Maps, science, data & statistics tracking of COVID-19

[HTC]

In a "flashback to the 70s and 80s", Portugal has "hijacked" a public TV channel and will start "tele-escola" (school via TV) this month: this is so that they can finish this school year as soon as possible, and they have cut short the usual exams required in some specific school years.

I'm old enough to remember this on TV, back then.

It's already under way the arrangements to have the full year available next school year as well, should the need arise.

 

[Gmr_Chick]

I don't know how bad the situation is in USA, but it seems there are now a few good news around the world.

First an update from Denmark. Infected people are climbing, but far less than expected and for 9 days straight now people needed hospitalized or respirator has been going down or said with other words. Denmarks health care system is far from being overwhelmed and a few placed for Covic-19 patients has even been shut down as it seems there are no need for it. But not shut more down than they can be reopen If the virus somehow manage to go ballistic in cases again.

So ind sted Denmark has send some of the respirators we don't need know to help Italy and money with them to help them in more need.

Denmark is even after Easter beginning the first phase of reopening the country. First phase will be schools to reopened, next phase if the virus doesn't begin to climb again with infected, will be small business reopen like restaurants and threathers. Next phase is to be in beginning of May.

Status for Denmark is:
Total infected: 5819 (this number includes all, also who have recovered again)
Recovered: 1773
Hospitalized in critical state: 113
Dead: 247 mostly elderly with other health issues. But a few young people have been in hospital but not critical.
Active cases: 3800

So far it seems it is going the right way. Denmark whas fast enough to lock down the country and prevent Italy levels of infected

Also a few other European countries has reported to reopen after Easter or by end of April. Norway, Germany, island and even Italy is planning a reopening. Italy infected cases has been going down lately and so have other countries as well including Denmark. So it seems the virus has now peaked in many countries. Just that Denmark seems to have peaked already now is great as I and danish government expected the virus to first peak by end of April or beginning of May. But it seem the virus all ready now peaking 2-3 weeks before expected. This is great as this means Denmark and properly other countries can reopen faster than expected, still slowly and it will still takes weeks or perhaps months before many countries are fully open. But just that things seems to happen faster than expected is good news for people that want to go back to there normal life al throw that is still a good amount of time away yet. But if some countries can reopen faster it is also good news for the economy as the longer the lock down is, the more severe the damage is.

Also i think this gives hope for USA can over time get this virus under control all throw it seems hopeless now, but remember it also seems hopeless for Italy and they are now planning for reopen at the end of April, slowly opening off cause. All countries needs to open up slowly or else the virus will boom again. But what I am trying to say is that even the most plage country in Europe or Italy seems to have managed to get the virus some short of control now. This gives hope for USA i think to also get the virus under control.

Situationen her i USA er utroligt dårlig takket være regeringens abysmalt langsomme reaktion tidligt, skønt mange statsledere har været fantastiske, herunder guvernøren for min stat.

Tak for opdateringen! Jeg har en ven i Danmark, der bekræfter den samme ting. Jeg håber inderligt, at dit land får en fuld bedring, ven. Bliv sikker, hold dig sund!

 

[Tomgang]

Situationen her i USA er utroligt dårlig takket være regeringens abysmalt langsomme reaktion tidligt, skønt mange statsledere har været fantastiske, herunder guvernøren for min stat.

Tak for opdateringen! Jeg har en ven i Danmark, der bekræfter den samme ting. Jeg håber inderligt, at dit land får en fuld bedring, ven. Bliv sikker, hold dig sund!

Som situationen ser ud lige nu i Danmark, ser det lovende ud med af få bugt med virusen og vi kan begynde at genåbnet langsomt. Det kommer stadig til at tage nogle måneder før alt er genåbnet, men langsomt er nødvendigt, ellers vil virusen bare blomster op igen i løbet af få uger.

