Maps, science, data & statistics tracking of COVID-19

[HTC]

Here are Portugal's updated numbers this week.



The pics are, in order, last day updated numbers and every day since then until yesterday's numbers (click for full picture), and the below numbers are current totals, week totals and daily averaged this week:

- 31535 active cases --- 2338 less --- 334 less per day
- 1017456 recovered --- 7288 more --- 1041 more per day
- 17954 fatalities --- 47 more --- 7 more per day
- 1066945 confirmed infected --- 4897 more --- 700 more per day

- 18248783 tests taken --- 307803 more --- 61561 more per day but was last updated September 23rd and it includes antigen tests as well
- 415 hospitalized --- 40 less --- 6 less per day
- 83 in ICU --- 3 less --- less than 1 per day

Week fatalities decreased slightly VS last week and the average is in single digits for the 3rd week in a row. The R number didn't budge and remains @ 0.83 on average (last updated Friday). New daily cases decreased less than last week but still quite substantially and hospitalized / ICU numbers have dropped slightly VS last week.

 

[Tatty_Two]

Here are Portugal's updated numbers this week.

View attachment 218361View attachment 218362View attachment 218363View attachment 218364View attachment 218365View attachment 218366View attachment 218367View attachment 218368

The pics are, in order, last day updated numbers and every day since then until yesterday's numbers (click for full picture), and the below numbers are current totals, week totals and daily averaged this week:

- 31535 active cases --- 2338 less --- 334 less per day
- 1017456 recovered --- 7288 more --- 1041 more per day
- 17954 fatalities --- 47 more --- 7 more per day
- 1066945 confirmed infected --- 4897 more --- 700 more per day

- 18248783 tests taken --- 307803 more --- 61561 more per day but was last updated September 23rd and it includes antigen tests as well
- 415 hospitalized --- 40 less --- 6 less per day
- 83 in ICU --- 3 less --- less than 1 per day

Week fatalities decreased slightly VS last week and the average is in single digits for the 3rd week in a row. The R number didn't budge and remains @ 0.83 on average (last updated Friday). New daily cases decreased less than last week but still quite substantially and hospitalized / ICU numbers have dropped slightly VS last week.

It looks like you are hopefully seeing the light at the end of the tunnel.

 

[HTC]

It looks like you are hopefully seeing the light at the end of the tunnel.

We could already see the light @ the end of the tunnel since a while ago ... but the exit was still so far away ...

Now the light is close ... very close ...

 

[Space Lynx]

We could already see the light @ the end of the tunnel since a while ago ... but the exit was still so far away ...

Now the light is close ... very close ...

Until the vaccines start to wear off though no? Especially for 70+ age range.

 

[HTC]

Until the vaccines start to wear off though no? Especially for 70+ age range.

Not enough information about that, as of yet: more time is needed.

We'll be using our mass-vaccination centers to administer "regular" flu vaccines now: it's priority is ahead of any potential C-19 booster shot, according to our Government.

 

[Tatty_Two]

We have already started giving Pfizer booster jabs starting with the elderly as they were the first to receive their 2nd jabs and some of them had those 2nd jabs as early as January/February, there are some who have ended up in hospital from that group as their immune responses are naturally weak in any case although all 50+ will get a booster if the want it at the 6 month point from 2nd jab so I should be offered mine at the beginning of November.

 

[HTC]

We have already started giving Pfizer booster jabs starting with the elderly as they were the first to receive their 2nd jabs and some of them had those 2nd jabs as early as January/February, there are some who have ended up in hospital from that group as their immune responses are naturally weak in any case although all 50+ will get a booster if the want it at the 6 month point from 2nd jab so I should be offered mine at the beginning of November.

Both of my parents are in the 70+ age group and they received their 2nd dose in early July so, if it turns out they'll be needing a boost, they should get it in early January, @ best.

 

[dragontamer5788]

Alaska's numbers go crazy, but for the most part, America is looking fine! Declines almost across the board.

