Maps, science, data & statistics tracking of COVID-19

[the54thvoid]

From: Public Health England

View attachment 214331

Additional since last report

UnVaccinated
Cases: 32,079
Deaths: 137
0.43%

Vaccinated
Cases: 26,364
Deaths: 277
1.051%

Tragic.

How the older pop is getting hit. The age breakdown from that will further show that the majority of deaths will be in the >70's - those whose immune systems are already weakened by age and co-morbidity. Also consider that this group has been vaccinated fully for up to 6 months and likely without much further exposure to Covid. So, no T-cell immunity build up.

However, what this clearly shows is that the unvaccinated under 50's have a larger risk to life than those who are vaccinated.

 

[Xzibit]

I'm still skeptical of the studies claims as naturally immunity has been shown to only work against the variant you caught, ie, not all of them. That makes it inherently less suitable even if the above were true.

And even if the study is right, you can be sure it's conclusions will be misused by anti-vaxxer types who wrote their own conclusions above the vaccine long ago.

Public Health England has verified 137 reinfections out of 5.2million as of August 1 2021

Israel Ministry Of Health has confirmed 72 reinfections

 

[the54thvoid]

Over 100,000 deaths prevented by vaccines, PHE reveals

www.telegraph.co.uk

Might pay-walled for some.

Same folks as have been quoted in tables (Public Health England) also say vaccines have prevented 100,000 deaths (up from previous estimates).

 

[Xzibit]

Over 100,000 deaths prevented by vaccines, PHE reveals

www.telegraph.co.uk

Might pay-walled for some.

Same folks as have been quoted in tables (Public Health England) also say vaccines have prevented 100,000 deaths (up from previous estimates).

The numbers are attributed to Office of National Statistics

It also says it prevented 24 million infections

 

[the54thvoid]

Yeah, the ONS is the UK data cruncher. All stats for official figures normally come through there.

 

[Xzibit]

Yeah, the ONS is the UK data cruncher. All stats for official figures normally come through there.

Yes, Its their model that their using.

If its preventing 24mil infections and there has only been 6.6million cases in the UK since the start. Its doing a good job.

---
Update:

The model is from Cambridge University’s MRC Biostatistics Unit using Office of National Statistics numbers

Infection / Cases would be 800% worse

Deaths would be 200% worse

 

[the54thvoid]

Mixing stats.

6.6 million is the recorded number of positive tests. This is empirical. The actual numbers were estimated to be far higher.

The 24 million figure is the ONS estimate based on infection rates and the general population. This is extrapolation.

The guesstimate for infections is hard to pin down but a figure put forward back in January was 12.4 million.

 

[dragontamer5788]

Hmm. Instead of declining, the Case# rate has gone from 8% rise to 11% rise. I'm pretty surprised that this damn wave hasn't reached its peak yet.

Louisiana might be in for a difficult week. A big hurricane is coming in right now, and we all know that their hospitals are already packed with COVID19 cases. There's also the evacuations to consider: how to evacuate safely when you're one of the worst COVID19 hotspots in the country?

These evacuations are typically handled by opening emergency housing in hurricane-safe locations, such as large stadiums... or evacuating to a local schools. A lot of poor folk live in trailer homes without a foundation of any kind, so staying in such a home is a death sentence if the hurricane flies directly into the area (not only winds, but also the storm surge). Going to an evacuation zone means mingling with hundreds, maybe thousands of others however, which now carries COVID19 risks. The calculus of whether or not to go to an evacuation center has gained an additional wart this year, and neither decision seems particularly pleasant.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1431297701535158279

Current estimates are an 11-foot (3-meter) storm surge, which is more than enough to drown homes along the coast. Hopefully the hurricane veers off-course towards a less populated area.

 

[neatfeatguy]

Perhaps an interesting read for folks?

