Friday, May 13th 2022
Elon Musk Places Twitter Acquisition on Hold as Doubts Emerge Over its Userbase Data
Elon Musk in a late-Thursday tweet announced that he is placing his Twitter acquisition bid on "temporary hold" over doubts about the platform's spam-bot data. Twitter, in a recent SEC regulatory filing, disclosed that spam bots made up less than 5% of its userbase. The filing revealed that Twitter has 229 million users that viewed consistent ads, while fewer than 5% of the "monetizable daily active users" were fake or spam-bot accounts. Financial analysts predict the substantial fall in cryprocurrency values, as well as a $400 billion drop in market-capitalization of the Tesla stock since Musk announced plans to buy Twitter, may have made the world's richest man squeamish about buying Twitter, and that he is probably looking for a legally safe escape route from the deal. Twitter shares plummeted in value since the Musk tweet.
Source:
The Street
67 Comments on Elon Musk Places Twitter Acquisition on Hold as Doubts Emerge Over its Userbase Data
Does Musk have the ability to "quietly sell" Twitter stock? Has he ever engaged in pump-and-dump actions with other properties? I realize that Musk doesn't have to report his holdings for another couple months, but is it possible he suddenly owns less than people think he does?
The 9% of Twitter share buy was on a Schedule 13G form, which has restrictions. In particular, Musk had to be a passive investor / not really affecting Twitter. IE: If Elon Musk were buying "normally" (including using his newfound shares to lean on the board), he would be limited to buy 5% at a time under Schedule 13D. This gives time for other shareholders to know who the major players are.
In any case, Elon Musk constantly breaks the law like this and no one ever seems to care. Actually, it riles up his fans and makes them cheer for him even harder in most cases.
He might find a way out with the bot misreports and stuff like that, otherwise damn! I think they were looking into it, it's a pretty clear violation, but yeah, the irrational fans will not get it and it's the kind of shit the SEC is always letting by so they migth seem biased by going after him (because of course 2 wrongs make a right, right?)
I think they'll sue him to buy Twitter, push him into a plea-bargain, and then maybe get $2 or $5 Billion in cash out of him for wasting their time / harming Twitter as a company, and carry on with their life.
There's a lot of $$ between the $1 Billion escape clause (which probably won't be used), and the $44 Billion "force him to buy us" option (which... though legally binding, probably won't be used IMO anyway). The Twitter Board is likely meeting right now to discuss exactly what they want / their strategy for this whole event...
Yes. That Saudi Arabia. Killers of Jamal Khashoggi.
The "Free Speech" argument is just smoke-and-mirrors. All Elon Musk cares about is his own money. That money is threatened by... well... the -20% the stock market has taken, meaning his original bid for $54.20 is now mispriced. Well... should have thought of that before signing the contract. That's all this is about, Elon Musk always chases after the money.
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EDIT: Anyway, do you really think Elon Musk, fervent user of Twitter, didn't know about the bots on Twitter? That boggles the mind, its pretty obvious that so many accounts on there are bots to me. But lets pretend for a second that Elon Musk didn't know this and truly was a complete dumbass about how the platform works.
Please quote the location in the contract (d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.net/CIK-0001418091/e61e4376-e2c5-4d54-8782-d63fc5e096e9.pdf) that says Elon Musk can pull out because the %bots was higher than he expected.
The contract states: “Material Adverse Effect". I'm being told that "Material Adverse Effect" is about 40% of a company's revenue. +/- 5% fake bot accounts is therefore, not a "Material Adverse Effect". So Elon Musk's ramblings here (ironically, on the Twitter platform) are completely bunk.
As this contract was for the state of Delaware, Delaware's history is important. They almost never find "material adverse effects": www.jonesday.com/en/insights/2018/10/delaware-chancery-court-finally-finds-an-mae
The case in this question: courts.delaware.gov/Opinions/Download.aspx?id=279250
Page 132: So... "Material Adverse Effects" are things that cause an immediate change to the profits of the company on a scale of ~40% or higher.
I don't think Elon Musk, even with the world's best lawyers, is convincing a Delaware jury that this 5% bots statistic published by (random-newspaper) is a MAE of that caliber.
4.4, 4.5, 4.6
They had undisclosed liabilities in fraudulent user numbers and the possible repercussions from their advertisement partners.
Kind of a big thing, it would be like buying a car company that had knowledge of multiple issues with the current product and failed to disclose them.
www.goulstonstorrs.com/whats-market-blog/no-undisclosed-liabilities-representations
It’s common in the home market, lemon laws exist for the same reason.
Most of Twitter was owned by the Middle East where the women have fewer rights and respect than a good horse or camel, where gays are thrown off roofs. So OK as long as it bans Trump? I’m not sure I get your stance and why I should care where he gets the money and if he is willing to grant more speech.
EDIT: Probably unfair of me to just leave it off like this. But an "undisclosed liability" basically means that they're lying on their balance sheet. "Undisclosed liability" would be fraud, full stop, on their 10k or 10q forms. +/-5% twitter users being bots or whatever isn't a "liability", let alone an "undisclosed liability".
A "balance sheet" is the list of assets (aka, +money), and liabilities (aka: -money, what they literally owe to others), that is required to be filed 4-times a year (10-Q statements), plus 1x a year for a yearly review (aka: the 10K).
These words used have specific meanings. I'm no lawyer, but I do read balance sheets / follow investing news when I'm trying to figure out where to put my money to invest. So I'm sure I could be messing up some legal details here. But... you're absolutely using the word "liability" incorrectly in that sentence.
How do you feel Twitter has been honest about their users and service given the revelations about the follower counts, shadow bans, and number of boys they have either created or allowed to exist in a effort to inflate their value?
This has as many implications for them being sued by their shareholders which in itself creates a liability they were aware could happen as it does for the sale directly.
lol
Stop defending Musk, he made an impulsive move to look cool and now he is trying to get out of it. Twitter was not profitable before and that is not this 5% that is going to change anything.
And if he thought about doing money with twitter, well, it's not that 5% that would have changed a motivated investor. They would have required way more than that to turn profits with Twitter on a consistent basis.
It's really more that few weeks ago, it was 1/6 of his fortune and now it's closer to 1/3.
I wish more people were OK with their ideas and thoughts being discussed and challenged with opposing ideas and thoughts so the masses could see we aren’t very different, we all want the same basic needs met.
Thank you.
Thanks for keeping the place clean, mate. :toast: My earlier post in this thread approached how I believe Twitter is an important asset for Musk, because it's an essential tool for his identity and how his reach is absolutely massive there. Over a million interactions because he said he was drinking chocolate milk o_O
Moderator edit: Although this post is an image only, it is relevant to the thread - just in case anybody thinks it's reportable. It's not.
We all need to remember we are here to help each other and the community comes first. My bad for being too political.