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AMD Radeon Captures 45% Market Share in Japan, Could Be Even Higher if Supply Chain Allows

AleksandarK

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AMD's Radeon GPU lineup has achieved a remarkable 45% market share in Japan, representing the brand's strongest position in the competitive graphics card market, according to AMD Japan executive Sato during a recent industry roundtable. This significant market penetration marks a turning point for Team Red in a region historically dominated by NVIDIA. The announcement came during a multi-vendor panel featuring representatives from ASRock, ASUS, GIGABYTE, MSI, PowerColor, and Sapphire at an AMD-focused event in Akihabara. While celebrating the milestone, industry partners pushed for more ambitious targets, with ASRock's Haraguchi challenging AMD to aim for a 70% market share. ASUS executive Ichikawa humorously noted the brand's historical underdog status, remarking, "We've never been the ruling party!"

The event also featured insights on AMD's latest hardware from prominent tech influencers. "Sir Gradeon" praised the Radeon RX 9070 series for its overclocking headroom and substantial VRAM capacity, highlighting that the GPUs don't require power supply upgrades. Fellow influencer "Shurarara!!" emphasized the RX 9070 XT's price-to-performance ratio, noting its ability to run demanding titles like Monster Hunter Wilds at 4K resolution with appropriate settings. Supply constraints emerged as a significant concern during the roundtable, with AIB partners expressing frustration over GPU allocation limitations despite strong demand. The candid admission from AMD's representative about the company "not being used to selling graphics cards" at this volume sparked laughter among attendees, showing the unexpected nature of AMD's market surge. The event attracted substantial attention, with long lines forming before doors opened. Attendees participated in the X-Walk Post Campaign across Akihabara's electronics district, with early purchasers of AMD products receiving exclusive promotional items.



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The reps from MSI must've been sweating at least a little.
 
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That's because the rival's prices are the most expensive in the world, with an RTX 5080 card going for ~3000$ on both Amazon.co.jp and Rakuten.co.jp
The prices are really out of control and common sense in that country...
 
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I still think AMD screwed up a golden opportunity. It was never going to be about that they couldn't compete in the high end if they couldn't produce the volume in the middle to you know, actually ship enough to capture the target market share. I feel like AMD, Nvidia and Intel are just talking hypotheticals when it comes to desktop GPUs but in the end only care about the data center market.

What's my point? Ignore any and everything anyone says about the GPU market including me. It is out of control and there is no sense in it.
 
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I feel like AMD, Nvidia and Intel are just talking hypotheticals when it comes to desktop GPUs but in the end only care about the data center market.

Bingo. Though, I think Intel has the greatest motivation to concentrate on the GPU market.
 
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I still think AMD screwed up a golden opportunity. It was never going to be about that they couldn't compete in the high end if they couldn't produce the volume in the middle to you know, actually ship enough to capture the target market share. I feel like AMD, Nvidia and Intel are just talking hypotheticals when it comes to desktop GPUs but in the end only care about the data center market.

What's my point? Ignore any and everything anyone says about the GPU market including me. It is out of control and there is no sense in it.
It’s not that they don’t care, but they care far more about the one that makes them more money. It’s like if you had two jobs. You need both jobs, but, if all other things are equal, you’re going to base your work schedule off the job that pays better. In the end, it’s the AI dream that’s ruining the consumer GPU market. All these companies just happen to be in the right place at the right time.
 
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The reps from MSI must've been sweating at least a little.
Doubt it. nVidia and their partners, make loads more profit of fewer cards sold, than AMD for their entire stock. And at the same time, nVidia, sells eight times more, with their completely slumberous Consumer/Gaming GPU division.

So MSI probably gains from the nVidia/intel exclusivity more, than wasting resourses on AMD-powered videocard gimmics. At least this is more honest, because earlier MSI was just showing the disgrace for AMD products. Much like other dual-camp AIB partners.
Asus used to sh*te on AMD cards, just utilizing the existing coolers, designed for nVidia. The same goes for AMD motherborads, which, much like the graphic cards, were a tier below intel/nVidia counterparts. Gigabyte is not much different.
At this point, they all may abandon producing any AMD SKUs whatsoever, and still stay in profit.
 
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truthsayer

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It’s not that they don’t care, but they care far more about the one that makes them more money. It’s like if you had two jobs. You need both jobs, but, if all other things are equal, you’re going to base your work schedule off the job that pays better. In the end, it’s the AI dream that’s ruining the consumer GPU market. All these companies just happen to be in the right place at the right time.
AMD prioritizing AI is only true for R&D, it is not true for manufacturing. RDNA4 uses TSMC N4 and GDDR6, both are mature with a lot of supply, and are not used by any AMD data center products.

We know that (1) Wafer orders have a lead time of >1 year, and (2) RDNA's MSRP was lowered last minute (original MSRP: $700).
So AMD set out to target the midrange with RDNA4, but they were unwilling to be aggressive and set the price target at $700, AMD estimated RDNA4 demands@$700 to order wafers a year ago, finally, AMD realized they can't get away with $700 and lowered MSRP last minute, and there are simply not enough chips for a $600 product.