‘Bombshell’ study finds natural immunity superior to vaccination

A major study conducted by Israeli researchers into natural immunity has found that immunity acquired via infection from Covid-19 is superior to immunity from the Pfizer vaccine. Researchers at Maccabi Healthcare and Tel Aviv University compared the outcomes of over 76,000 Israelis in three...

unherd.com

 

[Space Lynx]

Two die in Japan after shots from suspended Moderna vaccines - Japan govt

Two people died after receiving Moderna Inc COVID-19 vaccine shots that were among lots later suspended following the discovery of contaminants, Japan's health ministry said on Saturday.

www.reuters.com

Metallic particles in Moderna vaccine.

I imagine vaccine hesitancy in rollout to other countries will increase because of this as well, again not funding the nasal based vaccines to move faster was a huge huge mistake.

 

[Tatty_Two]

Perhaps an interesting read for folks?

‘Bombshell’ study finds natural immunity superior to vaccination

A major study conducted by Israeli researchers into natural immunity has found that immunity acquired via infection from Covid-19 is superior to immunity from the Pfizer vaccine. Researchers at Maccabi Healthcare and Tel Aviv University compared the outcomes of over 76,000 Israelis in three...

unherd.com

Not sure it's a bombshell though, the obvious downside to this is you have to catch it in the first place, with the potential for new variants personally I would rather get vaccinated, at least then if I still catch it I have the benefit of less risk and gain from that additional natural immunity.

 

[the54thvoid]

Perhaps an interesting read for folks?

‘Bombshell’ study finds natural immunity superior to vaccination

A major study conducted by Israeli researchers into natural immunity has found that immunity acquired via infection from Covid-19 is superior to immunity from the Pfizer vaccine. Researchers at Maccabi Healthcare and Tel Aviv University compared the outcomes of over 76,000 Israelis in three...

unherd.com

Yeah, the point is, the chance of death from Covid is far smaller with the vaccine. It's academic whether or not you catch it, the problem is what it can do.

So, it's safer to catch it after vaccination, than to risk catching it from scratch, especially if you're in the older population.

Another way to paraphrase the study would be to say: if you survive Covid, you're better immunised than by vaccine alone.

Edit: lol. Have to call @lynx29.

The study also says this:

The researchers also found that people who had SARS-CoV-2 previously and then received one dose of the Pfizer-BioNTech messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccine were more highly protected against reinfection than those who once had the virus and were still unvaccinated.

 

[Space Lynx]

Edit: lol. Have to call @lynx29.

The study also says this:

yep every single study from around the world has confirmed this over and over and over. and can now add another confirmation to it. i mean that's the whole point of the scientific method being verified over and over and over.

 

[LFaWolf]

Two die in Japan after shots from suspended Moderna vaccines - Japan govt

Two people died after receiving Moderna Inc COVID-19 vaccine shots that were among lots later suspended following the discovery of contaminants, Japan's health ministry said on Saturday.

www.reuters.com

"There may only be a temporal relationship between vaccination and death," Sakamoto told Reuters. "There are so many things we still don't know to make any conclusions on these two cases."

 

[Space Lynx]

Did you even read the article?

"There may only be a temporal relationship between vaccination and death," Sakamoto told Reuters. "There are so many things we still don't know to make any conclusions on these two cases."

"As of Aug. 8, 991 people had died in Japan after receiving shots of Pfizer Inc's vaccine and 11 after receiving Moderna's, but no causality between the injections and the deaths has been established, according to the health ministry. Adverse reactions have been reported at a frequency of 0.01% for the Moderna shot."

Fear mongering is not going to help the situation.

Did you not read the article? Those previous deaths have nothing to do with the vaccine being contaminated, they are simply deaths that occurred of natural causes or Covid breakthrough post-vaccination date.

This article is new. Not related to that stuff.

Metal contaminants in the vaccine. Vaccine recalled. 2 Deaths related to the vaccine lot that was recalled.

So... not fear... facts?

 

[LFaWolf]

Did you not read the article? Those previous deaths have nothing to do with the vaccine being contaminated, they are simply deaths that occurred of natural causes or Covid breakthrough post-vaccination date.

This article is new. Not related to that stuff.

Metal contaminants in the vaccine. Vaccine recalled. 2 Deaths related to the vaccine lot that was recalled.

So... not fear... facts?

"There may only be a temporal relationship between vaccination and death," Sakamoto told Reuters. "There are so many things we still don't know to make any conclusions on these two cases."

