Maps, science, data & statistics tracking of COVID-19

[HTC]

Portugal's numbers have been updated:



On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 20206 confirmed infected --- 521 more
- 610 recovered --- no change
- 714 fatalities --- 27 more
- 187604 suspected cases --- 24893 more
- 235878 tests taken --- no change
- 4959 waiting for test results --- 207 less
- 27947 under watch from authorities --- 2491 more
- 1243 hospitalized --- 10 less
- 224 in ICU --- 4 less

We crossed the 20K infected barrier: a milestone we would rather have avoided ...

 

[HTC]

Portugal's numbers have been updated:



On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 20863 confirmed infected --- 657 more
- 610 recovered --- no change
- 735 fatalities --- 21 more
- 198353 suspected cases --- 10749 more
- 235878 tests taken --- no change
- 4739 waiting for test results --- 220 less
- 30805 under watch from authorities --- 2858 more
- 1208 hospitalized --- 35 less
- 215 in ICU --- 9 less

We've never had a day with fatalities over 35 IIRC but, "little" by "little", it adds up quite a bit, to the current figure

The good news is both hospitalized as well as ICU numbers got reduced.

 

[Vayra86]

NL Update... still going down, breaking records daily in that sense.

We're still on 'intelligent' lockdown. Consensus is growing that we really need/want/should open schools again, especially for the youngest. I think we're likely to follow up on Denmark very soon.

Deaths per day: 67 per todays count

Hospitalized per day; 75 today

Note; 'Today' counts are the past 24 hours going from 14.00 each day.

 

[the54thvoid]

UK rates are still high but they're not exponential - still, the cases are steady, as are the deaths. We should be declining but I guess we're doing something wrong...

Out of interest, looking at population densities for the countries with highest death rates:

USA - 40615 (Deaths)
Italy - 23660
Spain - 20852
France - 19718
UK - 16060

USA - 91 (people per square mile)
Italy - 520
Spain - 239
France - 306
UK - 724

 

[Vayra86]

UK rates are still high but they're not exponential - still, the cases are steady, as are the deaths. We should be declining but I guess we're doing something wrong...

View attachment 152142


Out of interest, looking at population densities for the countries with highest death rates:

USA - 40615 (Deaths)
Italy - 23660
Spain - 20852
France - 19718
UK - 16060

USA - 91 (people per square mile)
Italy - 520
Spain - 239
France - 306
UK - 724

Well, if you look at our graph, I think its a similar trend. After exponential growth is out, there is still a lot of data that needs to be recovered and processed, because exponential means 'we can't predict how fast it'll go' and it means chaos in which the last thing you'd care about is counting heads. Thats why you get these odd peaks and valleys, its the aftermath really.

Averages don't do this crisis any justice, really, just as little as comparisons do. Every region, even cities have their own dynamic. That really struck me yesterday... I went out to the nearby city (live in rural area myself, 25.000 ppl village) and I know how it usually is over there... walking through the center of town right now is just so weird. I can totally imagine how big of a change it is if you're actually living in a city, and how much harder this thing hits as well. Over in my village, most of it is business as usual, except for shopping, but even that is recovering and finding ways to reopen 'with social distancing'. That same move in a city would be impossible, the crowd is just going to overwhelm any business.

Another example is the US and New York. Low ppl per sq/m but huge pop. hubs where it is the polar opposite. Averages miss that completely.

 

[the54thvoid]

We have another problem in the UK (I'm sure others do too) and that is care homes (old folks homes). Believe it or not - those deaths are not in the UK official figures. The body that oversees care homes believe another 4000 can be added to the UK figure (which is for hospital deaths only). So, combined, care homes are one fifth of the UK number and until recent news coverage - they had terrible supplies of PPE.

Also the official death toll from NHS workers (contracting Covid from workplace) is 43. TFL (Transport for London) says 26 of its drivers have died of it.

The transmission of this virus is a huge problem. It'll surge once people start relaxing too much.

 

[Tatty_Two]

We have another problem in the UK (I'm sure others do too) and that is care homes (old folks homes). Believe it or not - those deaths are not in the UK official figures. The body that oversees care homes believe another 4000 can be added to the UK figure (which is for hospital deaths only). So, combined, care homes are one fifth of the UK number and until recent news coverage - they had terrible supplies of PPE.