 

[HTC]

Our Vaccination Report was published today:

- top left --- people with @ least one dose
- top right --- people fully vaccinated: includes people with just one dose that had a previous COVID infection as well as people that took the single dose vaccine
- middle left --- age groups
- middle center --- @ least one dose: people and percentage
- middle right --- fully vaccinated: people and percentage
- bottom left --- doses the country has received
- bottom right --- doses the country has administered

 

[Space Lynx]

Our Vaccination Report was published today:

View attachment 218604

- top left --- people with @ least one dose
- top right --- people fully vaccinated: includes people with just one dose that had a previous COVID infection as well as people that took the single dose vaccine
- middle left --- age groups
- middle center --- @ least one dose: people and percentage
- middle right --- fully vaccinated: people and percentage
- bottom left --- doses the country has received
- bottom right --- doses the country has administered

with those kind of doses, I am surprised there are any deaths at all... those are great numbers.

New Zealand is only at 37% fully vaccinated... wow... so slow. I think they are in lockdown again right now, not sure.

 

[HTC]

with those kind of doses, I am surprised there are any deaths at all... those are great numbers.

Yesterday, we had 1 fatality, but today we had 7.

@ 1st we had a politician in charge of the vaccination but ... shall we say ... stuff happened ... and he was replaced by a rear admiral, and this man rose to the occasion and did a FANTASTIC JOB, despite Portugal having to wait for vaccines on several occasions, or he would have done an even better job.

Portugal is number ONE in the World of people fully vaccinated: https://www.euronews.com/2021/09/23/portugal-has-the-highest-covid-19-vaccination-rate-in-the-world

Pictured in the link is the rear admiral i referred to above.

I'm honestly quite shocked by this!!!

 

[Tatty_Two]

with those kind of doses, I am surprised there are any deaths at all... those are great numbers.

New Zealand is only at 37% fully vaccinated... wow... so slow. I think they are in lockdown again right now, not sure.

Efficacy? There are small variations in what is thought to be the efficacy against the delta variant but lets say the Pfizer vaccine has 76 - 79% efficacy, that leaves you with more than 20% of the vaccinated population that may, if they get infected be at risk of serious illness and/or die. In reality across all the vaccines available in the UK the performance is better however.

 

[Space Lynx]

Efficacy? There are small variations in what is thought to be the efficacy against the delta variant but lets say the Pfizer vaccine has 76 - 79% efficacy, that leaves you with more than 20% of the vaccinated population that may, if they get infected be at risk of serious illness and/or die. In reality across all the vaccines available in the UK the performance is better however.

I guess Joe Rogan was right then, people need to start exercising and taking better care of their bodies, cause at end of the day you never know if you will be one of those 20-30% unlucky ones even if vaccinated.

 

[R-T-B]

I guess Joe Rogan was right then, people need to start exercising and taking better care of their bodies

Well *I* could have told you that, without a side of Ivermectin. It isn't really some revelation that a healthy fit body is better for fighting diseases than a poor health one.

 

[Tatty_Two]

Being fit and healthy obviously helps and should be encouraged where it is physically possible, however let's not forget that those that fall into that category can still get seriously ill and die, albeit generally perhaps in lesser numbers, there is a degree of randomness with this virus (well there appears to be) that may be as much about genetics as it is health.

 

[R-T-B]

Being fit and healthy obviously helps and should be encouraged where it is physically possible, however let's not forget that those that fall into that category can still get seriously ill and die, albeit generally perhaps in lesser numbers, there is a degree of randomness with this virus (well there appears to be) that may be as much about genetics as it is health.

Absolutely. I was just replying to the idea that Joe had any kind of actual revelation there: not so much. It's actually if anything, just common sense, but hardly a guarantee.

 

[the54thvoid]

Finally, some stats about young folk, vaccine status and hospitilisation*.

Covid in Scotland: Latest ICU patients 'largely unvaccinated and young'

One ICU consultant tells BBC Scotland he is treating "very young, usually fit and extremely sick" people.

www.bbc.co.uk

I've kept in the proviso about who is in hospital for transparency.

*Hospitalisation is a really hard word to spell after a beer and some whisky. And FTR, when I finally become a Covid statistic, I want it to be known my love of alcohol had nothing to do with my weakened immune system.

 

[Steevo]

75-78 percent of new hospital cases are vaccinated in populations with 50+ percent vaccination rates.

 

[LFaWolf]

75-78 percent of new hospital cases are vaccinated in populations with 50+ percent vaccination rates.

Source?

