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Maps, science, data & statistics tracking of COVID-19

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We're already at 8.9% vaccinated (1st dose) in the USA (24% of the prioritized, higher-risk population). 30-million vaccinated.

The vaccine is spreading much more rapidly than the virus right now. Yeah, its slower than we'd like, but in 2 or 3 months, we're reasonably looking at 30%ish of the USA's population vaccinated.

UK variant may be much more infectious: but it will be facing:

* Springtime weather -- People will start to meet outside, instead of inside. The sun's stronger UV rays, the humidity, the heat... these things are known to kill the virus. Sitting indoors with recycled air is what makes the virus spread so much in the winter. The fresh air of the outdoors also makes it harder for the virus to build up in any location.

* Masks -- Masks will still be required in public, because not enough of the population was vaccinated yet for herd immunity. Unlike April 2020, April 2021 has a smarter population, with the mask debate largely settled (yeah, some anti-maskers are still around. But they aren't denying the existance of the virus anymore).

* Vaccines -- With AstraZeneca and J&J releasing their vaccines soon, vaccination rate will skyrocket. Especially in rural-areas (because AstraZeneca / J&J are "normal refrigerator" temperatures. Not -80C or -30C like Pfizer or Moderna). Our prioritized population will be largely vaccinated (75+ and 65+ populations), meaning death-rates and hospitalizations will drop dramatically. J&J's vaccine isn't very effective (only ~66% or so), but J&J prevented 100% of its deaths and hospitalizations. So people will still get sick, but our hospitals probably won't be overrun.

------------

South Africa and Brazil aren't "more infectious". They just avoid the immunity that we've built up. Vaccines are less effective (but vaccines still work). The question is whether or not a major-mutation that avoids the vaccine becomes prevalent. Nonetheless, the plan to make "booster shots" to protect against these variants has already taken place.

Don't get me wrong: P1 (Brazilian Variant) is worrisome. But its not COVID19 per se. P1 is starting at 0% infected around the world. P1 needs to replicate and grow and spread still. Its population is likely very, very small. We have time to prepare against P1.
 
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In the placebo group of the trial for Novavax’s vaccine, people with prior coronavirus infections appeared just as likely to get sick as people without them, meaning they weren’t fully protected against the B.1.351 variant that has swiftly become dominant in South Africa. The variant has been detected only a handful of times in the United States, including a case reported Friday in Virginia, which became the third state to identify the presence of the virus variant.

“The data really are quite suggestive: The level of immunity that you get from natural infection — either the degree of immunity, the intensity of the immunity or the breadth of immunity — is obviously not enough to protect against infection with the mutant,” Fauci said.

So both B.1.351 (South Africa) and P1 (Brazil) avoid natural-immunity, and can reinfect those who achieved immunity from the original COVID19. So I hope that's the final nail in the coffin for "just open up and achieve herd immunity naturally". Natural immunity does jack diddly squat for the variants.
 

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Here are Portugal's updated numbers this week.

Screenshot from 2021-01-31 16-43-45.png Screenshot from 2021-02-01 15-17-19.png Screenshot from 2021-02-02 22-08-00.png Screenshot from 2021-02-03 22-08-40.png Screenshot from 2021-02-04 16-37-29.png Screenshot from 2021-02-05 17-38-23.png Screenshot from 2021-02-06 23-58-56.png Screenshot from 2021-02-07 15-55-01.png

The pics are, in order, last day updated numbers and every day since then until today's numbers (click for full picture), and the below numbers are current totals, week totals and daily averaged this week:

- 145090 active cases --- 36533 less --- 5219 less per day
- 606166 recovered --- 79755 more --- 11394 more per day
- 14158 fatalities --- 1676 more --- 239 more per day
- 765414 confirmed infected --- 44898 more --- 6414 more per day

- 7525732 tests taken --- 355117 more --- 50731 more per day but was last updated February 4th and it includes antigen tests as well
- 395904 vaccinated --- 59133 more --- last updated today but that corresponds to 291378 1st doses + 104526 2nd doses
- 6248 hospitalized --- 446 less --- 64 less per day
- 865 in ICU --- 7 more --- 1 more per day

The usual report wasn't published on February 2nd so i had to use that day's situation report instead.