Also the official death toll from NHS workers (contracting Covid from workplace) is 43. TFL (Transport for London) says 26 of its drivers have died of it.

The transmission of this virus is a huge problem. It'll surge once people start relaxing too much.

449 deaths just reported for last 24 hours, that is the 3rd or 4th day on the trot of lowering numbers, I agree the figures are scary although infection rates and hospitalisations are also reducing day on day, I think the peak has happened and passed (last week when we were getting 800's and 900's per day) and we are hopefully on that downwards curve, god help us if we are not, I also agree that any significant relaxation of the lockdown anytime soon seems like a risk I would rather not take.

As for the Deaths per square mile, we have a greater population than Italy but with approx 15% less land mass, we have pretty much the same population as France with less than half of their land mass...... not ingredients conducive to stopping the spread of a highly contagious virus sadly

 

[HTC]

We have another problem in the UK (I'm sure others do too) and that is care homes (old folks homes). Believe it or not - those deaths are not in the UK official figures. The body that oversees care homes believe another 4000 can be added to the UK figure (which is for hospital deaths only). So, combined, care homes are one fifth of the UK number and until recent news coverage - they had terrible supplies of PPE.

Also the official death toll from NHS workers (contracting Covid from workplace) is 43. TFL (Transport for London) says 26 of its drivers have died of it.

The transmission of this virus is a huge problem. It'll surge once people start relaxing too much.

Portugal adds those to it's numbers: a significant portion of Portugal's death toll numbers have precisely that origin.

Also, and regardless of whatever else they had, if they had COVID-19, they are considered "dead by COVID-19" and added to the official numbers.

Out of interest, looking at population densities for the countries with highest death rates:

USA - 40615 (Deaths)
Italy - 23660
Spain - 20852
France - 19718
UK - 16060

USA - 91 (people per square mile)
Italy - 520
Spain - 239
France - 306
UK - 724

Actually, there's quite a flaw with that: if you take New York and use it's numbers for both deaths and land mass, the number of people for square mile will likely be higher than UK's.

 

[Vayra86]

We have another problem in the UK (I'm sure others do too) and that is care homes (old folks homes). Believe it or not - those deaths are not in the UK official figures. The body that oversees care homes believe another 4000 can be added to the UK figure (which is for hospital deaths only). So, combined, care homes are one fifth of the UK number and until recent news coverage - they had terrible supplies of PPE.

Also the official death toll from NHS workers (contracting Covid from workplace) is 43. TFL (Transport for London) says 26 of its drivers have died of it.

The transmission of this virus is a huge problem. It'll surge once people start relaxing too much.

Yes, this is becoming apparent everywhere and I hate to say this, but I think it is a problem that was deliberately mentioned 'too late'. For obvious reasons nobody wants to say out loud. Harsh... Not counting them at all... man that is just horrible. Are the nursing homes over there also locked down, in that visiting is limited or prohibited? Just imagine that... not being able to visit your parents and when they die, they're not even part of the statistic.

Actually, there's quite a flaw with that: if you take New York and use it's numbers for both deaths and land mass, the number of people for square mile will likely be higher than UK's.

Yea minus London... enough people over there to rival our entire country... never mind, I see its about half the population of NL Still...

 

[Tatty_Two]

Yes, this is becoming apparent everywhere and I hate to say this, but I think it is a problem that was deliberately mentioned 'too late'. For obvious reasons nobody wants to say out loud. Harsh... Not counting them at all... man that is just horrible. Are the nursing homes over there also locked down, in that visiting is limited or prohibited? Just imagine that... not being able to visit your parents and when they die, they're not even part of the statistic.



Yea minus London... enough people over there to rival our entire country... never mind, I see its about half the population of NL Still...

Yep, care homes are locked down, no family allowed to visit, just about to enter week 5 of this lockdown, there is a viral war going on in some of those homes with literally minimum wage care staff with insufficient PPE trying to cope without the resources and training hospitals and their staff have.

