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Maps, science, data & statistics tracking of COVID-19

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Portugal's numbers have been updated:

Screenshot from 2020-06-08 16-27-27.png Screenshot from 2020-06-09 17-41-01.png

On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 35306 confirmed infected --- 421 more
- 21339 recovered --- 161 more
- 1492 fatalities --- 7 more
- 342060 suspected cases --- 2436 more
- 940988 tests taken --- 66990 more but it's from 4 days of testing, i think
- 1618 waiting for test results --- 15 more
- 30176 under watch from authorities --- 1385 more
- 394 hospitalized --- 28 more
- 65 in ICU --- 10 more

Single digit daily death toll for the 4th day in a row: last time this happened was from March 20st to 23rd.

Unfortunately, and in not so good news, both hospitalized and ICU numbers had sizable increases, as did daily infected cases.
 

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It seems in the UK being 65+ is not really a good idea, over 89% of all our Covid-19 deaths are in that age range :eek: , for those of you that can stomach some UK Covid-19 stats as well as economic effects without it getting too heavy, this is an interesting read from the Governments "Office of National Statistics" …………...

 

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It seems in the UK being 65+ is not really a good idea, over 89% of all our Covid-19 deaths are in that age range :eek: , for those of you that can stomach some UK Covid-19 stats as well as economic effects without it getting too heavy, this is an interesting read from the Governments "Office of National Statistics" …………...

I can't separate 65+ because Portugal separates by 60-69 and 70-79 but, using 70+, 86,66% of all COVID-19 deaths recorded thus far in Portugal are of people in that age range:

Screenshot from 2020-06-09 22-05-51.png


And if we go by age 80+ instead of 70+, then the percentage is 67.63%.

Unfortunately, this is happening in most countries :(
 
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I guess we (the world) have surpassed 400,000 deaths. :(

Here is a fun timeline map. Looks like a lot of us who practiced distancing are still in the thick of the first wave of infections, having not looked at any studies to confirm.

 

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Portugal's numbers have been updated:

Screenshot from 2020-06-09 17-41-01.png Screenshot from 2020-06-10 13-10-52.png

On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 35600 confirmed infected --- 394 more
- 21742 recovered --- 403 more
- 1497 fatalities --- 5 more
- 344217 suspected cases --- 2436 more
- 940988 tests taken --- not updated
- 1724 waiting for test results --- 106 more
- 30398 under watch from authorities --- 222 more
- 417 hospitalized --- 23 more
- 70 in ICU --- 5 more

Single digit daily death toll for the 5th day in a row: last time this happened was from March 19th to 23rd, and that is the only good news of the day. Unfortunately, and like yesterday, both hospitalized and ICU numbers rose again. I'm hoping for it to be "a two day blip" but ... dunno ...

On a more "cosmetic note" whoever manages the Portuguese health site, managed to screw it up by swapping hospitalized and ICU numbers ... again ...
 

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UK reports on origins of it's infections.

IIRC, New York also feels like most of its COVID19 cases came from Europe.

Even if the virus started in China, there's simply more European travel between NYC and Europe than NYC and China. So it makes sense that Europe would be the transmission vector.
 

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IIRC, New York also feels like most of its COVID19 cases came from Europe.

Even if the virus started in China, there's simply more European travel between NYC and Europe than NYC and China. So it makes sense that Europe would be the transmission vector.

My brother had a work colleague who was skiing in Italy earlier this year. He came back and tested positive for Covid-19 (went into voluntary isolation on return as the virus news was breaking in Italy). Damn those upper class snow-tourists!
 

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My brother had a work colleague who was skiing in Italy earlier this year. He came back and tested positive for Covid-19 (went into voluntary isolation on return as the virus news was breaking in Italy). Damn those upper class snow-tourists!

Portugal thinks the exact same thing happened to us with Portuguese folks having a holiday in an Italian skying resort and, when they returned, they brought the virus with them.

But we also have had imported cases, though (click for full picture):

Screenshot from 2020-06-10 18-49-10.png

The vast majority from Spain, France and UK with "honorable mentions" for Switzerland and UAE.
 
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Have not updated for a while, as I have gone throw an emotional period of bad mood and worried about my job situation as I have already been away from my real education that are car mechanic for half a year now and it's not over yet as more and more joins the unemployment line and just sink lower down the unemployment line for its no secret that those that have not been so long unemployed are more attractive and technically developing goes fast for cars, so you get fast behind the knowledge as well. It's really hard to find a job and getting one decline after another is really frustrating after all the work I have put in to it so far. Enough of the bad.

