Trendforce: SSD Price-per-GB Could Drop as Low as $0.1 by Year's End

[Raevenlord]

A report from technology market analyst Trendforce places SSD's pricing in sharp decline, with price per GB being projected to hit as low as $0.1 by year's end. Citing oversupply in the NADN flash market and an impending price war to allow manufacturers to sell out accumulating inventory, this is one of those clear cases of a win for consumers - which, after the shenanigans in the DRAM market, is about time. Trendforce further states that the price reductions should render 128 GB SSDs obsolete, as they mostly are by now, with 512 GB capacities becoming the mainstream choice for system integrators and DIY.

Pricing evolution in the market also places premium NVMe solutions at an only 6% premium over SATA offerings, showcasing the increased cost savings that manufacturers have achieved with the reduction in price for NVMe controllers, and the lower amount of physical materials needed to put an NVMe SSD together compared to a SATA-based alternative. Furthermore, Trendforce says that value PCIe-based solutions have a 0% price difference compared to SATA-based ones, so the option for the older form factor should only fall upon how many NVMe/PCIe sockets users' motherboards have available to populate.



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[R0H1T]

It's already here $0.1/GB was hit a while back

 

[kastriot]

So we go for $0.05/GB?

 

[silentbogo]

$0.1/GB is already here with TLC.
Not even all QLC manufacturers are on board yet (still waiting for Toshiba/WD and their next iteration of BiCS), but it might get much lower than $100/TB even this year.
Kinda eyeing NVME RAID0 of 2x1TB Intel 660p on my next upgrade, if no decent GPUs from AMD coming this year.

 

[R0H1T]

Exhibit A ~ Size Does Matter: Intel SSD 660p 2TB Is Now Just $185

 

[Valantar]

If we read this as $0.1 becoming normal at normal capacities rather than a best-case scenario at the highest capacities, I'm all for it.

Still, I have to admit I first misread this as $0.01, which had me ever so slightly skeptical. I don't think $10 1TB SSDs are coming any time soon

 

[TesterAnon]

So, when its the next "Flooding" going to happen so prices magically increase out nowhere?

 

[OneMoar]

If we read this as $0.1 becoming normal at normal capacities rather than a best-case scenario at the highest capacities, I'm all for it.

Still, I have to admit I first misread this as $0.01, which had me ever so slightly skeptical. I don't think $10 1TB SSDs are coming any time soon

even at 0.1 the math is still wrong lol

 

[blobster21]

Good. Make it drop even lower.

 

[silentbogo]

If we read this as $0.1 becoming normal at normal capacities rather than a best-case scenario at the highest capacities, I'm all for it.

It's across the board, and not just in US.
My to-go SSDs from Patriot and Goodram are at 11-12c per GB even at low-capacity models like 120-240GB (and that's in Ukraine, with double taxing).
Also look at PCPartsPicker and sort by price/GB. There are models in this category of any size, from 480 to 2000GB

 

[Valantar]

It's across the board, and not just in US.
My to-go SSDs from Patriot and Goodram are at 11-12c per GB even at low-capacity models like 120-240GB (and that's in Ukraine, with double taxing).
Also look at PCPartsPicker and sort by price/GB. There are models in this category of any size, from 480 to 2000GB

Hm. I might just not be paying attention to the dollar exchange rate. Anyhow, lower SSD prices is great for everyone, so I'd obviously welcome further drops. We have 25% VAT here in Norway, so that does drive our prices up, but I guess there are some drives even here around that price/GB.

even at 0.1 the math is still wrong lol

0,01 x 1000 = 10. That's not very difficult.

 

[moproblems99]

Time for the 2TB NVME is coming.

0,01 x 1000 = 10. That's not very difficult.

Must be that the , to . conversion isn't exactly 1:1.

