.

I did help, I bought 64 GB kit the other week.
 
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