I guess that depends on how you feel about Taiwan's defensive capabilities and the international reaction to such an incursion by the PRC. Honestly, I think such a move could risk uniting the world against mainland China. I think that's a really bad move to be honest. The PRC just needs to not look weak in this situation, but it's a situation that they made for themselves.
I know Taiwan is probably capable of exacting a high toll on China
if China attempted a direct military action. However, if you look at my prior posts, I don't think China will do that. I don't think they will fire the first shot, anyway. They'll make someone else decide to do that.
Regardless of how it unfolds though, China could not make it any clearer their intentions. For that matter, Taiwan itself is just a bump in the road on their way to also very clearly stated intentions for China, their plan to 2049.
China is very clear about what it means to do and generally how it means to do it. People are arguing about the specific tactical methodologies - not all of which are military I might add - but which are really pretty irrelevant.
It all really boils down to one simple question - who is going to stop them?
Gelsinger was not wrong.