Hospitalized FINALLY started to decrease, judging by the graph but it's still WAY TOO HIGH. It peaked midweek @ nearly 6900 before dropping to the current value. ICU is a bit more difficult to judge but it peaked Friday @ 904 before dropping to current value though it's a bit early to judge if it's starting to drop as well: next few days should give a clearer picture.

There was a dramatic drop in active cases as well as new daily cases, with the new daily case average over the last 7 days dropping from just over 12K to just over 6.4K: clear signs the current lockdown is working but, and because the starting point of this lockdow was very high, it will take some time for the numbers to drop to a much more reasonable level "across the board".

We've also crossed the 14K fatalities since the beginning of the Pandemic :(
 

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Here are Portugal's updated numbers this week.

View attachment 187421 View attachment 187422 View attachment 187423 View attachment 187424 View attachment 187425 View attachment 187426 View attachment 187427 View attachment 187428

The pics are, in order, last day updated numbers and every day since then until today's numbers (click for full picture), and the below numbers are current totals, week totals and daily averaged this week:

- 145090 active cases --- 36533 less --- 5219 less per day
- 606166 recovered --- 79755 more --- 11394 more per day
- 14158 fatalities --- 1676 more --- 239 more per day
- 765414 confirmed infected --- 44898 more --- 6414 more per day

- 7525732 tests taken --- 355117 more --- 50731 more per day but was last updated February 4th and it includes antigen tests as well
- 395904 vaccinated --- 59133 more --- last updated today but that corresponds to 291378 1st doses + 104526 2nd doses
- 6248 hospitalized --- 446 less --- 64 less per day
- 865 in ICU --- 7 more --- 1 more per day

The usual report wasn't published on February 2nd so i had to use that day's situation report instead.

Hospitalized FINALLY started to decrease, judging by the graph but it's still WAY TOO HIGH. It peaked midweek @ nearly 6900 before dropping to the current value. ICU is a bit more difficult to judge but it peaked Friday @ 904 before dropping to current value though it's a bit early to judge if it's starting to drop as well: next few days should give a clearer picture.

There was a dramatic drop in active cases as well as new daily cases, with the new daily case average over the last 7 days dropping from just over 12K to just over 6.4K: clear signs the current lockdown is working but, and because the starting point of this lockdow was very high, it will take some time for the numbers to drop to a much more reasonable level "across the board".

We've also crossed the 14K fatalities since the beginning of the Pandemic :(

Once the majority of 60+ older people get the pfizer or moderna vaccine, I think we will begin to see death rates plummet to almost nothing. AstraZeneca and J&J vaccine just aren't effective enough against the south africa and brazil variants. I really wish countries from around the world could just be video conferenced into Pfizer/Moderna factory production, so every country could begin exact replication over night... in mass sized facilities. I know it will never happen that way, but I think the pandemic could end fast if we did that as a species. Militaries of each nation building giant warehouses and ventilation systems within those buildings - and Pfizer and Moderna walking them through each step via online. With wartime mobilization enabled, I think it would be possible -if this plan was enacted- that those who want a pfizer or moderna vaccine based vaccine could have it within end of June. Those who don't want the vaccine that is fine, main thing is getting those vulnerable protected as fast as possible. I'm honestly surprised this wasn't done right after pfizer announced its 95% effective rate. I'm pretty sure this is one of those rare times in history, companies would be willing to accept government money for open rights to the vaccine recipe.





So both B.1.351 (South Africa) and P1 (Brazil) avoid natural-immunity, and can reinfect those who achieved immunity from the original COVID19. So I hope that's the final nail in the coffin for "just open up and achieve herd immunity naturally". Natural immunity does jack diddly squat for the variants.

My grandpa gets his second dose of Moderna today!!! So happy. I'm hoping I can get my vaccine by end of August or September, I would prefer end of April, but old and vulnerable need to come first.
 