Enelig er jeg personligt mere bange for de økonomiske konsekvenser efter virusen. At hele verden lukker ned koster dyrt. Jeg er meget spændt på hvordan USA kommer gennem det her med nu 17 mio arbejdsløse og det vil formentlig stige endnu mere i nu og USA har jo heller ikke den samme hjælp med dagpenge som Danmark har, derfor kommer amerikanske borgere uden job med meget gæld i store problemer den kommende tid da hvad jeg har læst mig frem til at mange knap nok kan betale regninger hver måned som arbejdsløs.

Jeg mistede selv mit job i marts, men dagpenge system gør da jeg kan betale regningen m.m. En rum tid i nu.

Håner bare hele verden snart kan genåbne, men der går noget tid i nu inden alle lande kan åbne fuld op.

 

[the54thvoid]

^^ English speaking forum please.

 

[FordGT90Concept]

USA crossed half a million cases as of less than an hour ago.
152.64 cases per 100,000
5.69 deaths per 100,000

New York...is cautiously optimistic because ICU population has fallen:

New York 'cautiously optimistic' with first daily drop in ICU COVID-19 patients

New York Governor Andrew Cuomo said on Friday that the number of coronavirus patients in intensive care units across the state dropped in the last day, offering a glimmer of hope that the surge in critical care hospitalizations might be leveling off.

www.reuters.com

Another milestone crossed yesterday: 100,000 dead globally:

Global coronavirus death toll hits 100,000, cases over 1.6 million

The number of deaths linked to the novel coronavirus reached 100,000 on Friday, as the tally of cases passed 1.6 million, according to a Reuters tally.

www.reuters.com

 

[the54thvoid]

UK just had its highest daily death total. Higher than any day Italy had. 980.

 

[HTC]

Portugal's numbers have been updated:



- 15987 confirmed infected --- 515 more
- 266 recovered --- 33 more
- 470 fatalities --- 35 more
- 130300 suspected cases --- 6736 more
- 1551993 tests taken --- over 1.4M more????? Must be a typo!
- 3961 waiting for test results --- 548 less
- 25432 under watch from authorities --- 482 less
- 1175 hospitalized --- 4 less
- 233 in ICU --- 7 more

A reduction in the number of new cases of over 1K, VS yesterday: very inconsistent the number of new cases in Portugal, as the following pic shows:

 

[Devon68]

In a "flashback to the 70s and 80s", Portugal has "hijacked" a public TV channel and will start "tele-escola" (school via TV) this month: this is so that they can finish this school year as soon as possible, and they have cut short the usual exams required in some specific school years.

We have that right now. If i'm not mistaking all elementary school children have classes on weekdays on a few TV channels.

We are in quarantine since March 23 and still the number of cases keep rising by 200 every day.
My last post on this was on April 3rd when we had 1171 infected and 31 dead.
Now we have 3380 infected and 71 dead.
They say the next week should be critical.

 

[P4-630]

We have that right now.

What country?

 

[Devon68]

What country?

Serbia.

 

[Tatty_Two]

We have that right now. If i'm not mistaking all elementary school children have classes on weekdays on a few TV channels.

We are in quarantine since March 23 and still the number of cases keep rising by 200 every day.
My last post on this was on April 3rd when we had 1171 infected and 31 dead.
Now we have 3380 infected and 71 dead.
They say the next week should be critical.

In general it takes up to 3 weeks before any useful analysis of the impact of a lockdown becomes known, it's a sad fact that if there is a positive impact then infection rates start to slow but death rates often rise until you reach a peak where things stabilise but peaks can last 2 - 3 weeks with still high fatalities before the curve for both infection rates and deaths lowers with any significance. Obviously this can be different dependant on a number of factors such as population, culture and measures imposed by governments etc.

We have been on a fairly stringent lockdown also since 23rd March and it will be reviewed along with the stats later this coming week, unlike many, I am hoping for at least another 4- 6 weeks before any relaxation but in fairness I am not really directly affected by the economic pressures that lockdowns bring so it's easier for me to say that, I appreciate that many feel differently.

