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RDNA4 Prediction Time!!!

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Dec 12, 2016
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I think we now have enough leaks/rumors to predict the 9070XT performance, price and power with incredible accuracy. From the latest MLID video, I compiled the fps from each of the games rounded to the nearest 5 for both the 9070XT and the 7800XT:


Game (4K Ultra)9070XT Ras7800XT Ras%FasterGame9070XT RT7800XT RT%Faster
Watch Dogs Legion
90​
60​
1.50​
Black Myth Wuhong
45​
20​
2.25​
Far Cry 6
115​
80​
1.44​
Hitman 3
30​
20​
1.50​
Forza Horizon 5
155​
110​
1.41​
F1 23
55​
40​
1.38​
Hitman 3
155​
120​
1.29​
Shadow of the TR
80​
50​
1.60​
F1 23
160​
130​
1.23​
Cyberpunk 2077
25​
15​
1.67​
Shadow of the TR
120​
80​
1.50​
Avg​
1.68​
Borderlands 3
100​
70​
1.43​
Horizon Zero Dawn
110​
70​
1.57​
Cyberpunk 2077
60​
40​
1.50​
Avg​
1.43​

From the RDNA4 CES slides, AMD said the following: (bold emphasis mine)
  • Optimized compute units
  • Supercharged AI compute
  • Improved ray tracing per CU
  • Better media encoding quality
So we are potentially looking at a 43% gen ras increase and a 67% RT increase. These increases are reasonable given the following:

Gen Ras
% increase in cores: 7
% increase in bandwidth: 3
% increase in clocks: 21 (2430 MHz going to 2940 MHz)
% increase in gen ras IPC: 6
% increase in monolithic advantages: 6
Total: 43%

RT
% increase in cores: 7
% increase in bandwidth: 3
% increase in clocks: 21 (2430 MHz going to 2940 MHz)
% increase in RT IPC: 31
% increase in monolithic advantages: 6
Total: 68%

This matches the just under 4080 gen ras performance rumors and around 4070Ti and 4070TiS RT performance rumors. I think the 260W power number we are seeing is for gen ras and the 330W power number is for RT. That means overclocked cards will be even higher requiring the three 8-pin power connectors. AMD was probably predicting the 5070 series to be the same or higher than the 4070 series in price. Also AMD is probably targeting the 5070 series RT performance price points (9070XT RT=5070 RT). Since they are $50 less, AMD probably changed their pricing to $50 less giving us the $479 reference and $550 AIB prices. Retailers are probably waiting on their $50 rebate checks from AMD which is delaying the launch.

What do you think?
 
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