TL;DR RDNA4 supply issues are not due to AI, but AMD shooting themselves in the foot trying to get away with too much.
 
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That's because the rival's prices are the most expensive in the world, with an RTX 5080 card going for ~3000$ on both Amazon.co.jp and Rakuten.co.jp
The prices are really out of control and common sense in that country...
As opposed to often ~$2000 in the US (I see there is current stock for ~$1600+). I've got to believe it's at least somewhat proportional in many places.
By somewhat proportional, I mean the nVIDIA cards are priced ridiculously and add almost zero incentive for the intended market (RT @ 1080p native/1440 up-scaling/4k up-scaling with FG).

If $600, even $1000 is beyond the scope of it's relative capability. The people of Japan can apparently do value and when good-enough (and not) calculations, which is even stated in the article wrt MH.
I understand that price is not generally $600 right now, but the other is also not $1000. The 5080 is double (and apparently triple), 9070xt is still not *really* comparatively nuts relative to MSRP price/perf of 5080.
Hence why they're selling EVERYWHERE, even at those higher prices. Again...until they don't. But I truly do believe these cards are aimed at are tried-and-true AMD market of ~400-450/500-550, eventually.
Once they can meet demand, and who knows how long that will be, wafer allocation elsewhere or not. They've got a bit before they need to worry about any competition (from say a new console and/or 3nm parts).
That's when market-share should truly increase; by bringing that tier of performance to a new market and to more people unwilling to spend, say over ~$500, on a GPU, which there are many.

I like the conversation about aiming for 70% market.
To me that signifies AIBs want not only similar performance at lower pricing (as N48 is to AD103/B203), but better performance at similar/lower pricing.

And, FWIW, I do expect UDNA (if all goes to plan and both companies aim as they typically do) to be exactly that.
If it captures the actual sales, IDK, as the marketing distortion (re: certain features/scenarios of games optimized toward their arch [which are few in reality but heavily used by the press]) of nVIDIA is peak.
Are people waking up? They might me. They might not be. Will it happen generally; outside of places like Japan (which I often see as trendsetters)? Time will tell.
Doubt it. nVidia and their partners, make loads more profit of fewer cards sold, than AMD for their entire stock. And at the same time, nVidia, sells eight times more, with their completely slumberous Consumer/Gaming GPU division.

So MSI probably gains from the nVidia/intel exclusivity more, than wasting resourses on AMD-powered gimmics. At least this is more honest, because earlier MSI was just showing the disgrace for AMD products. Much like other dual-camp AIB partners.
Asus used to sh*te on AMD cards, just utilizing the existing coolers, designed for nVidia. The same goes for AMD motherborads, which, much like the graphic cards, were a tier below intel/nVidia counterparts. Gigabyte is not much different.
At this point, they all may abandon producing any AMD SKUs whatsoever, and still stay in profit.

A post by somebody that clearly does not understand the customers of each company. You should not see things as 'a tier below' but rather those customers buying 'what is required' and nothing frivolous.
It has literally always been this way for AMD/ATi vs Intel/nVIDIA, but in different respects. Be it a 250w+ 14900k vs a cheaper 65-120w 7800X3D or a 1080p60 RT card vs a way more-expensive 1080p66 card.
The AMD choices literally similar uses for much lower cost, sometimes with real advantages (like a 7900xtx vs 5080 in 4k raster), and every piece of the ecosystem is similarly-targeted toward people w/ that ideology.

This has been true for literal decades and for different reasons. Since the Athlon XP and (9700pro, but really) RV670. Bulldozer and Fiji/Vega excluded, as I don't see them as symbolic of the overall brands.

The thing MSI is going to find out is that nVIDIA adjusts *their* prices each subsequent generation to capture any gains the AIBs may have made in the former, while limiting supply to keep best unit/margin ratio.
I think AMD stays pretty consistant in their market aims and general costs. ~$250/500 (perhaps currently $300-600 to capitalize on market situation), with each satisfying a market (1080p/1440p).
A halo that competes with whatever nVIDIA has one chip down. Similar market aims as one tier up from nVIDIA, but perhaps some concessions to keep those prices (ala RT/ML until now, maybe PT/bw now).
But still satisfies the market of 4k while remaining in that generally-accepted pricing structure. What happens when nVIDIA can't sell their parts at riduclously high comparative margins for a company like MSI?
One way or another, nVIDIA will find a way to make the same or more money, partners be damned. This has been proven over and over again. If relative margins falture, the AIBs will be the ones taking the hit.
All-the-while AIBs are clamoring for allocation (for those margins to keep them afloat), where-as nVIDIA will constrain it to keep ASP high (as that benefits them most, especially when silicon can be used elsewhere).

