- Joined
- Oct 6, 2021
- Messages
- 1,622 (1.34/day)
In your mind, is it realistic to compare a new product with a sustainable profit margin with another being sold at a loss? This is the same as saying that if Tesla announces a Tesla Model 2 today for $25k, it's a horrible price because there's a neighbor selling another pre-owned EVs for 10k.IMO we shouldn't be using MSRPs to compare anything these days; Their relevance went out of the window back in 2017 with the first ETH mining boom. There have been different EXTERNAL factors to the GPU market that impacted price wildly since 2017, and unlike the relative stability of GPU pricing for the two decades before that, the last 6 years have seen three major events that have caused price swings of insane magnitude. It was normal (I didn't say it was a good idea) to buy and sell RX 5700 cards for over $1000 for the best part of a year in 2020. That had a 2019 MSRP of $349. Same deal for 3080 and 3090 cards - their MSRP was meaninglessly low, and then briefly made sense in comparison to the actual selling prices earlier this year - two years too late for the MSRP to mean anything.
An MSRP is only valid as a snapshot of the market pricing at that point in time. A 6800 at $580 ETH-boom pricing today is a rip-off, nobody would touch it, and it would get left on shelves, making its launch MSRP invalid in the current market.
The current sale price of a brand new 6800 is $430 because that is what people are willing to pay for them. At $470 this 7700XT is just 6% cheaper than several decent 7800XT cards, which are 15-20% faster and have better performance/Watt. 6% isn't enough of a discount to make anyone even blink, If they can afford the $20 premium over the 7700XT base model, they can definitely afford to just get a 7800XT in the first place!
This is not sustainable, because the benefits of a new manufacturing process no longer keep up with the increased production costs, and also the only memories with a major advance in terms of bandwidth per watt is the GDDR6X. If you sell on with thin margins now, tomorrow you won't be able to afford R&D and the hundreds of millions to develop a chip in the best lithography. A single wrong move costs billions.
When this mess ends the only basis will be the MSRP. If you are going to sell a product at a loss, in my opinion it is better to stop selling it.