Maps, science, data & statistics tracking of COVID-19

[dragontamer5788]

I think I'm distracted by happy thoughts about space orbits instead of trying to think of all these people who are going to injure themselves because they refuse vaccinations. But yeah, it is off topic... I'll try to bring us back to topic by posting...

Its hard to take a screenshot of the entire WashPo state-by-state graph. So I'll just post the top of it in most days. We can see that the USA-average is now 13-per-100,000, a rise over the past couple of weeks.

 

[64K]

It's insane here in my county. We got all the way down to single digit new cases for a while and now it's up to 120 new cases yesterday. No info is given by the County Health Dept. on whether it's one of the new strains but I suspect it is. That and people have stopped wearing masks and they are packing up close to each other in social situations.

 

[the54thvoid]

Delta is a doozy. Almost certainly what's spreading like wildfire.

 

[dragontamer5788]

Delta is a doozy. Almost certainly what's spreading like wildfire.

When you consider that even in the "worst of states", the USA is at least 30% vaccinated (maybe 40% by now...) and yet we're seeing exponential rises in cases like that.... ouchie.

Imagine if we were still at 0% vaccinated? How much worse this would be...

 

[Space Lynx]

When you consider that even in the "worst of states", the USA is at least 30% vaccinated (maybe 40% by now...) and yet we're seeing exponential rises in cases like that.... ouchie.

Imagine if we were still at 0% vaccinated? How much worse this would be...

also those vaccinated are the oldest or most vulnerable.

so i doubt we see hospitals/deaths rise too much outside of those areas in the southern states where people simply refuse to get the vaccine cause thats just what the south does.

 

[dragontamer5788]

also those vaccinated are the oldest or most vulnerable.

so i doubt we see hospitals/deaths rise too much outside of those areas in the southern states where people simply refuse to get the vaccine cause thats just what the south does.

Gotta wait for this "surge" to make its way to the hospitals. So we'll know by the middle of August to see if your theory is correct (accounting for the time it takes for the disease to work its way through the body + the time to collect hospital statistics). I hope that it is, but there's been enough surprises that I wouldn't rely upon it too much.

 

[Space Lynx]

Gotta wait for this "surge" to make its way to the hospital. So we'll know by the middle of August to see if your theory is correct. I hope that it is, but there's been enough surprises that I wouldn't rely upon it too much.

as the Uk has shown, there will be a slight rise in hospitals, but 1/10th what it was before the vaccines. and most of them only have 1 shot. and they have their holdouts too. so who knows. it won't be perfect, but if you have at least one shot i think everything will be fine.

 

[Xzibit]

It jumped 46% from last weeks 40% jump in my state for Fully Vax'd

As of July 22, a total of 21,083 post-vaccination case identified.

Everything is increasing

 

[Space Lynx]

It jumped 46% from last weeks 40% jump in my state for Fully Vax'd


Everything is increasing

context is important here. if someone says hospitalizations jumped 50% from last week, and last week was only 5 cases, so 10 cases total now this week in hospital... thats a bit misleading...

so I need more details next time you post numbers.

 

[Caring1]

context is important here. if someone says hospitalizations jumped 50% from last week, and last week was only 5 cases, so 10 cases total now this week in hospital... thats a bit misleading...

so I need more details next time you post numbers.

Math.
50% increase would make it 7.5 people in hospital this week.

 

[Space Lynx]

Math.
50% increase would make it 7.5 people in hospital this week.

well w.e you get my point

 

[Xzibit]

context is important here. if someone says hospitalizations jumped 50% from last week, and last week was only 5 cases, so 10 cases total now this week in hospital... thats a bit misleading...

so I need more details next time you post numbers.

My bad. I wasn't responding to your post above just making a comment on the numbers in my state

July 7, 10,430 post-vaccination cases
July 14, 14,365 post-vaccination cases
July 22, 21,083 post-vaccination cases

Unfortunately they don't break it down much further than that.

 

[Space Lynx]

My bad. I wasn't responding to your post above just making a comment on the numbers in my state

July 7, 10,430 post-vaccination cases
July 14, 14,365 post-vaccination cases
July 22, 21,083 post-vaccination cases

Unfortunately they don't break it down much further than that.

the rate of breakthrough cases is listed here? seems to be troubling upward trend...

side note: Biogen snake oil FDA approved news update:

Maker of dubious $56K Alzheimer’s drug offers cognitive test no one can pass

After facing intense criticism, Biogen goes on defense, blames “misinformation.”…

arstechnica.com

lol. FDA has lost all credibility after approving this drug imo.

 

[HTC]

Here are Portugal's updated numbers this week.



The pics are, in order, last day updated numbers and every day since then until today's numbers (click for full picture), and the below numbers are current totals, week totals and daily averaged this week:

- 54197 active cases --- 2426 more --- 347 more per day
- 881570 recovered --- 19863 more --- 2838 more per day
- 17292 fatalities --- 85 more --- 12 more per day
- 953059 confirmed infected --- 22374 more --- 3196 more per day

- 14768310 tests taken --- 401623 more --- 66937 more per day but was last updated July 22nd and it includes antigen tests as well
- 11078716 vaccinated --- 653250 more --- last updated last today but that corresponds to 6534047 1st doses + 4544669 2nd doses
- 879 hospitalized --- 74 more --- 11 more per day
- 193 in ICU --- 17 more --- 2 more per day

Week fatalities increased noticeably VS last week: after 16th consecutive weeks with the average below 10 daily fatalities, we've reached the double-digit daily fatalities barrier. The R number decreased to 1.07 on average but the National number of infected per 100K people is STILL rising. Roughly 64.8% of Portugal's population has received the vaccine's 1st dose and roughly 44.9% are fully vaccinated.

