Thursday, January 24th 2008
IBM may Create more Formal Chip Manufacturing Ties with AMD
Industry analysts, and sources, have speculated about the possible creation of a more formal relationship between IBM and AMD. Such a relationship may result in a possible merger between the two companies in the future. An IBM takeover, or joint venture company may result. Such a merger would allow IBM to maintain ties to some management in the computer industry as the company moves more toward technology services. The creation of some sort of more formal association could help inject confidence into AMD which has not reported a quarterly profit since mid-2006. IBM and AMD have been technology partners for several years, and are currently completing a joint manufacturing plant in Malta.
Source:
FT.com
58 Comments on IBM may Create more Formal Chip Manufacturing Ties with AMD
One thing that many people do not see is that while mergers may seem like a consuption of one company that will produce a loss of competition, it many times sparks a sub-level of offshoot companies with very innovative ideas.
Many times the employees of a large company will leave and create a niche company that pushes technology in another direction in direct competition to the company that they left.
This creates a sub-level of competition that we who look at the highest levels don't really notice.
If these small companies make a break through, they are bought up by the larger companies and their owners go on to do it again after making a fortune from their sell out.
This is capatislm at its finest. There is nothing stopping anyone in the US from having an idea and capitalizing on that idea.
I think that AMD would gain from something like this, but I am not sure it would be a good investment for IBM unless they saw great promise in utilizing some portions of AMDs current architechture and research in their future designs.
www-03.ibm.com/systems/browse/amdpro/index.html
Of course they also make servers using Intel and Power PC chips.
Both AMD & INTEL will reach a limit and what then? Nano?
A low cost, low power, small footprint, decent performance all-in-one solution could catch on very nicely in the cubicle world.
There is one problem with moving the chipmarket to quickly, and that is adoption of new product. If Intel or anyone is pushing new CPU's out the door at a too rapid pace, they will be wasting R&D money as there will be negligable inception of their product before the next one hits the market.
I think the pace at the moment is relatively fast. I purchased my CPu less than a year ago, and it's already a generation behind. That is great news for us crazy techies, but the majority of people are not going to upgrade that quickly and that means lots of chips sitting on shelves gathering dust. It is really the people like Dell, HP, etc. that keep the influx of new CPUs moving to the market.
I think that a 6 month to 1 year release rate for new product is sufficient to accomplish innovative increases and product adoption. Any faster than that and people are left with so many choices that they have not idea what to choose.
If you don''t believe me, make a list of all the Intel processors that have been released in the last year at all price point levels.
AMD has an excellent core product line (CPU, chipset, GPU). The problem as I see it is that they are having issues with solution specific adoption. Every product must be created to push forward a new solution to an existing problem. If you push forward technology simply for the sake of doing so, you get the likes of Aegia. While not useles, it's a slow hard climb to acceptance and adoption.
Yes, AMD needs cash and IBM could fatten their wallet, but to what end? In the next couple of years, what is going to be the focus? Just because in the last five years people wanted X, doesn't mean that will be the case in the near future.
My personal feeling is that in the near future, people are going to be wanting less imposition on their person space. Less boxes, less cable, keep it clean. Keyboards will be replaced by intelligent touch screens and the mouse will become a thing of the past. Voice response is still crap and an imposition to personal privacy so I don't see that ever gaining much ground.
That is why I think that the chip people are going to be getting really friendly with the monitor people soon.
As always, pure speculation. ;)