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The hardest part about using any of these apps is the fact that Doctors are putting down covid as a cause of death on most elderly deaths. So the stats are not as bad in reality.
There are many other irregularities but this is not the place to post about those kinds of details.
In the UK we havnt had one case of the Flu since Covid 19. ^^
Not to worry anyone, but the virus will of mutated many times since the vaccine was formulated. I cant understand there being a vaccine after being told that you cant treat a virus (as it mutates) and that you just have to go through the motions. Its very worrying also if you have studied history and remember the Spanish flu and what it really was.
 

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The hardest part about using any of these apps is the fact that Doctors are putting down covid as a cause of death on most elderly deaths. So the stats are not as bad in reality.

you sound like that guy that says only people with underlying conditions are dying... yeah people with bad diabetes that might have lived 20+ more years are dying because of their underlying condition of diabetes or high blood pressure sometimes, but covid accelerated that death timeline... those "old" people might have lived longer we don't know, but in order to be counted as covid death they still had to test positive for covid. so it's true some of the numbers won't be accurate, I agree with you on that, but I disagree in the sense the numbers are still way higher than you are claiming.

In the UK we havnt had one case of the Flu since Covid 19. ^^

It kind of makes sense, since flu is stopped by less traveling, masks, etc. Flu always hits Australia/Asia regions first, and they had almost none due to covid measures put in place. so yeah fast forward to now it would make sense it would not have spread nearly as much.
 

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covid sucks big time. :mad:

Sorry, just sounding off. :ohwell:
 

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The hardest part about using any of these apps is the fact that Doctors are putting down covid as a cause of death on most elderly deaths. So the stats are not as bad in reality.
There are many other irregularities but this is not the place to post about those kinds of details.
In the UK we havnt had one case of the Flu since Covid 19. ^^
Not to worry anyone, but the virus will of mutated many times since the vaccine was formulated. I cant understand there being a vaccine after being told that you cant treat a virus (as it mutates) and that you just have to go through the motions. Its very worrying also if you have studied history and remember the Spanish flu and what it really was.

For the UK, as of some point last year (which actually 'reduced' recorded Covid deaths) only those who have died AND had a positive Covid diagnosis in the prior 28 days have Covid registered on their death certificate. This dropped the UK's numbers by about 5,000 when it was about 50k IIRC.

Flu deaths are lower than normal but not anywhere near zero. The ONS has stats for this and the figures for January to August 2020 state 14,000 flu deaths. That contrasts to 48,000 registred as Covid (Jan-Aug). So clearly, your sources for flu are more than wrong, they're completely bogus.

As for the vague statement on the Spanish Flu, it was the H1N1 influenza virus with avian origins (source).

As far as vaccines for viral mutations; the flu jab is one such thing. Without it, there would be far higher flu deaths on an annual basis. Closer, likely, to Covid levels, as flu is pretty nasty for the elderly and immuno-suppressed.

I'd also remind all that this is a science forum and as such, science only please. No conspiracy clap-trap, no guff. If you read it on a FB post that can't be properly sourced, or you don't believe what you read because the Illuminati are behind it, I suggest you don't post in this science forum (unless of course you have legitimae data, or proof, to support it).
 
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Speaking of Flu... The US has plenty of information on the flu.


1612804591456.png

The US has gone from 3200 flu-cases a week (2019) to 24 flu-cases a week (2021). The lockdown is working vs the flu it seems. Notice: these surveys of Flu are able to differentiate between A (H1N1) (bird-flu / spanish flu), A(H3) (Swine Flu), type B and all sorts of flu types. This isn't a case of "covid19 is getting confused for the flu", this is "we really don't have a lot of flu in the US right now".
 
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Speaking of Flu... The US has plenty of information on the flu.


View attachment 187561
The US has gone from 3200 flu-cases a week (2019) to 24 flu-cases a week (2021). The lockdown is working vs the flu it seems. Notice: these surveys of Flu are able to differentiate between A (H1N1) (bird-flu / spanish flu), A(H3) (Swine Flu), type B and all sorts of flu types. This isn't a case of "covid19 is getting confused for the flu", this is "we really don't have a lot of flu in the US right now".

