Maps, science, data & statistics tracking of COVID-19

[freeagent]

It’s in my home town now. Setting daily records. I suspect it will probably get bad too. The numbers that we had when this started vs now is a little scary. It almost didn’t exist here, now it’s full steam ahead. And people are idiots.

 

[dragontamer5788]

It will not end. Even with a vaccine it will likely remain present among us. Like the flu, except with different symptoms. What we will gain over time is better ways to treat, avoid permanent damage, etc. And a vaccine will likely bring some form of base resistance, and likely temporary immunity.

Another thing we will gain over time is knowing our way around organizing society so that it doesn't catch us by surprise. That will probably be the path to truly removing the measures and restrictions in place now. Many countries are already moving towards a regional approach, or very localized one.

Its not the best sort of news, but that is my realistic view of all this at this point in time. No use hiding from it.

It really comes down to how effective the vaccine will be.

The ideal would be a near 99% effectiveness rate, with permanent immunity. But maybe the vaccine will only be 30% effective with only 6 months of temporary immunity. In the first case, we can wipe out the virus. In the second case, we'll be in a better position, but we'll need to come up with another, more permanent solution. (And maybe the permanent solution is to build huge factories that can make 600,000,000 doses per year).

EDIT: The flu is the way it is because flu vaccines have wildly different efficacy rates with only temporary immunity. You're only immune for a year or two, requiring a shot every year to stay protected. But if the "new flu vaccine" is a 30% sucker, then everyone gets sick that year even with a high vaccination rate.

 

[HTC]

Portugal's numbers have been updated:



On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 13086 active cases --- 47 more
- 41021 recovered --- 141 more
- 1805 fatalities --- 4 more
- 33821 under watch --- 567 less
- 55912 confirmed infected --- 192 more

- 325 hospitalized --- 4 more
- 41 in ICU --- 3 less

- 1945123 tests taken --- 48448 more - last updated August 23rd

We've been having single digit daily death toll, or less (zero deaths), for the last 47 consecutive days: last time we reached double digits was on July 9th.

 

[Deleted member 24505]

Where I live, there are so many people, who think it is all a hoax. I saw a story about two Americans who thought the same, they both caught it, but never went to doctors, kinda thought, it's not that bad. The guys wife died, and he now realises how foolish they were.

 

[harm9963]

Under belly about to get worst with flu season in a few months.

 

[HTC]

Portugal's numbers have been updated:



On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 13283 active cases --- 197 more
- 41184 recovered --- 163 more
- 1807 fatalities --- 2 more
- 56274 confirmed infected --- 362 more

- 1958651 tests taken --- 13528 more - last updated August 24th
- 33782 under watch --- 39 less
- 311 hospitalized --- 11 less
- 38 in ICU --- 3 less

We've been having single digit daily death toll, or less (zero deaths), for the last 48 consecutive days: last time we reached double digits was on July 9th.

Our Health site changed the layout again, so i opted to start using it, like before: will do so from now on.

 

[harm9963]

So close! last thing we need in Harris county.

 

[HTC]

Portugal's numbers have been updated:



On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 13507 active cases --- 234 more
- 41357 recovered --- 173 more
- 1809 fatalities --- 2 more
- 56673 confirmed infected --- 399 more

- 1976482 tests taken --- 13528 more - last updated August 25th
- 33866 under watch --- 84 more
- 317 hospitalized --- 6 more
- 35 in ICU --- 3 less

We've been having single digit daily death toll, or less (zero deaths), for the last 49 consecutive days: last time we reached double digits was on July 9th.

I said i was going to continue with pics from our main Health site but they messed up ... take a look @ the following pic and compare it's data with the top right pic:



Negative deaths???? And that's not the only mistake ... which is why i ended up using a pic from our daily situation report instead ...