So after a little month, we have today taken on phase 3 of reopen Denmark. And we are still seeing numbers going down even after we started reopen back in Easter in April. So that is good so far. But now we are reopen some of my biggest concern about a return of the virus. That is fitness centers and swimming centers among some of those who open now in phase 3.

latest numbers are.
Total of infected: 11962
Total recovered: 10792
Total dead: 593
Total active cases: 577 (about a month ago, this number whas around 1300-1400 cases)
Hospitalized: 79
Critical condition: 16 where 7 of these people are in respirator.

So far numbers are going the right way and that is down. But what I also notice is that more and more people slacking on the corona rules like distance and hand shake. Just don't hope this will ruin everything we have accomplished so far.

While I don't know of the job market over where you are... I think hoping for fast recovery is past us now. Maybe it could be refreshing to think of something wildly different to do - perhaps self-employed - with or without use of your skills. Countries and economies are soon going to have to reinvent themselves at least in part. I'd look in that direction, find a new growth market - car mechanics weren't exactly that anymore anyway. It can also perhaps make you feel a little better... why not let us brainstorm for you in some topic :p

Hope you find something soon, in any case.

Stats for NL - while reopening has begun and many measures are loosened up earlier than planned... (we are 'opening' since June 1st)

New infections/day
1591812561305.png


Death count
1591812582223.png


Hospitalized
1591812594882.png


Also interesting: death by age group and male/female. Green is female

1591812950108.png


My brother had a work colleague who was skiing in Italy earlier this year. He came back and tested positive for Covid-19 (went into voluntary isolation on return as the virus news was breaking in Italy). Damn those upper class snow-tourists!

Guilty... I was in Nauders, border of N Italy and Austria. We basically were back in NL just prior to the lockdown... We did stay on the Austrian side and none of us were symptomatic... but yeah. Who knows... We definitely did dodge a bullet there, if we had been out skiing one week later... dayum.
 
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IIRC, New York also feels like most of its COVID19 cases came from Europe.

Even if the virus started in China, there's simply more European travel between NYC and Europe than NYC and China. So it makes sense that Europe would be the transmission vector.
I believe that’s correct, while IIRC the west coast outbreak came from China.

These are interesting:


 
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While I don't know of the job market over where you are... I think hoping for fast recovery is past us now. Maybe it could be refreshing to think of something wildly different to do - perhaps self-employed - with or without use of your skills. Countries and economies are soon going to have to reinvent themselves at least in part. I'd look in that direction, find a new growth market - car mechanics weren't exactly that anymore anyway. It can also perhaps make you feel a little better... why not let us brainstorm for you in some topic :p

Hope you find something soon, in any case.

Stats for NL - while reopening has begun and many measures are loosened up earlier than planned... (we are 'opening' since June 1st)

New infections/day
View attachment 158506

Death count
View attachment 158507

Hospitalized
View attachment 158508

Also interesting: death by age group and male/female. Green is female

View attachment 158510



Guilty... I was in Nauders, border of N Italy and Austria. We basically were back in NL just prior to the lockdown... We did stay on the Austrian side and none of us were symptomatic... but yeah. Who knows... We definitely did dodge a bullet there, if we had been out skiing one week later... dayum.

I never believed in a V-shaped recovery from the beginning. We are more like in a u-shape at best. it will take 2-4 years before we are any near a normal marked again i believe. We first of all need to get a vaccine, before I have any hope of some normalizing. That alone is 1-2 years away and then recovery period as well.

I have considered taking a new education, economics wise it is not an option unfortunately. Else it is a good time to educate yourself. But I will take some courses while I am without a job, to try to keep me more up-to-date.

Self employed I don't think is wise now. Consumers are not happy spending money now, so open workshop is expensive and risky at the moment as I see it. I don't have the capital needed for it either.

I have tried look for jobs outside my education, but so far no luck. I think I just have to wait a little longer and take those courses while I wait and see if the car market will be better in 3Q2020.
 
