Friday, July 17th 2015
AMD Now Almost Worth A Quarter of What it Paid for ATI
It's been gloomy at the markets in the wake of the European economic crisis. This along with a revised quarterly outlook released by the company, hit AMD very hard over the past week. The AMD stock opened to a stock price of 1.87 down -0.09 or -4.59% at the time of writing this report, which sets the company's market capitalization at $1.53 billion. This is almost a quarter of what AMD paid to acquire ATI Technology, about a decade ago ($5.60 billion). Earlier this month, AMD took a steep fall of -15.59%, seeing its market cap drop by a quarter.
Intel is now worth $140.8 billion (92 times more), and NVIDIA $10.7 billion (7 times more). Among the issues affecting AMD are decline in PC sales and stiff competition. However, reasonably positive earnings put out by Intel disproves AMD's excuse that the market is to blame for bad performance, and the company could slide even further, hitting its all-time-low at the financial markets. The company will host an earnings call later today.
Source:
Google Finance
Intel is now worth $140.8 billion (92 times more), and NVIDIA $10.7 billion (7 times more). Among the issues affecting AMD are decline in PC sales and stiff competition. However, reasonably positive earnings put out by Intel disproves AMD's excuse that the market is to blame for bad performance, and the company could slide even further, hitting its all-time-low at the financial markets. The company will host an earnings call later today.
136 Comments on AMD Now Almost Worth A Quarter of What it Paid for ATI
1. it gives them a steady income source so their bottom line doesn't look as horrible as it actually is
2. it gives AMD's directors something to distract shareholders with when the hard questions about profitability start coming in
Neither of these imply that the console deal is anything but barely profitable. That is why nVIDIA told the console companies to take a hike - because nVDIA knew it could make more money selling discrete graphics cards. And they have.
AMD on the other hand, were essentially forced to take the console deal to stay in business - in exactly the same way they had to sell their fabs to stay in business. Neither of those decisions were best for the business long-term, but they were required if there was to be a business at all.
A pentium 3 was a pentium 4 killer..
The first generation Core i7 was a hybrid of both (had longer pipes than Core but not as long as Pentium 4).
That's also the reason why Nvidia would kill to be able to supply an x86 APU like chip, even with zero margins. But they can't.
We can all see the effects of PhysX and GameWorks on AMD GPUs. We can even see the effects of GameWorks on older Nvidia GPUs. If Nvidia was controlling GPUs in consoles, then it's proprietary techs would have been already a de facto standard. Every game programmed on consoles would have PhysX and GameWorks in it's core. It would have been close to impossible for AMD to create drivers that would be performing without problems and bad performance even on the simplest console game ports. Every game would have been a Project Cars AT BEST.
PS Freesync support in the next Nintendo console? I believe so.
If you want to gamble go to Vegas, if you want long term stability buy index funds.
Money always wins out. Unfortunately, the real problem AMD has it doesn't have the money to outspend nVidia in terms of marketing partnerships. They blew most of their money on an ill-fated Mantle push that should have instead been focused on improving their DirectX 11 drivers in obvious (multithreaded drivers) and not-so-obvious (ShaderCache) ways. Mantle did not make DX12 happen. Windows 10 made DX12 happen. Mantle did help the OpenGL committee speed things along for Vulkan because it is the base of it, but OpenGL would have built something if AMD hadn't. Not sure how AMD wasting money on Mantle to help make Vulkan really helps the AMD customer, though, in the short term with their DX11 deficiency.
And that's the sad part. The early benchmarks of DX11, DX12, etc, have proven the incredible gains that happen when multithreaded drivers happen. Something AMD users could have had for years now had AMD actually bothered to work on it.
But anyway. I just don't think it'd work the way you think. AMD wouldn't be locked out of the game as long as they have money to buy companies to make games with their technology. And they'd probably have more money to do so if they weren't losing money on selling GPU's at far less cost than they wish and making an API that next to no company ever intended to use without being paid.
Money talks. API's or special SDK's don't sell themselves and when they show up in a game, it's because someone paid someone something. It may be marketing. It may be money. It may be swag. Someone gave someone something and if you look at the industry, AMD ain't giving enough people enough stuff.
It's sad because like two years ago they were on top of this and it looked very likely they'd maintain it. But nVidia noticed and corrected the imbalance in a huge way. There's your great conspiracy. It has less to do with who owns consoles. Hell, way back when the 360 reigned as the place to port from, that didn't hurt or help nVidia users (360 had an ATI GPU). Ports were still often focused on nVidia. Why?
Because nVidia paid the publishers more money. That's why.
Right now AMD stock is trading for $1.79 If Samsung were to offer between $3 and $5 a share and buy 51% of AMD shares for a controlling interest and either force Lisa Su, or replace her with a Samsung employee as CEO, to give the boot to the street whatever inept managers need to go and then pump a few billion dollars into R&D and marketing over the next couple of years making their APU an incredible buy and making their GPUs beat Nvidia from entry level through high end for the same price and advertising these facts properly to customers and pressuring PC manufacturers to use their chips. That would be an initial investment of between 1.2 and 1.9 billion dollars for the stock (pocket change for Samsung). AMD would still be AMD so the x86 license would not be in jeopardy. Samsung dwarfs Nvidia. There is no way Nvidia could compete. Return AMD to profitability and the stock price would soar well past whatever Samsung paid to gain controlling interest and possibly even partially covering the money spent investing in R&D and marketing. Lay the groundwork right now to compete with Intel's i3 i5 and i7 and though it would take a few years of R&D to achieve that it would make AMD a very profitable company, possibly even regaining their former glory days and maybe that stock could go back up to $40 a share one day. At this point Samsung could sit back and collect the dividends on it's stock or sell the stock for a huge profit.
Anything could happen but there have been so many huge tech companies die lets hope AMD isn't another one...
So I would like to see more focus out of AMD. In all seriousness, I think AMD needs help; a partner that could offer assistance in one market so they can focus on the other and since X86 isn't transferable and shader tech seemingly is. Imagine a world where Samsung has access to shader tech. I think that would make both nVidia and Intel shudder because of the amount of R&D that could get dumped into it.
This is a case where Samsung can't get into x86, but they could partner with AMD to produce and develop the GPU side of APUs which would give huge benefits to both sides I would imagine. I also hear that Samsung's fabs aren't too shabby.
Really they should licence out the CPU part but they cant really do that due to x86
but if they found some one that had the money to pay for licencing for the ati stuff. they could recoup what they pay intel for x86 and concentrate on APU/cpus maybe even just for the mobile/console market untill they stabilize
We have x86 since 35 years ago.
True its not the same as today, but at least older versions should be public property by now isn't it?
like AMD is drunk, over confidence with their products
they like has no 2nd tier products that could help them to get more market and more money
look at their processor, i dont say their processor is bad but they should realize that they should put something better than adding more cores and more cores
later they pack the processor with better graphic processing, its good but their processor cant fight their competitor
simply, they cant fight in intel arena, if they wanna get something better make their own arena
like mediatek, blackberry