 

[HTC]

Portugal's numbers have been updated:



On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 13703 active cases --- 196 more
- 41556 recovered --- 199 more
- 1815 fatalities --- 6 more
- 57074 confirmed infected --- 403 more

- 1976482 tests taken --- no change - last updated August 25th
- 33930 under watch --- 64 more
- 334 hospitalized --- 17 more
- 38 in ICU --- 3 more

We've been having single digit daily death toll, or less (zero deaths), for the last 50 consecutive days: last time we reached double digits was on July 9th.

For the 3rd day in a row we've had over 50% more per day than what we've been having for the past couple of weeks, on average: let's hope it's one of those "three day blips" ...

 

[HTC]

Portugal's numbers have been updated:



On the left, the numbers from 2 days ago and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 14064 active cases --- 361 more
- 41885 recovered --- 329 more
- 1819 fatalities --- 4 more
- 57768 confirmed infected --- 694 more

- 1976482 tests taken --- no change - last updated August 25th
- 34258 under watch --- 328 more
- 341 hospitalized --- 7 more
- 41 in ICU --- 3 more

We've been having single digit daily death toll, or less (zero deaths), for the last 52 consecutive days: last time we reached double digits was on July 9th.

This whole week we've been having roughly 50% more cases per day than the previous week and, while our Lisbon and Tejo River Valley region is still the most affected with daily new cases, it's been having "competition" from our Northern region and "only" accounts for just over 50% of all our daily cases, as opposed to the 80% to 90% of Portugal's daily cases from July.

Portugal's Health site wasn't updated yesterday, which is why i didn't post yesterday's numbers and why today's post is the result of two days instead of one.

 

[harm9963]

Out of control !

 

[HTC]

This post combines COVID-19 with computers so it HAS to be on topic:

A Supercomputer Analyzed Covid-19 — and an Interesting New Theory Has Emerged

A closer look at the Bradykinin hypothesis

elemental.medium.com

I found it interesting and a new take that explains quite a lot: REALLY hope this points researchers that deal with the various aspects of vaccines / medications in the right direction.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Regarding Portugal's updates in cases, i've been taking screenshots daily from our Health Site and plan to update our cases every Monday, with a pic of the last Monday and also pics of every single day, with stats averaged on a weekly basis.

 

[dragontamer5788]

This post combines COVID-19 with computers so it HAS to be on topic:

A Supercomputer Analyzed Covid-19 — and an Interesting New Theory Has Emerged

A closer look at the Bradykinin hypothesis

elemental.medium.com

I found it interesting and a new take that explains quite a lot: REALLY hope this points researchers that deal with the various aspects of vaccines in the right direction.

I'm no doctor... but it seems like the simulation here weren't for vaccines, but for treatments and how the virus affects the body.

So the stuff listed in the article may lower the death rate, or improve comfort and/or treatment in other ways. But I'm not entirely sure if anything discussed will help with a vaccine per se.

With that being said: lowering the death rate and improving treatment is a good thing, regardless.

 

[harm9963]

Flu season coming soon!

 

[HTC]

I had originally planed to update every Monday but, because of my work, there would by times i could only update Tuesday so, and to maintain consistency, i chose to update every Sunday instead.

Here's Portugal's updated numbers this week:



The above pics are, in order, last day updated numbers and every day since then until today's numbers (click for full picture), and the below numbers are current totals, week totals and daily averaged this week:

- 15465 active cases --- 1401 more --- 200.1 more per day
- 42953 recovered --- 1068 more --- 152.6 more per day
- 1840 fatalities --- 21 more --- 3 more per day
- 60258 confirmed infected --- 2490 more --- 355.7 more per day

- 2092057 tests taken --- 115575 more --- 16510.7 more per day but was last updated September 2nd
- 34240 under watch --- 18 less --- 2.6 less more per day
- 341 hospitalized --- no change
- 43 in ICU --- 2 more --- 0.3 more per day

We've been having single digit daily death toll, or less (zero deaths), for the last 59 consecutive days: last time we reached double digits was on July 9th.

We've crossed the 60K infected milestone but our Country's Health site decided to "mess up the occasion" by having both yesterday's (-1514) and today's (+2315) new confirmed infected number totally wrong: the correct numbers were, respectively, +486 and +315.

