• Welcome to TechPowerUp Forums, Guest! Please check out our forum guidelines for info related to our community.

Localization of Chip Manufacturing Rising; Taiwan to Control 48% of Global Foundry Capacity in 2022, Says TrendForce

AleksandarK

News Editor
Staff member
Joined
Aug 19, 2017
Messages
2,579 (0.97/day)
According to TrendForce, Taiwan is crucial to the global semiconductor supply chain, accounting for a 26% market share of semiconductor revenue in 2021, ranking second in the world. Its IC design and packaging & testing industries also account for a 27% and 20% global market share, ranking second and first in the world, respectively. Firmly in the pole position, Taiwan accounts for 64% of the foundry market. In addition to TSMC possessing the most advanced process technology at this stage, foundries including UMC, Vanguard, and PSMC also have their own process advantages. Under the looming shadow of chip shortages caused by the pandemic and geopolitical turmoil in the past two years, various governments have quickly awakened to the fact that localization of chip manufacturing is necessary to avoid being cut off from chip acquisition due to logistics difficulties or cross-border shipment bans. Taiwanese companies have ridden this wave to become partners that governments around the world are eager to invite to set up factories in various locales.



Currently, 8-inch and 12-inch foundries are dominated by 24 fabs in Taiwan, followed by China, South Korea, and the United States. Looking at new factories plans post 2021, Taiwan still accounts for the largest number of new fabs, including six new plants in progress, followed in activity by China and the United States, with plans for four and three new fabs, respectively. Due to the advantages and uniqueness of Taiwanese fabs in terms of advanced processes and certain special processes, they accepted invitations to set up plants in various countries, unlike non-Taiwanese foundries who largely still build fabs locally. Therefore, Taiwanese manufacturers have successively announced factory expansions at locations including the United States, China, Japan, and Singapore in addition to Taiwan in consideration of local client needs and technical cooperation.

The focus of Taiwan's key technologies and production expansion remains in Taiwan, accounting for 44% of global wafer production capacity by 2025
In 2022, Taiwan will account for approximately 48% of global 12-inch equivalent wafer foundry production capacity. Only looking at 12-inch wafer production capacity with more than 50% market share, the market share of advanced processes below 16nm (inclusive) will be as high as 61%. However, as Taiwanese manufacturers expand their production globally, TrendForce estimates that the market share held by Taiwan's local foundry capacity will drop slightly to 44% in 2025, of which the market share of 12-inch wafer capacity will fall to 47% and advanced manufacturing processes to approximately 58%. However, Taiwanese foundries' recent production expansion plans remain focused on Taiwan including TSMC's most advanced N3 and N2 nodes, while companies such as UMC, Vanguard, and PSMC retain several new factory projects in Hsinchu, Miaoli, and Tainan.

TrendForce believes, since Taiwanese foundries have announced plans to build fabs in China, the United States, Japan, and Singapore, and foundries in numerous countries are also actively expanding production, Taiwan's market share of foundry capacity will drop slightly in 2025. However, semiconductor enclaves do not come together quickly. The integrity of a supply chain relies on the synergy among upstream (raw materials, equipment, and wafers), midstream (IP design services, IC design, manufacturing, and packaging and testing), and downstream (brands and distributors) sectors. Taiwan has advantages in talent, geographical convenience and industrial enclaves. Therefore, Taiwanese foundries still tend to focus on Taiwan for R&D and production expansion. Looking at the existing blueprint for production expansion, Taiwan will still control 44% of the world's foundry capacity by 2025 and as much as 58% of the world's capacity for advanced processes, continuing its dominance of the global semiconductor industry.

View at TechPowerUp Main Site
 
Joined
Oct 6, 2021
Messages
1,605 (1.41/day)
How would the data with the capacity of intel in comparison?
 
Joined
Jul 16, 2014
Messages
8,198 (2.17/day)
Location
SE Michigan
System Name Dumbass
Processor AMD Ryzen 7800X3D
Motherboard ASUS TUF gaming B650
Cooling Artic Liquid Freezer 2 - 420mm
Memory G.Skill Sniper 32gb DDR5 6000
Video Card(s) GreenTeam 4070 ti super 16gb
Storage Samsung EVO 500gb & 1Tb, 2tb HDD, 500gb WD Black
Display(s) 1x Nixeus NX_EDG27, 2x Dell S2440L (16:9)
Case Phanteks Enthoo Primo w/8 140mm SP Fans
Audio Device(s) onboard (realtek?) - SPKRS:Logitech Z623 200w 2.1
Power Supply Corsair HX1000i
Mouse Steeseries Esports Wireless
Keyboard Corsair K100
Software windows 10 H
Benchmark Scores https://i.imgur.com/aoz3vWY.jpg?2
The 48% 'control' could be used as an invitation for political invasion from China, I cant speculate it will happen but the potential is there.
 
Joined
Nov 4, 2005
Messages
11,980 (1.72/day)
System Name Compy 386
Processor 7800X3D
Motherboard Asus
Cooling Air for now.....
Memory 64 GB DDR5 6400Mhz
Video Card(s) 7900XTX 310 Merc
Storage Samsung 990 2TB, 2 SP 2TB SSDs, 24TB Enterprise drives
Display(s) 55" Samsung 4K HDR
Audio Device(s) ATI HDMI
Mouse Logitech MX518
Keyboard Razer
Software A lot.
Benchmark Scores Its fast. Enough.
48% of don't worry about whats happening behind Taiwan, no need to build your own FABs, there is no reason to expect that aggregating power in one country and with one company will result in any sort of abuse of the system. Never happened before....
 