The contaminants were in some vials. No one has mentioned they are related to the death.

 

[Space Lynx]

"There may only be a temporal relationship between vaccination and death," Sakamoto told Reuters. "There are so many things we still don't know to make any conclusions on these two cases."

The contaminants were in some vials. No one has mentioned they are related to the death.

True, nothing is certain, I mean technically speaking even 2+2 doesn't = 4 in the quantum physics world. I was simply sharing an article I read, that happened have the two deaths mentioned as well as the metal contaminant recall in the same article.

I concede however, technically you are correct. Perhaps, the media should think of new ways of reporting stuff eh?

 

[LFaWolf]

True, nothing is certain, I mean technically speaking even 2+2 doesn't = 4 in the quantum physics world. I was simply sharing an article I read, that happened have the two deaths mentioned as well as the metal contaminant recall in the same article.

I concede however, technically you are correct. Perhaps, the media should think of new ways of reporting stuff eh?

Nothing to do with the media reported.

 

[Space Lynx]

Nothing to do with the media reported. You stated, and I highlighted for you -

This is misinformation on your part. This is how FUD started.

I think they are tied together, based on how the article reads, however, it is simply not proven yet? Isn't that what the article is saying or did I read it wrong?

 

[LFaWolf]

I think they are tied together, based on how the article reads, however, it is simply not proven yet? Isn't that what the article is saying or did I read it wrong?

It was not proven yet. No one knows for certain why and how the 2 persons died, as stated in the article.

 

[Space Lynx]

It was not proven yet. No one knows for certain why and how the 2 persons died, as stated in the article.

Fair enough then, imo, they should not have included the two deaths in the article at all then, those should have been two separate articles, 1 being "moderna vaccine lot recalled due to metallic contaminants" and another article being titled "two in Japan recently die from Moderna vaccine, still being investigated"

imo there is no logical reason to include both in same article if it not linked in some way. otherwise people like me on the autism spectrum tend to get confused.

 

[LFaWolf]

Fair enough then, imo, they should not have included the two deaths in the article at all then, those should have been two separate articles, 1 being "moderna vaccine lot recalled due to metallic contaminants" and another article being titled "two in Japan recently die from Moderna vaccine, still being investigated"

imo there is no logical reason to include both in same article if it not linked in some way. otherwise people like me on the autism spectrum tend to get confused.

I agree, the media report certainly wants to hint at the correlation for the readers, but we just need to be careful not to be trapped by that.

 

[R-T-B]

Perhaps an interesting read for folks?

‘Bombshell’ study finds natural immunity superior to vaccination

A major study conducted by Israeli researchers into natural immunity has found that immunity acquired via infection from Covid-19 is superior to immunity from the Pfizer vaccine. Researchers at Maccabi Healthcare and Tel Aviv University compared the outcomes of over 76,000 Israelis in three...

unherd.com

Already posted my reaction to it in the main stats thread. Seems this one is making the rounds virally.

 

[TheLostSwede]

After two zero local case days, things exploded with a total of 23 cases and a death.

Taiwan confirms 13 new local COVID cases | Taiwan News | Aug. 29, 2021 14:33

www.taiwannews.com.tw

 

[the54thvoid]

I'd post the Scottish graph for cases but I only have a 1440p vertical resolution. But seriously, our cases are phenomonally high but we're mostly shrugging our shoulders and watching the 'relatively' low hospitalisations and deaths.

Scotland data:

Our current surge peak is 6478 cases per day... whoopsy...

But for ease of mind, the last surge in July (topping out at 3922) led to a peak of 9 deaths/day (7 day average)

Compared to the pre-vaccine coverage when the surge in January (topping out at 3133) led to a peak of 64 deaths/day (7 day average)

Our vaccine coverage in Scotland is approx. 80% (both doses) and we've had a lot of Covid cases, so combined, I don't see the threat from Covid. Sure, we'll keep getting deaths (which is unfortunate) but a medic quoted the other day said our Covid death rates are now broadly similar to that of seasonal flu (another virus that we combated with vaccines).