It's not just the USA lockdown that is lowering flu numbers, it's the world as a whole, as I mentioned before the flu starts off every year in Asia/Australia regions, and since their lockdowns were so strict, combined with flying overall being majorly down, more people wearing masks worldwide, and not as spreadable as covid is - increased use of hand sanitizer worldwide, etc etc etc - it all makes sense that the flu is very very low in number. Covid is not very low in number because it spreads so much easier than flu. I just don't want the USA to get credit for reduced flu numbers, when in actuality that is a world effort.
 
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1613071492393.png


Just for my state. We're a bit slower than other states. We are missing a "single sign up" website, prisoners have been prioritized here and lots of decisions that other states haven't done.

Still, from a pure rollout perspective, it seems like we're finally accelerating. Only 12,000 doses/day are being received however (up 20% since a few weeks ago). So for this 25k/day rate to continue, it assumes that future deliveries will be faster than our current rate.
 

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The UK set a target to vaccinate (or to offer vaccinations) to everyone aged 70+, all those that are chronically vulnerable, all healthcare workers and all Care home residents and staff, some 15.6 million people by 15th Feb, that works out at around 23 or 24% of the population, seems we are likely to do it by next Monday as today we exceeded 13.5 million, something at least is working well :)
 
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The UK set a target to vaccinate (or to offer vaccinations) to everyone aged 70+, all those that are chronically vulnerable, all healthcare workers and all Care home residents and staff, some 15.6 million people by 15th Feb, that works out at around 23 or 24% of the population, seems we are likely to do it by next Monday as today we exceeded 13.5 million, something at least is working well :)

I've heard that the UK is a world-leader in terms of vaccinations. Good job!

We here in the US are ~10% or 11%, not quite "world leader" speeds but adequate.

1613155551560.png


My specific state has finally dipped below 5% positive, an arbitrary benchmark but an important one... It's been said that 5% positive (or less) is required to have an accurate #Confirmed case statistic. So its good to hear that our #Confirmed Cases are finally looking accurate again. Deaths and Hospitalizations are still very high, but again: those are lagging indicators of the virus.

Good news: I finally got my mom a vaccination date. Unfortunately, all slots filled up before I could hit F5 and get a slot for my dad.
 

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It's difficult to be a world leader regarding this topic when you have such a large population and limited supplies, we are only where we are because apparently we placed orders for 240 million doses across what was then 6 potential vaccines 3 months ahead of anyone else on this side of the pond ...... allegedly.

We are on 14.1 million first doses as of the last 24 hours.
 
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It's difficult to be a world leader regarding this topic when you have such a large population and limited supplies, we are only where we are because apparently we placed orders for 240 million doses across what was then 6 potential vaccines 3 months ahead of anyone else on this side of the pond ...... allegedly.

We are on 14.1 million first doses as of the last 24 hours.

I mean, placing an order for 4-doses per person takes foresight and guts. And in hindsight: that's really useful for getting your population vaccinated. Afterwards, the doses won't be "wasted" because you can sell them off to other countries who are lagging behind.

US didn't even place an order for 2-doses per person last year (I think the US only aimed for 2-doses per eligible person: children weren't tested yet so we didn't buy doses for them last year). So... yeah. I think I would have preferred if the previous administration spent more money on getting more doses than needed. (Or even optimistically ordering doses for children, long before children were tested). Now that the child-tests are going well (we're realistically looking at child-vaccinations by the start of the 2021-2022 school year), the US is buying up to the 600-million doses for everybody (including children). But we're just going to be naturally slower than other countries (like the UK) who bought in far more aggressively.

There's probably something about "tragedy of the commons" if all countries hopped in and over-bought the pool of vaccines... and international relationships and all that. So I'm not entirely sure what the international agreements were with regards to vaccine distribution. Honestly, I haven't thought about the international perspective until today. Clearly its a problem that should be worked out between the leaders of our country.