 

[HTC]

In general it takes up to 3 weeks before any useful analysis of the impact of a lockdown becomes known, it's a sad fact that if there is a positive impact then infection rates start to slow but death rates often rise until you reach a peak where things stabilise but peaks can last 2 - 3 weeks with still high fatalities before the curve for both infection rates and deaths lowers with any significance. Obviously this can be different dependant on a number of factors such as population, culture and measures imposed by governments etc.

We have been on a fairly stringent lockdown also since 23rd March and it will be reviewed along with the stats later this coming week, unlike many, I am hoping for at least another 4- 6 weeks before any relaxation but in fairness I am not really directly affected by the economic pressures that lockdowns bring so it's easier for me to say that, I appreciate that many feel differently.

Italy's lockdown is the "oldest" one besides China and, though the percentage daily increase is falling, it's still rising with over 4K cases per day.

Something's not right: with their lockdown measures, new cases should have dropped to @ most hundreds per day, not thousands.

This virus is being transmitted by something OTHER than what we currently know: it's the only thing that makes sense to me.

 

[trparky]

This virus is being transmitted by something OTHER than what we currently know: it's the only thing that makes sense to me.

Please don't give me any more nightmare fuel, I have enough supply of that.

 

[Tatty_Two]

Italy's lockdown is the "oldest" one besides China and, though the percentage daily increase is falling, it's still rising with over 4K cases per day.

Something's not right: with their lockdown measures, new cases should have dropped to @ most hundreds per day, not thousands.

This virus is being transmitted by something OTHER than what we currently know: it's the only thing that makes sense to me.

I think like most places with high populations (New York, London, Rome & Milan), in the main it's the "so called" essential workers, I say so called only because there appears to be a lot of them that aren't and they all crowd public transport during rush hours with standing room only with no room or spacing and touching each other still, then when they finish work they go back home to the suburbs and increase the risk of infection there.

I have a friend that works for a utility company so he is an essential worker but he is not simply because all he does is electronically read people's water meter's so the company can send us a bill, if he was maintenance fixing leaks etc then fine but there are loads of un-essential workers working here and at a guess most other places too.

Edit: This is a pic of a London Underground train during the rush hour last week, all of course essential workers ...……………….

 

[Tomgang]

^^ English speaking forum please.

Ah sorry

This article may be of interest to people wanting to know about countries starts to reopen. My own country Denmark is one of the countries in this article. So I do feel a little special and proud that a little country like Denmark can be one of the first to start reopen. This is still a slow and long reopen how ever that can take a few months before we are fully open and that is off cause given that the virus doesn't make a come back.

Read the article here for those of interest. It is in English.

These countries are reopening after coronavirus -- here's how they're doing it | CNN

Certain countries in Europe -- Germany, Denmark, the Czech Republic, Austria and Norway -- are beginning to ease their coronavirus restrictions. How have they got to this point and what lies ahead?

edition.cnn.com

 

[HTC]

I think like most places with high populations (New York, London, Rome & Milan), in the main it's the "so called" essential workers, I say so called only because there appears to be a lot of them that aren't and they all crowd public transport during rush hours with standing room only with no room or spacing and touching each other still, then when they finish work they go back home to the suburbs and increase the risk of infection there.

I have a friend that works for a utility company so he is an essential worker but he is not simply because all he does is electronically read people's water meter's so the company can send us a bill, if he was maintenance fixing leaks etc then fine but there are loads of un-essential workers working here and at a guess most other places too.

Edit: This is a pic of a London Underground train during the rush hour last week, all of course essential workers ...……………….


View attachment 151190

It's quite possible ... judging by that pic alone ...

Meanwhile, i though of another possibility: what if the incubation period can be much LONGER than we think?

 

[Caring1]

Edit: This is a pic of a London Underground train during the rush hour last week, all of course essential workers ...……………….


View attachment 151190

And not a mask in sight, despite London having a high occurance of the virus and mortality.

