Tuesday, January 7th 2025
AMD Explains Missing RDNA 4 Announcements At CES
Perhaps the biggest surprise at AMD's January 6 CES keynote address was the omission of the Radeon RX 9070 series desktop graphics cards, and the RDNA 4 graphics architecture. This was particularly because the CES Pre-brief slide-deck that AMD provided to press included materials about Radeon, but the actual presentation on stage lacked that content. Immediately after the event, AMD leadership, including David McAfee and Frank Azor agreed to sit down with a small group of tech journalists for a roundtable talk, and we had a seat. In this article, we will try to share what we can. The talk began with addressing the elephant in the room, about why AMD omitted Radeon-related announcements in Jack Huynh's keynote address and the company also confirmed that providing press with pre-brief Radeon info was intentional, and they knew that info wouldn't be included on the main stage.
AMD says that the 45-minute keynote address didn't provide sufficient time to properly announce the Radeon RX 9070 series and RDNA 4. The company pointed to other announcements it omitted in the keynote, such as the Ryzen Z2 line of gaming handheld chips. The company says that Radeon-related announcements, would have needed a much greater time-share in the keynote, to detail the change in the product naming (more on this later), where the RX 9070 series fit into the market, the advancements made by RDNA 4, and new technology such as FSR 4.AMD said that the Radeon RX 9070 series could see the light of the day in Q1 2025, and that the company will do at least an online media event to launch them. This hour-long presentation will give the team a better opportunity to dive deep into the nuts and bolts of RDNA 4 and the RX 9000 series. The company wouldn't confirm the exact date on which it plans to launch these cards, but we know from the pre-brief presentation that the launch is within Q1 2025, and that all of AMD's add-in board partners have their custom design cards ready.
We then jumped into the rabbit hole of product naming, and why AMD chose to give up a gaming GPU model naming scheme that it had built over three generations of Navi, starting with the RX 5000 series, succeeded by the RX 6000, and the RX 7000. The RX 5000 series now over 5 years old, so the market has had quite a bit of exposure to this naming scheme. AMD first sought to explain why it skipped the RX 8000 series. The company said that it wanted to align the model numbering with the Ryzen 9000 series desktop processors.
In the second half of AMD's answer, the company sought to explain the change from something like the "RX 9700 XT" to the "RX 9070 XT." The rumors are true, AMD wanted to make it easier for gamers to identify competitive positioning of SKUs, by giving them a naming scheme similar to "the competition," namely NVIDIA. This way, gamers would compare the RX 9070 XT to NVIDIA's GeForce RTX 5070 or the RTX 5070 Ti; and the future RX 9060 XT with the RTX 5060 Ti or RTX 5060.
A journalist then asked what was on everyone's mind at that point—if you're doing this to train consumers, then will this naming scheme stick. The Radeon RX "Navi" family is now already at the 9000 series, and the next generation will probably have to either be the "RX 10070" or bring yet another change. To this, AMD agreed that it cannot commit to a naming scheme, it constantly assesses the market and consumer behavior, and implements whatever works.
The next question by one of the journalists sought AMD's comment on what is the decision tree that led to the development of RDNA 4. AMD responded that it wanted to seek volumes, mainly to identify key segments of the market that pushed the most volumes, and then try to win in those segments with products that delivered higher performance per dollar and efficiency. The bulk of the market is running after the 70-series and the 60-series (eg: the RTX 4070 and the RTX 4060), and so AMD could save itself a lot of product development by only focusing on winnable segments. The company does not have to prove its ability to create enthusiast-segment GPUs, that's just not where the market is at. The switch to the 70-series and 60-series naming scheme was more to make it easier to reach out to the market volume.
AMD was also asked for its reaction on the Intel Arc B580 "Battlemage," specifically on how Intel succeeded in winning praise from both the press and gamers for a well-rounded product at $250. AMD's response sounded like they are very impressed with the B580. "I think it's a testament that if you bring features and performance to a great value price-point, it will really resonate with consumers." They seemed to agree that AMD's strategy will be very similar to that of Intel—to impress upon the largest volume segments of the market with high performance/dollar products.