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Considering millions and millions of people live in high density housing, without being anything remotely close to poor, it's most definitely something very close to horse manure.
In fact, in most cities in Asia, a lot of the high-density housing the most expensive housing, as it's the housing closest to the city centre.
In India, a lot of the high-density housing is new developments where only well off people can afford to live.
Maybe widen your views of the world before making statements that apply to your local circumstances, but not in other parts of the world.
You seem to have skipped a very relevant post!
Concerning high density living. I believe the inference is: many people within similar family groups (or extended family) inhabiting the same, small proximal space. Not to be confused with luxury high rise living which is population dense in a building footprint.

I think we can all agree, there is a vast difference between poverty and wealth with regard to how the density is 'experienced'.

So, please, no more arguing about that. Ta.
 

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Portugal's numbers have been updated:

Screenshot from 2020-06-10 13-10-52.png Screenshot from 2020-06-11 13-36-57.png

On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 35910 confirmed infected --- 310 more
- 22002 recovered --- 260 more
- 1504 fatalities --- 7 more
- 345495 suspected cases --- 1278 more
- 954069 tests taken --- 13081 more
- 1562 waiting for test results --- 162 less
- 30615 under watch from authorities --- 217 more
- 415 hospitalized --- 2 less
- 70 in ICU --- no change

Single digit daily death toll for the 6th day in a row: last time this happened was from March 18th to 23rd. @ least hospitalized dropped very slightly while ICU remained the same, as opposed to the two previous days, but we crossed the grim mark of 1500 fatalities :(
 

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Portugal's numbers have been updated:

Screenshot from 2020-06-11 13-36-57.png Screenshot from 2020-06-12 14-16-36.png

On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 36180 confirmed infected --- 270 more
- 22200 recovered --- 198 more
- 1505 fatalities --- 1 more
- 346703 suspected cases --- 1208 more
- 954069 tests taken --- 13081 more
- 1486 waiting for test results --- 76 less
- 30779 under watch from authorities --- 164 more
- 440 hospitalized --- 25 more
- 73 in ICU --- 3 more

Single digit daily death toll for the 7th day in a row: this only happened once, from March 17th to 23rd. Also to note is today's death toll equals our lowest ever since March 19th. Unfortunately, our hospitalized and ICU numbers rose again and our Lisbon and Tejo River Valley region is STILL having the vast majority of our new daily infected cases, with just over 90% of ALL of the country's daily new infected (click for full picture):

Screenshot from 2020-06-12 14-21-04.png

Though our northern region is still the most affected area with the highest number of cases, Lisbon and Tejo River Valley used to have almost 10K LESS cases but now that difference has shortened to just over 2.6K cases.

As we now know, there's a time lag between having symptoms and being hospitalized and yet another between hospitalized and fatalities, and this is what i fear we're experiencing now: on one hand, we've been having the fatalities of a "successful 1st stage re-opening" but on the other we're now experiencing the hospitalized / ICU numbers of a few small outbreaks in our Lisbon and Tejo River Valley region, which will likely have fatality consequences later on due to the time lag. "Fortunately", the vast majority of those newly infected have been young working people which are less prone to have serious complications so, hopefully, there will be less fatalities later on but we'll just have to wait and see. Ofc, this hinges on how many "more prone to complications" these new young infected passed the virus to ...
 
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1591996831580.png


Its been about 6-days since the mass George Floyd protests in Maryland. No major spikes quite yet. By my personal model, people who got COVID19 from the protests would be getting sick today (but not necessarily going to the hospital yet). If there's an issue, a spike probably would start by Wednesday, but we'd need about 3 or 4 days before we knew if the spike were random chance or actually an upwards trend.

So another week or two, unfortunately, before we can make a conclusion. Of course, I'm no statistician or public health expert, but that's my opinion on these numbers anyway.
 
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I think the consensus is 5-6 days of incubation on average, 2-14 at the extremes.
 

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Portugal's numbers have been updated:

Screenshot from 2020-06-12 14-16-36.png Screenshot from 2020-06-13 14-19-05.png

On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 36463 confirmed infected --- 283 more
- 22438 recovered --- 238 more
- 1512 fatalities --- 7 more
- 348837 suspected cases --- 2134 more
- 975737 tests taken --- 21668 more, but i think this is from 2 days, not one
- 1516 waiting for test results --- 30 more
- 30655 under watch from authorities --- 124 less
- 428 hospitalized --- 12 less
- 77 in ICU --- 4 more

Single digit daily death toll for the 8th day in a row: this never happened before.
 