 

[OneMoar]

0.01 != 0.1

 

[AzraeiHalim]

In my country cheapest can get was $0.5 per GB. 500GB SSD SATA prices can get 2TB of HDD here. So only 240GB SSD 'normal' here. Other then that simply better add HDD for extra space

 

[silentbogo]

In my country cheapest can get was $0.5 per GB.

I find it hard to believe. Literally the first link in google search "SSD prices in Malaysia" gets me 1TB Samsung QVO for 675RM (~$160-165), a bunch of sub-100RM small 120GB drives from various manufacturers. The cheapest ones were old 120GB Sandisks on sale for 68RM($16-17).
Intel 660p prices are exactly the same as what I would get in my country.
Yes, overall it's more expensive than most places, but it's the first random storefront I found and its wa-a-a-a-a-a-y far off the claimed 50c/GB.

 

[Valantar]

0.01 != 0.1

This is what started the whole debacle:

If we read this as $0.1 becoming normal at normal capacities rather than a best-case scenario at the highest capacities, I'm all for it.

Still, I have to admit I first misread this as $0.01, which had me ever so slightly skeptical. I don't think $10 1TB SSDs are coming any time soon

that the , to . conversion isn't exactly 1:1.

In Norwegian, the decimal marker is ",", not ".". Apparently more countries/languages use a comma than a point.

 

[AzraeiHalim]

I find it hard to believe. Literally the first link in google search "SSD prices in Malaysia" gets me 1TB Samsung QVO for 675RM (~$160-165), a bunch of sub-100RM small 120GB drives from various manufacturers. The cheapest ones were old 120GB Sandisks on sale for 68RM($16-17).

Sorry mistake calculation. Yes $0.1 / GB. but this month we have special month make everything much cheaper for sell. So usually $0.15~$0.2 / GB but 2TB HDD still can get $49 here (around $40 during promo season). That's was $0.025 / GB. Where better value per GB. Even so, in here most popular is combination an 120GB NVMe SSD or 240GB SATA SSD with HDD. Having apps/software to open up below 5seconds and still can have HDD as media storage already consider 'above' average person can have in term of storage due to 'average person' / 'most people' here not even have SSD in their laptop/PC at first place. Average person salary here no even above $270 per month except they make own business or take additional job. Only government worker here salary above $490 most of it.

 

[Prima.Vera]

Still the NVMe drives are ridiculously overpriced compared to the SATA ones.

 

[Valantar]

Still the NVMe drives are ridiculously overpriced compared to the SATA ones.

Things are evening out, though. The delta isn't 2x any more, and I'm guessing we'll see (close to) parity within a year, at least for low-end drives (heck, we already have QLC NVMe drives matching TLC SATA ones). Paying a bit more for more performance is fine, but I agree that it still needs to come down.

 

[silentbogo]

Still the NVMe drives are ridiculously overpriced compared to the SATA ones.

And DDR4-4000 is way overpriced comparing to DDR4-2133, so are faster CPUs against slower CPUs, sports cars against family cars etc. What's so surprising about it? You pay more money - you get 3-5 times the bandwidth.

 

[Th3pwn3r]

And DDR4-4000 is way overpriced comparing to DDR4-2133, so are faster CPUs against slower CPUs, sports cars against family cars etc. What's so surprising about it? You pay more money - you get 3-5 times the bandwidth.

For me it was less cable clutter and footprint.

 

[Valantar]

And DDR4-4000 is way overpriced comparing to DDR4-2133, so are faster CPUs against slower CPUs, sports cars against family cars etc. What's so surprising about it? You pay more money - you get 3-5 times the bandwidth.

... and a barely-perceptible increase in real-world performance. Still arguably worth it, though, as the worst-case performance is usually WAY better.

 

[moproblems99]

In Norwegian, the decimal marker is ",", not ".". Apparently more countries/languages use a comma than a point.

I know what it means. My point was that the only way .01 X 1000 doesn't = 10 is if ',' doesn't = '.'

It was a joke, and I admit a bad one.