But in the absence of such an agreement, looking out for your own population and oversubscribing your vaccine doses seems to be beneficial. At least for this month. EDIT: I guess back then, we didn't know if the vaccines were effective yet. So it could have been a waste if the test trials went poorly.
 
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It's difficult to be a world leader regarding this topic when you have such a large population and limited supplies, we are only where we are because apparently we placed orders for 240 million doses across what was then 6 potential vaccines 3 months ahead of anyone else on this side of the pond ...... allegedly.

We are on 14.1 million first doses as of the last 24 hours.

Yep, I think since Boris had a rough go of covid himself he realized the seriousness of it quicker than most and decided to go all in on the vaccines before anyone else - which is a bi-partisan effort for the UK - in USA it's too contentious to do anything bi-partisan. Since Trump got the Regeneron anti-bodies that made him feel like superman (which this medicine still isn't available for anyone but the elites or ultra rich) it only inflated his ego even more about how weak the virus was, undermining any of the nuance deep thought that Boris had after his bout with it.

I think if UK were smart they would ban all international travel until end of summer, they still allow people from South Africa as long as those people pay 1700 pounds and stay in hotel for two weeks, I'm sorry, but that's not enough pre-caution, not when the main/majority vaccine UK is using only has 22% efficacy rate against the South Africa variant. It's absolutely mind-blowing they are willing to undermine their vaccine efforts for travelers regardless of reason of travel.

They should instead have a UK focused plan, be like alright this virus is hell. Here is the new plan, all UK Citizens get vaccinated, no travels for you or anyone coming in, we are doing isolation - and with isolation comes a free maskless summer for all of us - see your country, travel in the UK only, go to somewhere you have never been in the UK. See the wonders it has to offer, and you won't even have to wear a mask if we reach 80% vaccine rate.

Not sure about you, but that's a hell of a deal imo, otherwise you are looking at masks forever and constant periodic closures at random from spikes and mutations and god knows what else. UK is unique in the sense it is an island nation and can isolate and dictate its future easier than the pangea that is the rest of us.
 

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Additionally, it may not be quite as much in terms of over dosage as it appears as we are already sending some vaccines to British Commonwealth territories, not all of them yet but trying to help the poorest of them, also I suppose at the point of order which I agree was risky none of us had any idea at what frequency any of these vaccines might be needed, there is even some talk now that some of the population like the most elderly and those with chronic underlying conditions may need a "booster" in the late Autumn or early winter, we have also said that we will donate a large part of any 2021 surplus to 3rd world African countries.

As for borders, I agree we should be more stringent but in terms of countries like South Africa, we are only letting UK nationals into the UK, some of which have either visited family over there (so if they have a home here they can quarantine at home) or are coming here to visit family (so before they can visit family they have to quarantine in allocated hotels at their own expense) but they have to have citizenship, of 33 countries that are considered high risk (Brazil obviously included) that rule stands and none but British nationals are allowed in. For all other countries people visiting have to quarantine in those hotels and as well as having proof of a negative test taken within 72 hours of flying, the will be required again at their own expense to have a test on day 2 and day 8 of enforced hotel quarantine.

But yes, I would probably close all borders for a period, probably just until the end of March initially but I think it is against international law to prevent your own citizens entry under most circumstances.
 

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Here are Portugal's updated numbers this week.

Screenshot from 2021-02-07 15-55-01.png Screenshot from 2021-02-08 15-49-41.png Screenshot from 2021-02-09 00-12-25.png Screenshot from 2021-02-10 23-36-48.png Screenshot from 2021-02-11 23-28-42.png Screenshot from 2021-02-12 00-27-00.png Screenshot from 2021-02-13 20-08-48.png Screenshot from 2021-02-14 15-46-10.png

The pics are, in order, last day updated numbers and every day since then until today's numbers (click for full picture), and the below numbers are current totals, week totals and daily averaged this week:

- 105119 active cases --- 39971 less --- 5710 less per day
- 606166 recovered --- 59150 more --- 8450 more per day
- 14158 fatalities --- 1163 more --- 166 more per day
- 765414 confirmed infected --- 20342 more --- 2906 more per day

- 7766169 tests taken --- 240989 more --- 34427 more per day but was last updated February 11th and it includes antigen tests as well
- 523349 vaccinated --- 127445 more --- last updated today but that corresponds to 328819 1st doses + 194530 2nd doses
- 4826 hospitalized --- 1422 less --- 203 less per day
- 795 in ICU --- 70 less --- 10 less per day

The usual report wasn't published on February 8th so i had to use that day's situation report instead.