 

[the54thvoid]

75-78 percent of new hospital cases are vaccinated in populations with 50+ percent vaccination rates.

Yeah, not what we're seeing here.

https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1016465/Vaccine_surveillance_report_-_week_36.pdf

And the deaths:

 

[Steevo]

What Does It Really Mean When a Headline Says “75 Percent of Cases Occurred in Vaccinated People”?

A simple math trick to calm your panic.

slate.com

Australia just released their own study where 78% of new hospitalization patients were fully vaccinated and 17 (% or individuals, unclear) were partially vaccinated.

 

[the54thvoid]

What Does It Really Mean When a Headline Says “75 Percent of Cases Occurred in Vaccinated People”?

A simple math trick to calm your panic.

slate.com

Australia just released their own study where 78% of new hospitalization patients were fully vaccinated and 17 (% or individuals, unclear) were partially vaccinated.

From your source:

In fact, a statement like “75 percent of new cases are among the vaccinated” is almost totally meaningless.

And this:

In other words, if you are unvaccinated in this extreme hypothetical, the odds are 33 times worse for you even though most cases are in the vaccinated group.

And finally this:

But I hope it helps you become properly suspicious of any headline that declares “X of the cases are among the vaccinated.” Whenever you see headlines like this, ask what the vaccination rate is. And then, do some arithmetic.

 

[Ahhzz]

What Does It Really Mean When a Headline Says “75 Percent of Cases Occurred in Vaccinated People”?

A simple math trick to calm your panic.

slate.com

Australia just released their own study where 78% of new hospitalization patients were fully vaccinated and 17 (% or individuals, unclear) were partially vaccinated.

Yup. the pertinent portion of that article below:

All you need is a little high school arithmetic to calculate the odds. The total number of unvaccinated people in our hypothetical population is 200,000 (1 percent of 20 million). So the odds of getting sick if you were unvaccinated are 50,000 divided by 200,000. That’s 1 in 4—or 25 percent.

But if you are vaccinated, the odds are 150,000 divided by 19,800,000. That’s a bit less than 1 percent (about three-quarters of a percent if you do the calculation).

 

[Steevo]

From your source:

In fact, a statement like “75 percent of new cases are among the vaccinated” is almost totally meaningless.

And this:

In other words, if you are unvaccinated in this extreme hypothetical, the odds are 33 times worse for you even though most cases are in the vaccinated group.

And finally this:

But I hope it helps you become properly suspicious of any headline that declares “X of the cases are among the vaccinated.” Whenever you see headlines like this, ask what the vaccination rate is. And then, do some arithmetic.

By statistics unless you are over 50 and under 70 with comorbidity getting the vaccine does literally nothing for you statistically speaking. By statistics once we eliminate those with comorbidities under 50 getting the vaccine does nothing for anyone.

Statistics are being manipulated here, and a good friend is a nurse on the Covid Floor, people dying of cancer with Covid are still being counted as Covid, people dying of liver failure form alcohol abuse are being counted as Covid, people dying of COPD and Asthma from years of smoking are counted as Covid deaths.

Nothing against them, but statistics can be manipulated https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Misuse_of_statistics

Ice cream and crime: Where cold cuisine and hot disputes intersect

july-fourth-mount-vernon-ice-cream.jpg

www.nola.com

Should we ban Ice Cream in Chicago to prevent gun deaths?

 

[R-T-B]

By statistics unless you are over 50 and under 70 with comorbidity getting the vaccine does literally nothing for you statistically speaking.

You're really going to have to use citations for a bold claim like that. I've never seen any data supporting a claim like that (I have however seen data suggesting the opposite).

Also: My brother was exposed to COVID this weekend and thankfully did not catch it. I know this is ancedotal but I credit the vaccine. My brother is healthy and in his 20s, and was in a group with a maskless person who later ended up having COVID. He was not infected. Test kit came back negative.

Statistics are being manipulated here, and a good friend is a nurse on the Covid Floor, people dying of cancer with Covid are still being counted as Covid

That's usually because they'd still be here fighting cancer if not for COVID. That's how comorbities work. They died of COVID, all the same.

I mean, this is a stats thread. Don't just drop one liners you can't support, or contextless information in hopes we don't look further. THAT is misuse of statistics.