Aquinus

Resident Wat-man
Joined
Jan 28, 2012
Messages
13,167 (2.81/day)
Location
Concord, NH, USA
System Name Apollo
Processor Intel Core i9 9880H
Motherboard Some proprietary Apple thing.
Memory 64GB DDR4-2667
Video Card(s) AMD Radeon Pro 5600M, 8GB HBM2
Storage 1TB Apple NVMe, 4TB External
Display(s) Laptop @ 3072x1920 + 2x LG 5k Ultrafine TB3 displays
Case MacBook Pro (16", 2019)
Audio Device(s) AirPods Pro, Sennheiser HD 380s w/ FIIO Alpen 2, or Logitech 2.1 Speakers
Power Supply 96w Power Adapter
Mouse Logitech MX Master 3
Keyboard Logitech G915, GL Clicky
Software MacOS 12.1
Joined
Aug 20, 2007
Messages
21,451 (3.40/day)
System Name Pioneer
Processor Ryzen R9 9950X
Motherboard GIGABYTE Aorus Elite X670 AX
Cooling Noctua NH-D15 + A whole lotta Sunon and Corsair Maglev blower fans...
Memory 64GB (4x 16GB) G.Skill Flare X5 @ DDR5-6000 CL30
Video Card(s) XFX RX 7900 XTX Speedster Merc 310
Storage Intel 905p Optane 960GB boot, +2x Crucial P5 Plus 2TB PCIe 4.0 NVMe SSDs
Display(s) 55" LG 55" B9 OLED 4K Display
Case Thermaltake Core X31
Audio Device(s) TOSLINK->Schiit Modi MB->Asgard 2 DAC Amp->AKG Pro K712 Headphones or HDMI->B9 OLED
Power Supply FSP Hydro Ti Pro 850W
Mouse Logitech G305 Lightspeed Wireless
Keyboard WASD Code v3 with Cherry Green keyswitches + PBT DS keycaps
Software Gentoo Linux x64 / Windows 11 Enterprise IoT 2024
The 48% 'control' could be used as an invitation for political invasion from China, I cant speculate it will happen but the potential is there.
I appreciate you using restraint rather than "it will certainly happen" ala an armchair general as many here do.

You are correct of course, the potential is certainly there.
 
Joined
Apr 24, 2020
Messages
2,709 (1.62/day)
The 48% 'control' could be used as an invitation for political invasion from China, I cant speculate it will happen but the potential is there.

On the one hand, yes, this makes Taiwan an incredibly valuable resource.

On the other hand, no. This makes Taiwan an incredibly valuable resource which the USA will more likely defend.

(Communist) China wants to take over Taiwan (aka: Kuomintang / Nationalist China, USA's ally during WW2) for political / cultural / historical reasons. I don't think USA's culture is strong enough to protect Taiwan / remnants of Kuomintang for historical/cultural reasons. Yes, they are our old allies and friends, but I feel like a lot of my fellow Americans have forgotten about the history from the 1940s through today. This is something our diplomats understand but not necessarily our citizens.

But USA understands MONEY, and semiconductors. The more semi-conductors Taiwan makes, the more USA will protect them.

----------

In this regards, I expect that if Taiwan's semiconductor share goes down, China is more likely to invade... because USA is less likely to defend.
 
Joined
Jul 16, 2014
Messages
8,198 (2.17/day)
Location
SE Michigan
System Name Dumbass
Processor AMD Ryzen 7800X3D
Motherboard ASUS TUF gaming B650
Cooling Artic Liquid Freezer 2 - 420mm
Memory G.Skill Sniper 32gb DDR5 6000
Video Card(s) GreenTeam 4070 ti super 16gb
Storage Samsung EVO 500gb & 1Tb, 2tb HDD, 500gb WD Black
Display(s) 1x Nixeus NX_EDG27, 2x Dell S2440L (16:9)
Case Phanteks Enthoo Primo w/8 140mm SP Fans
Audio Device(s) onboard (realtek?) - SPKRS:Logitech Z623 200w 2.1
Power Supply Corsair HX1000i
Mouse Steeseries Esports Wireless
Keyboard Corsair K100
Software windows 10 H
Benchmark Scores https://i.imgur.com/aoz3vWY.jpg?2
feel like a lot of my fellow Americans have forgotten about the history from the 1940s through today
Its not that we/they forgot, attention changed with its induction into Communist party. That lead to flat ignoring the pink elephant
 
Joined
Apr 24, 2020
Messages
2,709 (1.62/day)
Its not that we/they forgot, attention changed with its induction into Communist party. That lead to flat ignoring the pink elephant

The communists began to rise to power in 1920s. The 2nd Sino-Japanese war put a pause on the Communist vs Kuomintang battles. In general, Japan destroyed more Kuomintang territory during Sino-Japanese war and WW2. So the Communists had a severe advantage in the mid-1940s. Then Kuomintang retreated into the Taiwan island and renamed itself Taiwan (from "Republic of China") when the civil war was lost.

The Kuomintang have always been US-allies. 100 years ago, 50 years ago, and today as Taiwan. For a good number of decades, it was the USA's stance that Taiwan was the rightful ruler of China, though their resounding defeat on the Chinese mainland prevents anybody from really proclaiming this today. There's a reason why Taiwan still flies the old 1930s-era Chinese flag. Because they're functionally the same government as the 1930s China... just with less... mainland China.

In any case, the island of Taiwan is obviously a Chinese territory. Taiwan itself could be seen as the loser to the civil war, except Taiwan has always been in control of the Kuomintang / Republic of China forces (not to be confused with the Communist Republic of China)
 
Last edited:
Top