Portugal's new daily confirmed infected has risen VS previous weeks: our Northern region (+1021 cases) has seen a lot more new cases and is almost on par with our Lisbon and Tejo River Valley region (+1179 cases), which has been by far the most affected region for over 2 months now. Of the total 2490 new cases this week, 2200 were in these two regions.

 

[harm9963]

Let see ,close box is full of bad stuff, we have to look the other way , and open it , we don't want to hurt the under belly truth, people die for this madness!

ArcGIS Dashboards

ArcGIS Dashboards

harriscounty.maps.arcgis.com

 

[harm9963]

Mark my word , it will get worst, open that Pandora's box.

 

[dragontamer5788]

It has only been ~1 week of private school, but Maryland's numbers remain mostly flat. Phase 3 is open in most of Maryland, but the hard-hit areas are waiting before joining Phase 3 (open up movie theaters to half capacity, and other entertainment areas)

%Positive is up by about 0.5 points, but hospitalizations and total number of cases/day are flat.

 

[harm9963]

 

[HTC]

Here's Portugal's updated numbers this week:



The above pics are, in order, last day updated numbers and every day since then until today's numbers (click for full picture), and the below numbers are current totals, week totals and daily averaged this week:

- 18047 active cases --- 2582 more --- 368.9 more per day
- 44069 recovered --- 1116 more --- 159.4 more per day
- 1867 fatalities --- 27 more --- 3.9 more per day
- 63983 confirmed infected --- 3725 more --- 532.1 more per day

- 2229753 tests taken --- 137696 more --- 17212 more per day but was last updated September 10th
- 36398 under watch --- 2158 more --- 308.3 more per day
- 452 hospitalized --- 98 more --- 14 more per day
- 57 in ICU --- 14 more --- 2 more per day

We've been having single digit daily death toll, or less (zero deaths), for the last 66 consecutive days: last time we reached double digits was on July 9th.

Managed to grab myself a pic from last Sunday with the corrected stats, which were messed up in my previous update.

We've had a nearly 50% increase per day in cases VS previous week, which had already had an over 50% increase VS the week before, and we've yet to open schools (tomorrow) ... this isn't looking good

 

[the54thvoid]

It was always a morbid curiosity of mine. The UK had one of the worst death rates per million for a 'reasonable' sized country. Smaller places (i.e. San Marino) with limited physical space and high population concentrations would always fare worse with poor management. The US was way off. Not so now. In about a week, the US will climb past the UK for the dishonourable stat of 'deaths per million population'. I estimate another 7k deaths should do it.

Amazing when you consider, the UK has roughly one fifth the population of the US, but in size, it's only 1/40th the land mass of the states. In other words, to have the same pop density as the UK, the US needs a population of 2.68 billion people. Or, the UK should be 8.2 million peeps.

 

[harm9963]

Not surprised

Mexico’s Covid-19 Death Toll Could Be Twice as High as Official Tally

 

[dragontamer5788]

Its not all bad news everywhere. Maryland has a big dip today: falling below 3% positive and below 300 hospitalizations today.

However: Mondays seem to be filled with big dips (probably fewer deaths counted over the weekend?). So we probably should wait a few days to see if these numbers "stick". But nonetheless, this is the lowest I remember seeing Maryland for a long time.

 

[EarthDog]

View attachment 169388

Its not all bad news everywhere. Maryland has a big dip today: falling below 3% positive and below 300 hospitalizations today.

However: Mondays seem to be filled with big dips (probably fewer deaths counted over the weekend?). So we probably should wait a few days to see if these numbers "stick". But nonetheless, this is the lowest I remember seeing Maryland for a long time.

That's how Ohio works too... drop on Monday/weekend, then it goes up until weekend numbers.

 

[the54thvoid]

I called it a week ago. On the nose.

US deaths per million is now worse than the UK. But if you note anything, South America is doing abysmally. In fact, anything south of Canada in the Americas. It's the new Europe. The irony.