I don't know but it just feels like the GM107 all over... A smaller die size and efficiency the guiding principles.
Unlikely. GPU architectures have a design lead-in time measured in years. It has been pretty much established that TSMC's process node cadence is now out of step with both AMD and Nvidia's product cycle ( 20nm late/CLN20G cancelled, 20nm FEOL+16nm BEOL ahead of schedule). Just as with TSMC's cancelled 32nm node, both vendors will likely produce a kludge - 28nm designs porting that were originally intended for 20nm/ 20+16nm.
The 880 will be above the 780 (perhaps get up into 290X range) while not encroaching on the 780Ti. If really nice Nvidia may price at $450, because this die is perhaps smaller than a GK104, while nowhere near a GK110 which Nvidia won’t/can’t sell consistently on a cards disconneted 10-15% below the $500 MSRP.
Then again, if the GM 204 cards are 256-bit/4GB, then it is quite possible to market GTX 880/870 and GTX 780/780Ti with the same basic performance alongside each other, especially if the 384-bit cards are aimed at high res gaming and come with a 6GB framebuffer. It wouldn't surprise me to see the 3GB GTX 780 EOL'ed, and Nvidia sanction 6GB for use with the 780 Ti
So we all know how this goes… A "tech paper teaser" in September, mid-Oct launch with the normal reference brigade cards, while AIB customs mid-end November
Really?
GTX 580 - Vendor custom boards available at launch
GTX 680 - Vendor custom boards available at launch
GTX 770 - Vendor custom boards available at launch
GTX 780 - Vendor custom boards available at launch
GTX 780 Ti - Vendor custom boards available at launch
First Maxwell cards - Vendor custom boards available at launch
If you're looking at historical precedent, the only cards that aren't available as vendor custom are dual GPU cards and cards not included in Nvidia's series-market segment numerical naming convention ( GTX Titan/Titan Black, Tesla, Quadro)
for the customary 10-15% charge… do the math
You buy online from Tajikistan ?
Gigabyte Windforce OC - same price as reference (
reviewed by W1zzard on launch day)
EVGA Superclocked ACX - $10 more than reference (1.5% more)
(reviewed by W1zzard on launch day)
Other than efficiency there’s be no real justification to run to get this over the 780.
So, just recapping, this card in your opinion doesn't have a market even though the specifications aren't known, the price isn't known, it's performance isn't known, it's actual entry date isn't known,
and it's feature set isn't known, because it conflicts with a card which may or may not be EOL'ed at the time of launch (either in its entirety or as a $500 3GB iteration)
I couldn't see them delivering anything with 3,200 CUDA cores, if anything over 2,000 Cudas or a die bigger than 200mm2, I'll be surprised and perhaps a little disillusioned.
In what world is a performance GPU only 35% larger than the same vendors low end chip ? If GM 107 is 148mm² packing 640 cores, how the **** is GM 204 supposed to pack anything close to 2000 into 200mm² ????
I forgot, the actual mathematics are unimportant....your personal disappointment is the fact that you're trying to get across by setting an unrealistic target. Well, for my part, I'll be disillusioned if Intel's next desktop CPU doesn't have a thermal envelope of 2 watts and AMD's next flagship GPU doesn't stay under 35C under full gaming load. When you stock up on Xanax in preparation for this graphics Armageddon, grab me some.
I've read such talk online but money talks at the end of the day. I don't see that happening. 16nm chips will be more expensive than 20nm, AMD/NVIDIA won't jump to squash their profit margins. Heck, both are releasing still 28nm in a few months rather than 20nm., not that they had a choice.
Depends upon whether the die shrink outweighs the wafer cost, as it usually does. 16nmFF (20nm BEOL+16nm FEOL) is supposed to bring a ~15% reduction in die size over the same design rendered by 20nm - a 15% reduction does not equate to 15% more die candidates per wafer which is dependant upon the actual die size (you could try inputting various sizes into a
die-per-wafer calculator to see the variances).
Latest estimates put 16nmFF at ~21% more expensive per wafer than 20nm. Even with the known parameters you would still need to factor in what kind of deal each vendor has in place regarding yield. The usual arrangement is per-wafer with guaranteed minimum yields or per viable die.