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Portugal's numbers have been updated:

Screenshot from 2020-06-13 14-19-05.png Screenshot from 2020-06-14 15-21-08.png

On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 36690 confirmed infected --- 227 more
- 22669 recovered --- 231 more
- 1517 fatalities --- 5 more
- 349997 suspected cases --- 1160 more
- 975737 tests taken --- not updated
- 1385 waiting for test results --- 131 less
- 30658 under watch from authorities --- 3 more
- 419 hospitalized --- 9 less
- 73 in ICU --- 4 less

Single digit daily death toll for the 9th day in a row: this never happened before.

Our Lisbon and Tejo River Valley region continues to be a cause of concern, as evidenced by the pics below(1st pic from May 29th and 2nd from today):

Screenshot from 2020-06-14 15-26-16.png
Screenshot from 2020-06-14 15-26-58.png


In this time frame, Lisbon had an increase of 528 cases, Loures had 454, Sintra had 740 and Amadora had 458 (Amadora is not in the pic but i consulted the situation report of that day to get the "before" number). Compare that to the increases of Vila Nova de Gaia with 41, Porto with 63, Matosinhos with 15, Braga with 32 and Gondomar with 10 and it's very clear that the northern region, though it's STILL the hardest hit area, has the situation much more in control than Lisbon and Tejo River region.
 

HTC

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Software Ubuntu 20.04.6 LTS
Portugal's numbers have been updated:

Screenshot from 2020-06-14 15-21-08.png Screenshot from 2020-06-15 16-11-27.png

On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 37036 confirmed infected --- 346 more
- 22852 recovered --- 183 more
- 1520 fatalities --- 3 more
- 351057 suspected cases --- 1060 more
- 975737 tests taken --- not updated ... again
- 1241 waiting for test results --- 144 less
- 30703 under watch from authorities --- 45 more
- 431 hospitalized --- 9 less
- 73 in ICU --- no change

Single digit daily death toll for the 10th day in a row: this never happened before.

EDIT

As a ... grim curiosity ... we have more fatalities than New Zealand has cases, despite having a bit under twice their population.
 
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Hospitalizations continue to decline in Maryland, but with only -6 today, its not as much of a decline as other days. Maybe the protests did affect us (slowing down our downward trend), but maybe our downward trend has too much momentum right now to really be stopped.

A few more days before I call us safe from the protests. But the numbers are looking pretty good for now.
 

Tatty_Two

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UK Update for Monday 15th June:
All retail re-opened today (England) in the 2nd part of our Phase 2 easing, High schools returned but only for 14/15 year olds and 17 year olds (exams next year), what we call Primary schools are into week 3 return but only for 4-6 year olds and 10/11 year olds. Hospitality and most of the tourism industries still out but possibly 4th July at phase 3 may see some return. So I estimate around two thirds of the workforce are back to work, albeit a large proportion working from home because their children are not in school yet.

15 June.jpg


Edit: Slightly worrying new research on antibodies post infection...………...

 
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While I don't know of the job market over where you are... I think hoping for fast recovery is past us now. Maybe it could be refreshing to think of something wildly different to do - perhaps self-employed - with or without use of your skills. Countries and economies are soon going to have to reinvent themselves at least in part. I'd look in that direction, find a new growth market - car mechanics weren't exactly that anymore anyway. It can also perhaps make you feel a little better... why not let us brainstorm for you in some topic :p

Hope you find something soon, in any case.

Stats for NL - while reopening has begun and many measures are loosened up earlier than planned... (we are 'opening' since June 1st)

New infections/day
View attachment 158506

Death count
View attachment 158507

Hospitalized
View attachment 158508

Also interesting: death by age group and male/female. Green is female

View attachment 158510



Guilty... I was in Nauders, border of N Italy and Austria. We basically were back in NL just prior to the lockdown... We did stay on the Austrian side and none of us were symptomatic... but yeah. Who knows... We definitely did dodge a bullet there, if we had been out skiing one week later... dayum.
Also interesting is that far more women ~ 62,6% are infected than men but many more men end up in the hospital / ICU and or die. So men have a much higher risk.
 
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Ahhzz

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Also interesting is that far more women ~ 67% are infected than men but many more men end up in the hospital / ICU and or die. So men have a much higher risk
Looking at the bigger picture like this is very important!
 
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