 

[Xzibit]

CDC: ACIP COVID-19 Vaccine in Adults: Benefit-Risk Discussion-July 22, 2021 Meeting

 

[R-T-B]

CDC: ACIP COVID-19 Vaccine in Adults: Benefit-Risk Discussion-July 22, 2021 Meeting


View attachment 209843

That's per million. Numbers aren't bad at all frankly.

 

[dragontamer5788]

That's per million. Numbers aren't bad at all frankly.

They're even better when you consider the timing of when people were vaccinated in the USA.

Vaccinations didn't occur soon enough to stave off the winter-surge, and that report is from June 19th: before this recent "summer surge". There haven't been many cases / hospitalizations to prevent yet. That's changing right now as more-and-more people get COVID19 (probably Delta-variant) in this "July / August surge".

Nearly all COVID deaths in US are now among unvaccinated

Nearly all COVID-19 deaths in the United States now are in people who weren’t vaccinated, a staggering demonstration of how effective the vaccines have been and an indication that daily deaths — now down to under 300 — could be practically zero if everyone eligible got the shots.

apnews.com

Earlier this month, Andy Slavitt, a former adviser to the Biden administration on COVID-19, suggested that 98% to 99% of the Americans dying of the coronavirus are unvaccinated.

And CDC Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky said on Tuesday that the vaccine is so effective that “nearly every death, especially among adults, due to COVID-19, is, at this point, entirely preventable.” She called such deaths “particularly tragic.”

 

[the54thvoid]

That 18-29 age group for myocarditis looks statistically 'off'. This is where numbers become foggy. I'd like to know the underlying trends in that group.

Quick Google found this:

The Link Between Myocarditis and COVID-19 mRNA Vaccines

As cases of myocarditis are being monitored, the benefits of mRNA COVID-19 vaccination far outweigh the risk of myocarditis, doctors say.

www.yalemedicine.org

Still, doctors are reassuring patients and families. “This is an incredibly rare event,” says Dr. Asnes. He adds that patients seem to get better quickly.

 

[Xzibit]

That's per million. Numbers aren't bad at all frankly.

What got me was Death is 0.0003-0.24 preventative . Its reliant on your current Immune System status and there isn't much one can do about it.

 

[dragontamer5788]

What got me was Death is 0.0003-0.24 preventative . Its reliant on your current Immune System status and there isn't much one can do about it.

Give it a few months.

There weren't many deaths (or cases) to prevent in April / May / June of this year. That's not the case anymore as we leave July and enter August. 100% of June COVID19 deaths in my state were from the unvaccinated. Literally all of them (a bit of an anomaly: other states are in the ~98% to 99% region instead but within the same general stat area)

Thankfully, my state has a high vaccination rate, so we don't expect too much transmission to occur here (and the little bit of transmission that occurs is in the unvaccinated counties and/or unvaccinated populations). We're still doing an awful job at vaccinating minorities so things aren't as good as I'd like... but at least we know the vaccination plan is working.

 

[Space Lynx]

I expect we will see a spike in deaths in the unvaccinated areas at the end of August too, a couple weeks after all the kids go back to school and many of them will probably become asymptomatic spreaders to older more vulnerable people.

I do think since most vaccinated people are not being tested anymore, there are a lot more breakthrough cases than we actually know about.

Which is fine, it doesn't change the fact you have much less risk of dying/hospital, so eh.

 

[Xzibit]

Give it a few months.

There weren't many deaths (or cases) to prevent in April / May / June of this year. That's not the case anymore as we leave July and enter August. 100% of June COVID19 deaths in my state were from the unvaccinated.

I hope your right but since its Delta majority now VE is 30% less. Pfizer also has said protection drop off start to happen 6month after 2nd doze. Those who finish they're dozes early on will start entering that window.

The only positive I see is we went through Epsilon which was said to evade vaccines more then Delta during last holiday season before the vaccine roll out.

I expect we will see a spike in deaths in the unvaccinated areas at the end of August too, a couple weeks after all the kids go back to school and many of them will probably become asymptomatic spreaders to older more vulnerable people.

I do think since most vaccinated people are not being tested anymore, there are a lot more breakthrough cases than we actually know about.

Which is fine, it doesn't change the fact you have much less risk of dying/hospital, so eh.

Speaking of test. I recall reading CDC put updated guidance for PCR test. They want testing facilities to switch over to more accurate and multi detecting systems by years end. Older systems will not have their certifications renewed at the end of the year.

 

[64K]

People in some States would rather have the risk of death from the Delta Variant of Covid than take the vaccine. Here's what is happening in Liberty County Florida:

Florida tops the nation in new COVID cases. As they spike in its rural Big Bend, many still fear the vaccine more.

 

[eidairaman1]

People in some States would rather have the risk of death from the Delta Variant of Covid than take the vaccine. Here's what is happening in Liberty County Florida:

Florida tops the nation in new COVID cases. As they spike in its rural Big Bend, many still fear the vaccine more.

I do not trust msn.

Last year before march I had a sinus infection (get them yearly). In March for 2 nights in a row I got Fever and Sweats. I had mild symptoms of Covid19 and after that I was perfectly fine. I never wore a mask outside or in my own vehicle, I just would do normal things as wash hands, and shower.

Supposedly Vitamin D deficiency is a cause of concern, I do eat plenty of cheese lol.

 

[Xzibit]

People in some States would rather have the risk of death from the Delta Variant of Covid than take the vaccine. Here's what is happening in Liberty County Florida:

Florida tops the nation in new COVID cases. As they spike in its rural Big Bend, many still fear the vaccine more.

If the lady at the beginning takes the vaccine she improves her chances of not dying by 0.002 according to the benefit and risk prevention data.