 

[HTC]

Portugal's numbers have been updated:



On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 21379 confirmed infected --- 516 more
- 917 recovered --- 307 more
- 762 fatalities --- 27 more
- 202769 suspected cases --- 4416 more
- 271962 tests taken --- 36084 more
- 5009 waiting for test results --- 270 more
- 30646 under watch from authorities --- 159 less
- 1172 hospitalized --- 36 less
- 213 in ICU --- 2 less

The reason both recovered and tests taken have had such huge increases is because those stats weren't updated in the two previous days. The REALLY good news is that both hospitalized and ICU numbers dropped, for the 3rd day in a row.

This shutdown, according to our Government, is costing the country 2772M Euros per month: Portugal will likely experience it's strongest economy contraction in our country's recorded history, according to the Government's current projections.

 

[rtwjunkie]

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April 21, 2020 for Louisiana. First update by me since April 10th

24,854 cases (19,253 on April 10th)
1,405 deaths (755 on April 10th)
1,798 hospitalized (2,054 on April 10th)
297 on ventilators (479 on April 10th)
141,657 tests have been conducted (92,280 on April 10th)

Some state stats for Louisiana as of April 20th:

 

[biffzinker]

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April 21, 2020 for Louisiana. First update by me since April 10th


24,854 cases (19,253 on April 10th)
1,405 deaths (755 on April 10th)
1,798 hospitalized (2,054 on April 10th)
297 on ventilators (479 on April 10th)
141,657 tests have been conducted (92,280 on April 10th)

Some state stats for Louisiana as of April 20th:

Were definitely not there yet no matter how much the Republican/Democrat parties would like everything to go back to normal for the economy. Loosen those restrictions so all hell breaks loose, and there's more collateral damage. I'm surprised Alaska has managed to keep this as under control as it's possible considering Alaska is a known international hub of travel.

 

[FordGT90Concept]

Rural can loosen, urban cannot, simply because of the population density. Even then, no large events/gatherings can happen.

 

[HTC]

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April 21, 2020 for Louisiana. First update by me since April 10th


24,854 cases (19,253 on April 10th)
1,405 deaths (755 on April 10th)
1,798 hospitalized (2,054 on April 10th)
297 on ventilators (479 on April 10th)
141,657 tests have been conducted (92,280 on April 10th)

Some state stats for Louisiana as of April 20th:

Almost double the deaths in a 11 day period: DAMN

The good news is the number of those in ICU is substantially smaller, while the number of hospitalized has also decreased, though to a lesser extent.

One observation about the underlying conditions part of the stats: this being a respiratory virus, one would expect those already with pulmonary problems to be the hardest hit but that's not the case @ all.

 

[rtwjunkie]

Almost double the deaths in a 11 day period: DAMN

The good news is the number of those in ICU is substantially smaller, while the number of hospitalized has also decreased, though to a lesser extent.

One observation about the underlying conditions part of the stats: this being a respiratory virus, one would expect those already with pulmonary problems to be the hardest hit but that's not the case @ all.

I noticed that about the underlying conditions too. High blood pressure was number 1, something the CDC has not listed on their website. I don’t know about other medical authorities around the world.

Yes, our rate of infection and hospitalization has dropped. I expect we shall see more deaths still as people on life support for weeks can no longer hang on.

 

[HTC]

I noticed that about the underlying conditions too. High blood pressure was number 1, something the CDC has not listed on their website. I don’t know about other medical authorities around the world.

Yes, our rate of infection and hospitalization has dropped. I expect we shall see more deaths still as people on life support for weeks can no longer hang on.

This is the REAL problem and one that is often not mentioned: those that require hospitalization STAY hospitalized for quite a LONG period, regardless of if they ended up requiring ICU or not: this is ALSO the main difference between this virus and flu / pneumonia because those don't require such long hospitalization periods, usually.

EDIT

There's "two case studies" where you can observe this: one is the Diamond Princess cruise ship and the other is that USA air carrier which name's escaping me right now.

Those that had the virus in the cruise ship and required hospitalization, how long did they require it for? Since this was quite some time ago, has everyone that survided been considered cured yet?

That carrier is different because it's much more recent and most, @ the time, were a-symptomatic. How about currently? I have no access to such data so i don't know either way.