AMD says that it got a lot of praise as well as flack from the RDNA 3 generation, and is trying to replicate the things that brought it praise. The RX 7000 series only had a couple of home-runs, such as the RX 7800 XT and the RX 7900 GRE, and the company's effort will be to replicate the success of those products.The attention then turned to FSR 4, and a footnote in AMD's pre-brief presentation slide which said that FSR 4 will only be available to the RX 9070 series for supported games with FSR 3.1 already integrated. AMD said that FSR 4 uses a machine-learning based algorithm to reconstruct details in its super resolution component, and that RDNA 4 provides a significant uplift in MLops over the previous generations of RDNA, and so initially FSR 4 will be available on the RX 9000 series, but the company will assess specific SKUs from previous generations that it thinks are capable of the AI acceleration performance needed for FSR 4 SR algorithm to work without imposing a prohibitive performance or latency cost. FSR 4 will be a significant improvement not just in frame-rate at a given preset, but also image quality.
We then asked AMD about its priorities in developing RDNA 4, and explain why they'd ranked something high or something else a bit low. Their priority number 1 was to focus on improving performance in areas that gamers care about the most. You should expect in this generation to see big ray tracing improvements, big MLops (AI acceleration) improvements, for things like FSR 4 and ML Super Resolution.
The second priority is that every component on the GPU is designed for efficiency, not just in terms of energy efficiency, but in terms of the things that will allow AMD to price the product competitively—the right manufacturing process, the right die-size, the right memory type. In other words, AMD is preparing for a very stiff price war against NVIDIA and potentially Intel, where it doesn't want exotic hardware design decisions to erect barriers for the marketing team.
The third and smaller priority was go-to-market. If you recall, AMD was significantly slower than NVIDIA at going to market with the Radeon RX 7000 series. The RX 7900 series arrived at a time when NVIDIA had almost concluded rolling out the RTX 40-series. AMD wants to avoid that this time around, and you should see a fairly brisk set of product launches by AMD in the RX 9000 series.Lastly, AMD refuted performance claims about the RX 9000 series GPUs doing rounds on the Internet. "Nobody has the final driver, not even the board manufacturers, so don't believe performance claims on the Internet," AMD quipped.
AMD says that the 45-minute keynote address didn't provide sufficient time to properly announce the Radeon RX 9070 series and RDNA 4. The company pointed to other announcements it omitted in the keynote, such as the Ryzen Z2 line of gaming handheld chips. The company says that Radeon-related announcements, would have needed a much greater time-share in the keynote, to detail the change in the product naming (more on this later), where the RX 9070 series fit into the market, the advancements made by RDNA 4, and new technology such as FSR 4.AMD said that the Radeon RX 9070 series could see the light of the day in Q1 2025, and that the company will do at least an online media event to launch them. This hour-long presentation will give the team a better opportunity to dive deep into the nuts and bolts of RDNA 4 and the RX 9000 series. The company wouldn't confirm the exact date on which it plans to launch these cards, but we know from the pre-brief presentation that the launch is within Q1 2025, and that all of AMD's add-in board partners have their custom design cards ready.
We then jumped into the rabbit hole of product naming, and why AMD chose to give up a gaming GPU model naming scheme that it had built over three generations of Navi, starting with the RX 5000 series, succeeded by the RX 6000, and the RX 7000. The RX 5000 series now over 5 years old, so the market has had quite a bit of exposure to this naming scheme. AMD first sought to explain why it skipped the RX 8000 series. The company said that it wanted to align the model numbering with the Ryzen 9000 series desktop processors.
In the second half of AMD's answer, the company sought to explain the change from something like the "RX 9700 XT" to the "RX 9070 XT." The rumors are true, AMD wanted to make it easier for gamers to identify competitive positioning of SKUs, by giving them a naming scheme similar to "the competition," namely NVIDIA. This way, gamers would compare the RX 9070 XT to NVIDIA's GeForce RTX 5070 or the RTX 5070 Ti; and the future RX 9060 XT with the RTX 5060 Ti or RTX 5060.
A journalist then asked what was on everyone's mind at that point—if you're doing this to train consumers, then will this naming scheme stick. The Radeon RX "Navi" family is now already at the 9000 series, and the next generation will probably have to either be the "RX 10070" or bring yet another change. To this, AMD agreed that it cannot commit to a naming scheme, it constantly assesses the market and consumer behavior, and implements whatever works.