Hospitalized had a significant decrease, as shown in the picture's graph, but it's still WAY TOO HIGH. ICU is also dropping but to a much lesser extent, as expected. Even though daily fatalities dropped significantly, with still over 1K deaths per week, we crossed 15K fatalities 3 days ago :(

There was another slightly less dramatic drop in active cases as well as VERY BIG DROP in new daily cases, with the new daily case average over the last 7 days dropping by well over 50%.

Severe lockdowns DO WORK but the key is the starting point: the bigger the starting point is in cases, the longer the lockdown will need to be in place. Instead of judging from new daily cases, i think we should base ease of restrictions on the number in ICU as that number is the 2nd to last number to see bigger fluctuations, with the last one being daily deaths.

Although there was a big uptick in the number of vaccinations, this is deceptive because the 1st dose number had a small increase when compared to the 2nd dose number: 12.85% VS 86.11% respectively. We still have less than 3.3% of the population with the 1st dose. and less than 2% with the 2nd dose.
 
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Tatty_Two

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The UK has today administered 15.1 million vaccines and has met it's deadline with a day to spare, that's everyone in the population offered a vaccine who are 70+, healthcare workers, social care workers and all residents of care homes plus those with the most severe chronic underlying conditions this amounts to approx 27.5% of the population, to date the uptake for the vaccine so far has been approx 97.9% (excluding those whom through medical reasons were advised not to have it at this time), the plan now is to vaccinate everyone aged 50 to 69 plus all of the rest of the population with less severe underlying conditions by the end of April, the longer term plan is to have every adult offered a vaccine before the Autumn.

After 5.5 weeks of lockdown we saw our numbers peak around 20th January at that point we had 39.5k in hospital with Covid-19. 60-70,000 new infections daily along with a daily average of 1200 - 1600 deaths, what HTC mentions in his post above is correct, the higher the numbers at the point of lockdown pretty much determine the length of lockdown before numbers fall significantly enough to be managed in less intrusive ways, as of today we still have 23,500 hospitalisations, 11000 new cases and 258 deaths (which is likely to increase tomorrows figure because of the weekend), schools are due back starting 8th March and thereafter the lockdown may be eased incrementally up until our Easter period, if things still move in a downward trend of course.
 
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Moderna has a 100ug dose. This new study suggests a 50ug dose is just as effective.

IIRC, Pfizer has a 30uG dose.

If half doses are just as effective, then we probably should cut down on the dose so that more people can get vaccinated.

Note: we are also dangerously low on low dead space needles, necessary to save precious fluid and extract more doses out of the same vials. Doubling the supply of vaccines without doubling the needle count would be a mistake. This whole vaccination thing is complicated...
 
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MONDAY, Nov. 2, 2020 (HealthDay News) -- The coronavirus and the flu are two entirely different viruses. But a new study suggests those who get a flu vaccine face a considerably lower risk for being hospitalized if and when they get COVID-19.

The findings are based on an analysis of electronic health records for 2,000 COVID-19 patients. All had tested positive for the virus at some point between this past March and August. And just over 10% of the patients had previously been vaccinated for the flu.

"COVID patients who had not received a flu vaccine within the last year had 2.4 times greater odds of being hospitalized and 3.3 times greater chance of being transferred to the ICU," said Yang, a third-year resident in family medicine in the department of community health and family medicine at the University of Florida in Gainesville.