The problem is AMD didn't have GPUs that people (I would say understood correctly, but regardless) wanted to buy. Now they do, and will likely continue going forward given the leaps to catch up in RT/FSR.
While path-tracing might not truly be on most peoples' radar for quite a while (perhaps the generation following the next one, if not the next major node shrink after that). As such, AMD's position will likely improve.
Now they simply need to hit the 1080p, 1440p, and 4k RT markets (and with the former two up-scaling to the later in others). And they most certainly will. Likely for similar prices as always.
nVIDIA will try to find another gimmick outside general use-cases for margin, which this time is likely path tracing (unless AMD too adds more bandwidth/cache to their next arch and they are similar).
If they'll succeed, I don't know. Many don't understand that when those features debut they are designed to be outdated consistantly until a standard emerges (as we see with RT/older cards using newer DLSS).
And this how both companies sell cards; by 'progress' in a new field that consistantly is outdated each gen until standardized, or selling that standard (and nothing more) as affordable (and to best TAM) as possible.
For a company like MSI, as always, I would argue sales volume is important above all-else. I feel they will/would get it from AMD (especially in the future), where-as from nVIDIA this is much more doubtful.
 
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truthsayer

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Doubt it. nVidia and their partners, make loads more profit of fewer cards sold, than AMD for their entire stock. And at the same time, nVidia, sells eight times more, with their completely slumberous Consumer/Gaming GPU division.

So MSI probably gains from the nVidia/intel exclusivity more, than wasting resourses on AMD-powered gimmics. At least this is more honest, because earlier MSI was just showing the disgrace for AMD products. Much like other dual-camp AIB partners.
Asus used to sh*te on AMD cards, just utilizing the existing coolers, designed for nVidia. The same goes for AMD motherborads, which, much like the graphic cards, were a tier below intel/nVidia counterparts. Gigabyte is not much different.
At this point, they all may abandon producing any AMD SKUs whatsoever, and still stay in profit.
WHAT? AIBs are literally squeezed dry by chip makers and don't make more from higher MSRP products. MSI's operating margin is 13% while Nvidia's is 64%, where do you think it come from?

1. Nvidia gets paid by AIBs instead of the retailers. To increase margins Nvidia raise the price of chips for AIBs more than they raise MSRPs (you can't raise MSRP too much each generation).
AIBs DON'T MAKE MORE FROM HIGHER MSRP, AIBs are squeezed from both sides, "MSRP feels like charity" is what they are saying.

2. As TDP increased drastically in the last few generations, AIBs take all the cost of extra VRM and cooling without any consideration from Nvidia.
EVGA literally exited the GPU market after the 3000 series because of the "bleak financial outlook" of making aftermarket GPUs.

3. AIBs enter into purchase agreements with retailers at set prices, AIBs get nothing extra if the retailers increase prices based on demand.

Since AIBs don't make more from higher MSRPs, they need volume, and volume has completely dried up since the GTX1060, RX480 era.
MSI ditching AMD GPUs is about reducing capacity and costs to stay alive in a dying market rather than shifting capacity to more profitable products.
 
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No offence, but the last thing I will believe, is that Asus, MSI, and maybe Gigabyte, to bits of profit on their cards. Surely, nVidia, pushes them to the wall, with their FE MSRP, and nonexistent FE stock. But those listed above, make more premium SKUs, with no cetrain MSRP, that can be sold at absolutely any price, with absolutely any margins. Unlike the direct partners, which simply have to make more of close to "reference/MSRP models.

I'm pretty sure, if not the "Balackwell" zero stock, Asus, MSI, and Gigabyte would rather invest even more into allocaion for it, despite infinite failures, and somewhat "success" of RDNA4. It's like everyo AIB was jumping in the queue to make the GTX 400 "Fermi" cards, despite AMD wiping the floor with them with much better cards.

Also, I'm not the AMD/ATi fan. They are as sh*te greedy company, as any other one on the market. They deserve what they do. But... both AMD and ATi, in their peak moments, had their stuff been at worse position, than it's rivals. Even when they had their own foundries, and used superior nodes. When Asus just begin to make the first ROG motherboards, like Maximus, and plenty of others for Intel, they've managed to make only one line for AMD- Crosshair, and it was using nForce. While the boards, with superior Xpress 3200, which didn't even need a cooler, for great SATA support, and X32 lines for both Crosshair and SLI, intel were a hot mess (except some P45).

The nVidia situation was a bit different, but still was dominating through the mind share. They had EVGA, BFG, and XFX, simply stomping the TUL, with PowerColor, Sapphire, also GeCube, and Club3D. Only HIS, seemed to be somewhat different, but that is another topic.

And then, during Ryzen inception, nobody wanted to invest in motherboards for Ryzen, up until the Zen 3. They even were saving on a single UEFI chip... On the other hand, the same motherboard makers were happy to make the most expensive models for each new socket, almost every year. And even pricing them lower than AMD ones... But that's AMD's own cr*p, and it's their duty to protect their own brand and public image. If they don't care, nobody will. But they've decided to be the "Red" nVidia clone.
 
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