It's quite possible ... judging by that pic alone ...

Meanwhile, i though of another possibility: what if the incubation period can be much LONGER than we think?

Another possibilty is people can be carriers without showing symptoms, as has happened multiple times in the past.

 

[trparky]

And not a mask in sight, despite London having a high occurance of the virus and mortality.

Are these people stupid?

 

[FordGT90Concept]

Kremlin warns of huge influx of Moscow patients as coronavirus toll climbs

The Kremlin said on Saturday a "huge influx" of coronavirus patients was beginning to put a strain on hospitals in Moscow as Russia's death toll rose to more than 100.

www.reuters.com

 

[lexluthermiester]

Something's not right: with their lockdown measures, new cases should have dropped to @ most hundreds per day, not thousands.

It does show one thing clearly: The lockdown isn't working and this is being witnessed elsewhere in the world as well.

 

[FordGT90Concept]

Infection Trajectory: See Which Countries are Flattening Their COVID-19 Curve

The number of COVID-19 cases around the world continues to grow, but each country has a different infection trajectory. This chart tells the story.

www.visualcapitalist.com

Looks like they're all flattening or maintaining to me.

 

[HTC]

It does show one thing clearly: The lockdown isn't working and this is being witnessed elsewhere in the world as well.

It IS working: just not as well as expected.

Infection Trajectory: See Which Countries are Flattening Their COVID-19 Curve

The number of COVID-19 cases around the world continues to grow, but each country has a different infection trajectory. This chart tells the story.

www.visualcapitalist.com

Looks like they're all flattening or maintaining to me.

Wrong log scale in that graph: it should be 2 instead of 10.

It's multiplying by 10 fold each horizontal line when it should "just" double. Why, you may ask? Because it's closer to the R-0 value of this virus as well as being an easier to follow graph. It would also show a "flatter" curve, better depicting the efforts the various countries have made thus far.

EDIT

In such a graph, anything over 45º inclination and the steps taken thus far aren't enough while anything below 45º inclination and the steps are taking effect to curb down the spread. Obviously, the lower the angle, the better the country is tackling the "problem".

 

[lexluthermiester]

It IS working: just not as well as expected.

Marginally at best. There are several major aspects to this virus which make isolation ineffectual to it's transmission: 1. It travels through the air and can do so for a considerable distance. 2. It can survive in water micro-droplets for days when not in direct sunlight and for hours in direct sunlight. 3. The estimates of incubation period are proving to be far more varied that previously thought. The virus can stay in a persons system for up to 2 months before any symptoms arise. 4. Person to person transmission is preventable but takes proper education of the populace, which was not done.

If the world's populace had been warned AND educated about proper, effective personal hygiene, the numbers would be much lower. Isolation is NOT the answer. Proper personal hygiene and PPE is.

 

[HTC]

Marginally at best. There are several major aspects to this virus which make isolation ineffectual to it's transmission: 1. It travels through the air and can do so for a considerable distance. 2. It can survive in water micro-droplets for days when not in direct sunlight and for hours in direct sunlight. 3. The estimates of incubation period are proving to be far more varied that previously thought. The virus can stay in a persons system for up to 2 months before any symptoms arise. 4. Person to person transmission is preventable but takes proper education of the populace, which was not done.

If the world's populace had been warned AND educated about proper, effective personal hygiene, the numbers would be much lower. Isolation is NOT the answer. Proper personal hygiene and PPE is.

2 months? Source, please?

I'd say both measures @ the same time can produce the best results, as soon as possible. I do agree the populace in general should be better educated, regarding this.

 

[lexluthermiester]

2 months? Source, please?

I can't post that as it was an internal memo and confidential. However, that info will be made pubic once the study is complete. The original estimates and information was based on a study of 108 patients observed between Jan 4th to Feb 24th. It was a small sample size and other, ongoing studies, are showing new data. Because of where I work, we are given advisories based on information collected but not made public yet.