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We're already at 8.9% vaccinated (1st dose) in the USA (24% of the prioritized, higher-risk population). 30-million vaccinated.
The vaccine is spreading much more rapidly than the virus right now. Yeah, its slower than we'd like, but in 2 or 3 months, we're reasonably looking at 30%ish of the USA's population vaccinated.
UK variant may be much more infectious: but it will be facing:
* Springtime weather -- People will start to meet outside, instead of inside. The sun's stronger UV rays, the humidity, the heat... these things are known to kill the virus. Sitting indoors with recycled air is what makes the virus spread so much in the winter. The fresh air of the outdoors also makes it harder for the virus to build up in any location.
* Masks -- Masks will still be required in public, because not enough of the population was vaccinated yet for herd immunity. Unlike April 2020, April 2021 has a smarter population, with the mask debate largely settled (yeah, some anti-maskers are still around. But they aren't denying the existance of the virus anymore).
* Vaccines -- With AstraZeneca and J&J releasing their vaccines soon, vaccination rate will skyrocket. Especially in rural-areas (because AstraZeneca / J&J are "normal refrigerator" temperatures. Not -80C or -30C like Pfizer or Moderna). Our prioritized population will be largely vaccinated (75+ and 65+ populations), meaning death-rates and hospitalizations will drop dramatically. J&J's vaccine isn't very effective (only ~66% or so), but J&J prevented 100% of its deaths and hospitalizations. So people will still get sick, but our hospitals probably won't be overrun.
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South Africa and Brazil aren't "more infectious". They just avoid the immunity that we've built up. Vaccines are less effective (but vaccines still work). The question is whether or not a major-mutation that avoids the vaccine becomes prevalent. Nonetheless, the plan to make "booster shots" to protect against these variants has already taken place.
Don't get me wrong: P1 (Brazilian Variant) is worrisome. But its not COVID19 per se. P1 is starting at 0% infected around the world. P1 needs to replicate and grow and spread still. Its population is likely very, very small. We have time to prepare against P1.
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