 

[FordGT90Concept]

Here's the Louisiana list sorted by frequency with category relating to cause of death in parenthesis:
1. Hypertension (Heart)
2. Diabetes (Diabetes)
3. Chronic Kidney Disease (Kidney disease)
4. Obesity (Heart)
5. Cardiac Disease (Heart)
6. Pulmonary (Heart)
7. Congestive Heart Failure (Heart)
8. Cancer (Cancer)
9. Neurological (Stroke and cerebrovascular diseases)
10. Asthma (Chronic lower respiratory disease)

Here's the list of most frequent cause of death on death certificates:
1. Heart disease
2. Cancer
3. Accidents
4. Chronic lower respiratory disease
5. Stroke and cerebrovascular diseases
6. Alzheimer's disease
7. Diabetes
8. Influenza and pneumonia
9. Kidney disease
10. Suicide


Now attempting to merge the two to see if there's anything exceptional (number in parenthesis aligns with leading causes of death normally):
1. Heart (#1): Hypertension, Obesity, Cardiac Disease, Pulmonary, Congestive Heart Failure
2. Diabetes (#7)
3. Chronic Kidney Disease (#9)
4. Cancer (#2)
5. Neurological (#5)
6. Asthma (#4)

Asthma being really low is shocking. Just saw a paper today that stressed "air pollution" as the most significant risk factor:

https://projects.iq.harvard.edu/files/covid-pm/files/pm_and_covid_mortality.pdf

Anyway...the real shocker is diabetes and kidney disease. They jump way up as risk factors from the rest. Kidney disease makes some sense...because dialysis isn't optional. Not sure why diabetes is so high...

Diabetes During the COVID-19 Pandemic

People with diabetes need to take special care to avoid coronavirus (COVID-19). Here are a few practical tips, including keeping your blood sugar under control.

www.webmd.com

Ah, weakened immune system.

 

[Tatty_Two]

Kidney disease certainly is not a shocker here, that list which in effect is those most at risk with these underlying conditions formed the basis of a quarantine policy here 5 weeks ago for the extremely vulnerable, my wife is a Nurse who suffers from Chronic Kidney disease, based on her condition she was risk assessed 5 weeks ago and has been off work on full pay ever since, to be reviewed after 12 weeks off.

Downside to this story of course is ………………….. I am having to spend more time with her than at any time in our 38 year marriage but at least she is safe.

 

[HTC]

Portugal's numbers have been updated:



On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 21982 confirmed infected --- 603 more
- 1143 recovered --- 226 more
- 785 fatalities --- 23 more
- 210302 suspected cases --- 7533 more
- 284741 tests taken --- 12779 more
- 3219 waiting for test results --- 1790 less
- 30646 under watch from authorities --- no change
- 1146 hospitalized --- 26 less
- 207 in ICU --- 6 less

The REALLY good news is that both hospitalized and ICU numbers dropped, for the 4th day in a row.

 

[the54thvoid]

Moved a couple of posts to the Lounge thread (video about masks).

 

[FordGT90Concept]

I missed this one a few weeks back. It looks like they're updating it though. Graphs the rate of death count growth per day per country:

Breaking the wave

Measuring the death toll of COVID-19 and how far we are from stopping it.

graphics.reuters.com

Looks like most of the world has it contained.

 

[HTC]

Portugal's numbers have been updated:



On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 22353 confirmed infected --- 371 more
- 1201 recovered --- 58 more
- 820 fatalities --- 35 more
- 219848 suspected cases --- 9546 more
- 300525 tests taken --- 15784 more
- 4048 waiting for test results --- 829 more
- 30342 under watch from authorities --- 304 less
- 1095 hospitalized --- 51 less
- 204 in ICU --- 3 less

The REALLY good news is that both hospitalized and ICU numbers dropped, for the 5th day in a row: i'm definitely seeing a trend here!

 

[Tatty_Two]

UK update for today
Infection and hospitalisations continue to drop daily, if feels to me we are a little slow moving from that "plateau" in terms of deaths to a real downward curve.

Daily	23,560 Tests	14,629 No of people tested	4,583 tested positive	616 fatalities
Total	583,496	425,821	138,078	18,738

 

[HTC]

Btw, @Tatty_One : what's with the number of recovered in UK?

OP's Johns Hopkins' link reports only 701: so few with that many infected? Even Portugal, with under 1/6 of the infected number has much more than that.