Friday, November 16th 2018
Intel Cutting Retail Processor Supply for Holiday 2018
Prices of retail packages of Intel Core desktop processors could continue to rise over Q4-2018, as the company has reportedly cut their supply, in favor of tray/reel shipments to OEMs. This could mean DIY favorites such as the Core i5-8400, the i5-8600K, i5-9600K, or even Core i7 models such as the i7-8700K, i7-9700K, and the flagship i9-9900K could be severely in short supply, or heavily marked up wherever available. Intel recently devised a strategy to increase its Core processor volumes by pumping in an additional $1 billion to its usually-$15 billion capital expenditure, to fire up small-scale manufacturing facilities around the world, to augment its bigger fabs located in Malaysia and Vietnam.
Sites like Mexico, Israel, and Ireland are beneficiaries of this move, and are being expanded. Much of Intel's efforts appear to be focused on making sure notebook and pre-built PC manufacturers aren't starved of processor inventory. The DIY retail channel, which consists of boxed processors, will foot the bill for this move. A good example of understocked retail channel would be the $499 Core i9-9900K processor being sold for upwards of $900 in some online stores. AMD is in an enviable position to fill the void, comments PCGamesN. Prices of its Ryzen desktop processor PIBs are either flat, or marginally cut; and socket AM4 motherboards are generally cheaper than LGA1151 ones.
Sources:
PCGamesN, DigiTimes
Sites like Mexico, Israel, and Ireland are beneficiaries of this move, and are being expanded. Much of Intel's efforts appear to be focused on making sure notebook and pre-built PC manufacturers aren't starved of processor inventory. The DIY retail channel, which consists of boxed processors, will foot the bill for this move. A good example of understocked retail channel would be the $499 Core i9-9900K processor being sold for upwards of $900 in some online stores. AMD is in an enviable position to fill the void, comments PCGamesN. Prices of its Ryzen desktop processor PIBs are either flat, or marginally cut; and socket AM4 motherboards are generally cheaper than LGA1151 ones.
106 Comments on Intel Cutting Retail Processor Supply for Holiday 2018
should be
"AMD HIRE NEW SALES TEAM"
instead of
Intel Cutting Retail Processor Supply for Holiday 2018
trog
However, based on the RX590, I'm not holding my breath for another evergreen V. fermi battle anytime soon.
The only reason this is somewhat working with Intel currently is because they genuinely seem to not know how to react properly to a competitive product. At this point in time a CPU that's 5% faster and god knows how much more expensive simply isn't a compelling enough offer from neither companies but Intel doesn't get that.
First it was SSD and DRAM
then it was GPU
now it's Intel CPUs
next probably PSU because of tariffs
then what? coolers??
Well i'd say screw intel and hello AMD
As for your conspiracy theory about Intel squeezing out production of low-end chips so they can produce more high-end ones - okay, tell me which are the majority of CPUs that Intel sells to OEMs. Hint: it's not high-end ones. See previous post about contracts.
This is all about $$. Nothing more.
Zen has a real chance here because it's already two generations in (Zen and Zen+) and both of those chips have been significantly better, in terms of core count and cost, than Intel's. AMD has momentum now and a good holiday period will give them another push through to Zen 2, which again should give another push that will keep their CPUs in the spotlight. I suggest you go and learn the most basic things about how integrated circuit design works WRT fabrication before you embarrass yourself any further.
Notebook chips, seriously they are the biggest sellers to OEM. I guess you have to elaborate what do you mean by high end ~ MSDT, HEDT, servers or notebook? I can't say what the product mix is for these products, but surely the lowly retail Pentium, Celeron are low margin & relatively low(er) volume as compared to the rest of the stack. I imagine even for OEM, now we've seen Intel limit the supply of one such chip in the past ~ www.techpowerup.com/235035/intel-pentium-g4560-cannibalizing-core-i3-sales-company-effectively-kills-it
Something deep within the subconscious told me to buy that 8086K 5.3Ghz bin from SL way back in June, since needed to upgrade (2) rigs this year and had no idea what Intel would be offering with Coffee Lake Refresh. Bird in the hand logic prevails.
I blame Intel for going dark on all of us. They decided to cancel the annual Intel Developers Forum. Now we rely on leaks to plan our builds, it's absolutely crazy. :shadedshu:
1. Datacenters: "You're the kings, how can we help you?"
2. Notebook and pre-built PC manufacturers: "OK, OK, stop whining, you'll get our OEM CPU junk!"
3. DIY PC builders: "Go F... yourselves! Open your shallow wallets or shut up!"
Those "lowly" Pentiums and Celerons make up the bulk of Intel's income (along with the server chips). Most systems built by OEMs are for secretaries and accountants and office workers who don't need high-core-count high-clocked processors, which means most of those systems use Pentiums and Celerons. And OEMs sell more systems, and therefore more CPUs, than every consumer retailer combined... probably a single OEM sells more than any retailer. OEM CPUs don't have as high a margin as retail, sure, but so many are sold that they still end up being many times more profitable than consumer sales.
Remember what I said before about contracts? OEMs have watertight contracts with Intel that specify that Intel will sell them X amount of CPUs at X amount of money and if Intel doesn't, Intel is in breach of the agreement. A breached agreement means Intel pays penalties to the OEMs... big monetary penalties. Really f'n big. The end result is that Intel literally cannot afford to not supply CPUs to its OEMs: it has to manufacture as many (probably more) low-end CPUs as it was before, but now it has less fab capacity. And - importantly - OEMs are essentially a guaranteed market for Intel; those contracts run for years, so if Intel breaks them, OEMs will go to AMD and stick with them. That's really bad news, maybe even worse than the financial implication.
D'you know the other type of chips that OEMs buy in massive volumes from Intel? Server chips. Again, Intel cannot cut production of those due to contractual agreements, and even if they could they wouldn't want to, because while comparatively few server chips are sold, the margins on those chips make the margins on retail look like a joke. (This is essentially the inverse of the low-end chips.)
What's the only segment that Intel can cut, to account for its diminished fab capacity, without kicking itself in the head too hard? That's right... consumer. The i7s and i9s, whether for mainstream or HEDT, are also the chips that make Intel the least amount of money. Cutting their production is going to be super painful for Intel's public image, but it's the "least bad" option in terms of what it means for the company's financials and relationship with OEMs.