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Depends. Depends on how much you gain from such an attitude until someone challenges you in court, fine you a couple of billions, or decides -as a consumer- to ditch you for a competitor. Depends on how much you have become a necessity. And right now, Apple and Nvidia can enforce restrictions, put whatever prices they like, ignore competition and fines, or those 2-3 consumers who decide to go to the competitor, while keep making billions and expanding their influence and their image of being a necessity and the only option.People will always figure out a way to circumvent a closed ecosystem. The only way to prevent this is by making those circumventions illegal via your EULA, aka protectionism, which inherently decreases the appeal of your ecosystem as fewer people can use it. And eventually, you'll step too far, and someone will challenge your EULA in court, and you'll lose. This is exactly what has happened to Apple - after being allowed to dictate exactly how people use its products for far too long, the EU has finally stepped up to enforce consumers' rights. Court cases are bad for share prices, and especially bad if the company loses.
Therefore, closed ecosystems always ultimately fail, which means they are ultimately stupid. Expending massive amounts of effort in an attempt to protect them will ultimately fail, so this is also stupid.
The smart thing to do would be to start negotiating with other GPU vendors to come up with a shared open standard that just so happens to look a lot like CUDA, and just so happens to require very minimal translation from CUDA. Boom, you've immediately got a rung up on the competition because they have to expend way more effort to make their cards work with your not-CUDA. And because not-CUDA is so similar to CUDA and so easy to port over, users who are already using CUDA won't be unduly affected. As a bonus, because this standard is based on CUDA, NVIDIA would wield a lot of control over it - which is exactly what they want anyway.
Unfortunately, corporations rarely make logical decisions.
This move from Nvidia will only favor Nvidia, because it wouldn't hurt CUDA in any way. CUDA has become something like the only option for many. Think Windows and Microsoft. Microsoft has done it's mistakes the last 25 years (like Vista or Win8) and in every mistake, people where expecting it will lose market share, with Linux being the winner. Well, in desktops and laptops it's only losing against another monopoly, Apple. Linux is still at low single digit. This move from Nvidia comes just a few days after that post from Herkelman saying that Nvidia is a cartel, showing that Nvidia doesn't really cares if people realize that it acts like a cartel. On the contrary.