As to how a vaccine for an entirely different virus might offer such protection, Yang said the jury is still out. Also, the study did not prove that a flu vaccine actually caused the risk of severe COVID-19 to drop, just that there was an association.

"Unfortunately, we do not know why the flu vaccine would have this beneficial side effect," he said. "Our study did not look at this specifically. [But] if one looks at the available scientific studies, we can guess that the flu vaccine might increase natural killer cell activity, a type of immune cell that has been shown to target cancer and cells infected by viruses."

Ah right... Natural Killer cells. Those are the ones who can detect viruses / cancer better because they're super-paranoid and constantly scanning your own cells.

1613511398750.png


Yeah. That one.

The general theory is that all vaccinations heighten your "general immune system" and makes your body more stressed. A stressed body will make more natural killer cells and just make your own body more paranoid about itself... at least temporarily for some time.

------

Note that those who receive a proper COVID19 vaccines have a near 0% hospitalization or death rate. So this flu-vaccine to protect against COVID19 is... very minimal in efficacy compared to using the proper vaccine for the proper purpose. This is more of a curiosity: possibly something that will make COVID19 vaccines vs variants more difficult to properly assess.

A normal Killer T Cell must be "activated" and only really detects the specific virus it was activated against. A flu-vaccine may activate Killer T Cells but such activated cells probably won't have any effect vs COVID19. Natural Killer cells may have a degree of crossover between both the flu and COVID19 however. Still a big mystery, but an interesting stat nonetheless. And note to self: I'll have to find whoever named these cells and stab them. "Natural Killer" vs "Killer T" for two different cells is an idiotic naming scheme.



 
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Tatty_Two

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If accurate, this may possibly be why in this 3rd wave the UK are seeing that the average age of those that get hospitalised has decreased, many more 40+ (32% more than 1st wave) are getting more severe infection and a little less over 60's are being hospitalised (-14%), I say this because normally the flu vaccine is offered to health workers and those that are 70+ but this time around in the autumn they lowered the age to 60+ and encouraged them to have the flu jab, not because of Covid but to help minimise serious flu cases during the pandemic, I am therefore happy to report that I had the flu jab! :)
 
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1613883025453.png


This past week, there has been a snowstorm in the region, causing cancellations as well as missed shipments of vaccine.

As a result, it seems like the 2nd-dose appointments were prioritized, so for the first time... I'm seeing higher 2nd dose treatments than 1st dose treatments.
 
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HTC

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Here are Portugal's updated numbers this week.

Screenshot from 2021-02-14 15-46-10.png Screenshot from 2021-02-15 15-10-37.png Screenshot from 2021-02-16 16-22-49.png Screenshot from 2021-02-17 16-50-35.png Screenshot from 2021-02-18 00-18-27.png Screenshot from 2021-02-19 18-11-41.png Screenshot from 2021-02-20 23-15-10.png Screenshot from 2021-02-21 15-11-15.png

The pics are, in order, last day updated numbers and every day since then until yesterday's numbers (click for full picture), and the below numbers are current totals, week totals and daily averaged this week:

- 82341 active cases --- 22778 less --- 3254 less per day
- 665316 recovered --- 33906 more --- 4844 more per day
- 15962 fatalities --- 641 more --- 92 more per day
- 7977384 confirmed infected --- 11769 more --- 1681 more per day

- 7766169 tests taken --- 210663 more --- 30095 more per day but was last updated February 18th and it includes antigen tests as well
- 656411 vaccinated --- 133062 more --- last updated today but that corresponds to 413482 1st doses + 242929 2nd doses
- 3316 hospitalized --- 1510 less --- 216 less per day
- 638 in ICU --- 157 less --- 22 less per day

The usual report wasn't published on February 15th and yesterday's had errors in hospitalized and ICU so i had to use those day's situation report instead.

Hospitalized had a significant decrease, as shown in the picture's graph, but it's still VERY HIGH and ICU also dropped significantly. Daily fatalities dropped tremendously, with less than 100 fatalities for the 3rd consecutive day, but we're closing in on 16K fatalities, which will happen today :(
 
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