Wednesday, May 11th 2016

AMD Pulls Radeon "Vega" Launch to October

In the wake of NVIDIA's GeForce GTX 1080 and GTX 1070 graphics cards, which if live up to their launch marketing, could render AMD's high-end lineup woefully outperformed, AMD reportedly decided to pull the launch of its next big silicon, Vega10, from its scheduled early-2017 launch, to October 2016. Vega10 is a successor to "Grenada," and will be built on the 5th generation Graphics CoreNext architecture (codenamed "Vega").

Vega10 will be a multi-chip module, and feature HBM2 memory. The 14 nm architecture will feature higher performance/Watt than even the upcoming "Polaris" architecture. "Vega10" isn't a successor to "Fiji," though. That honor is reserved for "Vega11." It is speculated that Vega10 will feature 4096 stream processors, and will power graphics cards that compete with the GTX 1080 and GTX 1070. Vega11, on the other hand, is expected to feature 6144 stream processors, and could take on the bigger GP100-based SKUs. Both Vega10 and Vega11 will feature 4096-bit HBM2 memory interfaces, but could differ in standard memory sizes (think 8 GB vs. 16 GB).
Source: 3DCenter.org
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116 Comments on AMD Pulls Radeon "Vega" Launch to October

#27
Caring1
Just in time for Christmas.
Posted on Reply
#28
medi01
buggalugsI really dont think AMD have been caught out, Everyone in the industry has expected big performance gains with 16nm and 14nm. Die shrinks usually at least double performance from previous gen.
That's the puzzling part, actually.
I mean, dafuq were they thinking at AMD, why was it ok not to get something that takes on 980Ti? (490/490x)

Maybe they focused on "semi-custom" (consoles) and mobile chips for Apple too much.
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#29
ensabrenoir
......Maybe Amd was focusing on the consoles and figured nvidia would take it easy this go around and release something with very minor performance increases.
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#30
LightningJR
buggalugsThe reference 1070 is $449 and with limited availability and no competition for a while, expect to pay over $500 , probably around $549 for a 1070 at least until October. Same with the 1080, the reference card is $699, but will be more like $749 or more for months.
I would love to hear the basis of your argument for this reasoning.

For one founders edition is basically NVidia brand and reference cooler. From all that I have heard and read manufacturers will launch their cards along side NVidia's own at suggested retail price with the reference cooler.

There's no reason to think the cards will be sold at higher than suggested retail unless there's low stock. Also, why October? Because AMD will release Vega then? That why you think prices will come down in Oct?

4 years ago I bought my 670 at the EXACT same price it launched for.
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#31
Prima.Vera
RCoonCause I NEED IT NOW
Mee too. Got myself a nice 34 incher, unfortunately my 780Ti cannot match the double increase in pixels.
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#32
ZoneDymo
Good I guess? I think they would be smart to counter Nvidias new card in the meantime with just a good good price drop on current cards, not many need more performance then an R9 390 let alone a Fury so yeah drop pricing and sell those off.
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#33
iO
medi01That's the puzzling part, actually.
I mean, dafuq were they thinking at AMD, why was it ok not to get something that takes on 980Ti? (490/490x)
Simple lack of resources. They focused on the really needed replacement of their ancient Pitcairn/Hawaii rebrands.

Maybe the were expecting from Nvidia to focus on low power too.
Or they didnt expect TSMCs 16nm to clock that high.
Posted on Reply
#34
cdawall
where the hell are my stars
Why is everyone freaking out like this is a new thing there has always been a few months between releases of high end cards from NV and amd. This is the same thing that has happened for decades. Welcome to the past 9 gens of cards.
Posted on Reply
#35
R-T-B
RCoonGuess that means NVidia won't respond with the 1080ti until after October. Gotta wait even longer :(
The longer it takes, the more likely I can scrape together the dollars to afford it.

All's good in frog town.
Posted on Reply
#36
medi01
iOOr they didnt expect TSMCs 16nm to clock that high.
But GF promises... lots of improvements from node shrink, why would they expect less from TSMC:

cdawallWelcome to the past 9 gens of cards.
The Q is, what is behind this move.
Was it planned as a surprise for nVidia.
Or is it a response to bad surprise (although I don't fucking get how that could have been surprising) from nVidia. (bad for AMD that is)

I mean, HBM2 in... Oct 2016? Wow.
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#37
ZoneDymo
ensabrenoir......Maybe Amd was focusing on the consoles and figured nvidia would take it easy this go around and release something with very minor performance increases.
which is effectively what is happening...that 2 x TitanX is just massive bs.
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#38
ZoneDymo
cdawallWhy is everyone freaking out like this is a new thing there has always been a few months between releases of high end cards from NV and amd. This is the same thing that has happened for decades. Welcome to the past 9 gens of cards.
People tend to forget, it happens all the time, just look at all those "analysts" predicting things on the TV about for example which candidate will be chosen or how things will go, constantly wrong and yet some time later they are called right back in to sell us bs once again....the people just tend to forget what these asshats predicted and that they were wrong.
Just an example obviously but the main point is....people forget.
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#39
wiak
Polaris 10 is replacement for Grenada
Vega is replacement for Fiji

the writing is on the wall, there is a reason vega has hbm2
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#40
ensabrenoir
ZoneDymowhich is effectively what is happening...that 2 x TitanX is just massive bs.
.....I think its faster than titian x/ 980 sli which is true depending on situation #marketing4thewin
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#41
snakefist
Amazing how much information is here :)

