Wednesday, July 22nd 2020
NVIDIA Interested in Acquiring Arm from SoftBank
The biggest tech news story from last week was Japan's SoftBank contemplating the sale of Arm, one of the hottest pieces of tech IP out there. Turns out, this has piqued NVIDIA's interest. The graphics and scalar compute giant recently surpassed Intel in market capitalization, and has the resources to pull off what could end up being the biggest tech acquisition in history. When it was acquired by SoftBank, Arm Holdings valued at $32 billion, and it's only conceivable that the firm's current valuation is significantly higher for SoftBank to dangle it out in the market. NVIDIA is already an Arm licensee, and following its acquisition of Mellanox, has stated intent to go big in the datacenter industry.
Source:
Bloomberg
53 Comments on NVIDIA Interested in Acquiring Arm from SoftBank
If anyone can continue ARM's work, it is Nvidia or Intel. I'd rather have Nvidia doing this, though. They are more familiar with ARM design and IP than Intel, and it would open up a world of options for the datacentre space where Nvidia has been pushing its ML/AI/HPC solutions.
EDIT: I'm seeing a lot of people commenting on Nvidia buying ARM and pulling licenses. That's just daft. The biggest reason Nvidia has to buy ARM is to continue ARM's licensing model. What would ARM be without its licensing revenue? Does Nvidia have a competing alternative to ARM? No. That would just be shooting yourself in the foot. Spin off & IPO would end up handing the company to a Chinese investment fund (because, let's face it, that's what would happen) and it's the surest way to kill off ARM. The main problem is that you can achieve better economies of scale and performance, as well as lower costs to develop (i.e. the buy in to develop a mobile graphics architecture would cost billions and take years). So they buy the whole package from the same vendor (e.g. Qualcomm). It isn't pretty, but it's what there is. Samsung and AMD will definitely keep their product locked to Exynos SoCs. As for the other vendors who develop their own SoCs, like you said, they rely on PowerVR or Mali (that latter of which, I hear, is quite expensive).
Does anyone know whether there is - somewhere - in the Intel Xe product stack a mobile part?
The only "independent" GPU IP that is around that isn't half-bad, and could possibly be the object of investment is Broadcom's VideoCore (VI, right now) which powers the Raspberry PI 4... If Broadcom were to part with it.
I highly doubt it's the biggest reason for Nvidia to buy them though, the biggest reason would be to own their own ecosystem and become competitive with Intel and AMD.
Looking how successful, or rather not successful Nvidia has been with a lot of their acquisitions in the past, to me, this is scary.
Some examples of companies that Nvidia bought and killed: Exluna, MediaQ, iREady, ULi (ok, so they sold chipsets for a while), Hybrid Graphics, PortalPlayer (parts might be used in Tegra) and Icera (3G/4G modem company, killed in less than four years). That leaves Ageia (although PhysX doesn't seem to be a thing any more), PGI (compilers, debuggers etc.) and hopefully Mellanox as successful buys. Not exactly a splendid track record. Obviously some of the technology might've been used in other products, but they seem to be no better than the competition in making something out of their acquisitions.
So say hey buy ARM, I can see them killing off a lot of the business units within ARM, GPUs for one, as they'll want everyone to use Nvidia and not ATI based GPU technology. Maybe they'll sell off or kill the Cortex-M series. They'll most likely want to hang on to the "new" server architecture from ARM, as they seem to be wanting to build their own servers. This might also mean that they'll cut off the likes of AppliedMicro, Cavium and Fujitsu. Not sure how interested they would be to continue to support the phone chip makers, as that requires a lot of staff, although, if they can get their graphics technology into that part of the market, they might do it.
Too many unknowns, but as I said, this is disconcerting, as ARM technology is in vastly more products than most people think about.
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Remember that AMD wasted billions and a lot of their manpower on ARM efforts for years and getting "nowhere", and is largely responsible for AMD to failing to compete in the CPU market for years. It's better to stick to the stuff you know, than trying to conquer new markets with several established players.
I question Nvidia's motivation with ARM. Nvidia's primary market is desktop graphics, ARM CPUs would stand no chance there. and they would risk losing their entire market share. ARM is used pretty much everywhere in embedded devices, but have no chance against the performance of x86. ARM would have to become CISC to compete with x86 performance.
And ARM is "old" as well, 35 years already, we have been waiting for this new "future" since the 80s.
The whole "legacy" argument about x86 has been dead since the mid 90s as x86 microarchitectures uses micro-operations, combining the best of CISC and RISC.
No one in the right mind will allow this, the number 1 most important and strategic technology holding to be sold to one of the most corrupt, terrible and unfair US corp that could ever exist.
The main advantages of x86 was never that this architecture was more efficient. It was always the installed base, the software catalogue of binary apps and the lead that intel had with their Fabs...
Now there are so many developpers working on arms devices, there are new technologies for Just in Time, pre-run binary translation, very good compiler and the best Fabs in the world is no longer Intel.
And the main reason ARM will take over is probably not because ARM is a better architecture, but to the fact that it's more open. There are more company and more money right now that have stakes in ARM than in x86.
That's it
And then maybe open risc v will become a thing...
Or maybe IBM could pull there head out of there back side and make power PC great again.
Anti-Trust, ... to much saturation of everything in a few companies is always bad for consumers. Who the hell are you, a cheerleader for corporate greed? A**hole.