As of now, NOBODY had neither 1070, 1080 or any Polaris for an independent test, Nvidia silicon wasn't shown last week (somebody smart will quickly claim opposite, yes CEO was *holding* one), we had selective benchmarks by manufacturer claiming *something* - and final 'proof' was some guy supposedly running unreleased game on youtube at, supposedly, insane speed.

Meanwhile, in the opposite corner, several months ago we saw unnamed card beating another 'comparative' one (at least it was manufacturer silicon) in... power-usage. And now the release date of another future product suddenly become CLOSER for 6 months, despite the opposite being true in most cases.

But thanks to these informative posts, now I know so much more! Who-was-punched-and-where and what other cards beat TitanX and so on...

Personally, I consider card released when I am able to buy it in local store. At that time, there are usually whole bunch of benchmarks proving this-and-that, and prices are often adjusted from initial recommendations. If I'm buying something (usually mid-range), I decide *then*. But that's just me...
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#42
efikkan
I don't doubt that AMD is in panic mode (especially since it seems they might not compete with neither GTX 1070 nor GTX 1080), but I don't trust forum posts from a single guy on 3dcenter, a site which btw is known for mispredictions.

We'll see in time if there is some more solid info backing this.
Posted on Reply
#43
GhostRyder
Interesting, well I guessed they might do that if they could muster up the supply especially if they worried about the new GTX 1070/1080 being as good as it sounds. Guess I can wait a little longer and see what they bring to the table, but that 1080 at 2100mhz is calling my name!!! I just wonder what it will do under water (or if that will make a difference)!!!
Posted on Reply
#44
G33k2Fr34k
You don't aim low when you have access to finfet fabrication technology. What they did is ridiculous and they're paying for it. Also, many key people left their graphics division since RTG was formed headed by that new guy.
Posted on Reply
#45
TheinsanegamerN
efikkanI don't doubt that AMD is in panic mode (especially since it seems they might not compete with neither GTX 1070 nor GTX 1080), but I don't trust forum posts from a single guy on 3dcenter, a site which btw is known for mispredictions.

We'll see in time if there is some more solid info backing this.
I want to know what they were thinking. Why would vega take so long to come out after polaris? HBM2 may be interesting, but they need to compete now, not later. I thought they would have figures that out after the whole fury debacle.
Posted on Reply
#46
efikkan
TheinsanegamerNI want to know what they were thinking. Why would vega take so long to come out after polaris? HBM2 may be interesting, but they need to compete now, not later. I thought they would have figures that out after the whole fury debacle.
HBM2 will be scarce throughout Q1 2017, but why not use GDDR5X? It's more than fast enough for gaming anyway.
Posted on Reply
#47
TheinsanegamerN
efikkanHBM2 will be scarce throughout Q1 2017, but why not use GDDR5X? It's more than fast enough for gaming anyway.
Exactly. vega should have been built around gddr5x, with another super chip built around HBM2.
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#48
Eroticus
TheinsanegamerNExactly. vega should have been built around gddr5x, with another super chip built around HBM2.
What is the point of GDDR5X 256bit bus on gtx 1080, if 356bit bus of GDDR5 is still faster ... ? maybe i don't understand something....
Posted on Reply
#49
ShurikN
Is it just me, or is the naming scheme retarded. Polaris has 10 faster than 11, and Vega has 11 faster than 10 ?!?!?!
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#50
TheinsanegamerN
EroticusWhat is the point of GDDR5X 256 on gtx 1080, if 356 bus of GDDR5 is still faster ... ? maybe i don't understand something....
It comes down to several things.

A.) a 256 bit bus is much easier to wire up physically on a PCB than a 384 bit bus, to say nothing of a 512 bit bus. This reduces the number of faulty PCBs during manufacturing and decreased PCB complexity, increasing yields.

B.) a 256 bit bus does not require as many memory controllers (4 64 bit buses compared to 6 for 384 bit or 8 for 512 bit) which cuts down on not just power use, but chip complexity as well. Again, cheaper and easier to make with better yields than a 384 bit chip. This was also part of the reason hawaii was such a power hog, a 512 bit bus is hard to make power efficient.

C.) a 256 bit bus can outdo a 384 bit bus, depending on the memory tech behind it. We dont know how much bandwidth GDDR5X pushes on the 1080. It could very well push more data than a 384 bit GDDR5 bus. GDDR5X clocks much higher, and the final bandwidth number is what matters, not the number of bits. GDDR5X also has larger memory chips available than ddr5 does IIRC, making it cheaper to offer 8GB VRAM capacities. Fewer memory chips also means lower power draw.
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