The next question by one of the journalists sought AMD's comment on what is the decision tree that led to the development of RDNA 4. AMD responded that it wanted to seek volumes, mainly to identify key segments of the market that pushed the most volumes, and then try to win in those segments with products that delivered higher performance per dollar and efficiency. The bulk of the market is running after the 70-series and the 60-series (eg: the RTX 4070 and the RTX 4060), and so AMD could save itself a lot of product development by only focusing on winnable segments. The company does not have to prove its ability to create enthusiast-segment GPUs, that's just not where the market is at. The switch to the 70-series and 60-series naming scheme was more to make it easier to reach out to the market volume.
AMD was also asked for its reaction on the Intel Arc B580 "Battlemage," specifically on how Intel succeeded in winning praise from both the press and gamers for a well-rounded product at $250. AMD's response sounded like they are very impressed with the B580. "I think it's a testament that if you bring features and performance to a great value price-point, it will really resonate with consumers." They seemed to agree that AMD's strategy will be very similar to that of Intel—to impress upon the largest volume segments of the market with high performance/dollar products.
AMD says that it got a lot of praise as well as flack from the RDNA 3 generation, and is trying to replicate the things that brought it praise. The RX 7000 series only had a couple of home-runs, such as the RX 7800 XT and the RX 7900 GRE, and the company's effort will be to replicate the success of those products.The attention then turned to FSR 4, and a footnote in AMD's pre-brief presentation slide which said that FSR 4 will only be available to the RX 9070 series for supported games with FSR 3.1 already integrated. AMD said that FSR 4 uses a machine-learning based algorithm to reconstruct details in its super resolution component, and that RDNA 4 provides a significant uplift in MLops over the previous generations of RDNA, and so initially FSR 4 will be available on the RX 9000 series, but the company will assess specific SKUs from previous generations that it thinks are capable of the AI acceleration performance needed for FSR 4 SR algorithm to work without imposing a prohibitive performance or latency cost. FSR 4 will be a significant improvement not just in frame-rate at a given preset, but also image quality.
We then asked AMD about its priorities in developing RDNA 4, and explain why they'd ranked something high or something else a bit low. Their priority number 1 was to focus on improving performance in areas that gamers care about the most. You should expect in this generation to see big ray tracing improvements, big MLops (AI acceleration) improvements, for things like FSR 4 and ML Super Resolution.
The second priority is that every component on the GPU is designed for efficiency, not just in terms of energy efficiency, but in terms of the things that will allow AMD to price the product competitively—the right manufacturing process, the right die-size, the right memory type. In other words, AMD is preparing for a very stiff price war against NVIDIA and potentially Intel, where it doesn't want exotic hardware design decisions to erect barriers for the marketing team.
The third and smaller priority was go-to-market. If you recall, AMD was significantly slower than NVIDIA at going to market with the Radeon RX 7000 series. The RX 7900 series arrived at a time when NVIDIA had almost concluded rolling out the RTX 40-series. AMD wants to avoid that this time around, and you should see a fairly brisk set of product launches by AMD in the RX 9000 series.Lastly, AMD refuted performance claims about the RX 9000 series GPUs doing rounds on the Internet. "Nobody has the final driver, not even the board manufacturers, so don't believe performance claims on the Internet," AMD quipped.
77 Comments on AMD Explains Missing RDNA 4 Announcements At CES
390 mm^2 is definitely too large. A guess is that they invested too much area for ray-tracing units. Because a so large chip with so few compute units (64 or 4096 shaders) doesn't make sense.
Let's be clear, this was just the perfect time and chance, to advertise and gone a second breath into the Radeon brand's name, and it's public image. This was about the thing to revive interest into it. And AMD just took a shovel and dug it so deep, where the sun doesn't shine anymore. This is just baffling. Whoever is behind this marketing, is just complete enemy to the AMD's Radeon brand.
And this is after so many AIB cards being already done, so much efforts put into this. This is even worse than a last moment, temporary knee-jerk solution, that Radeon VII was. This is obvious, that AMD has different priorities. But shoving the disgrace towards ow products leaves no confidence for the potential customers.
After this flop, nVidia is just has basically an open road to their entire upcoming stack.
Don't get me wrong, I was always about the mid-range cards (and still am). But where I was hoping AMD would really put pressure on Nvidia, it now seems they'll play the "me, too" card. Again.
This is also the reason why it is the best for AMD to let Su go.
4080S is a 377mm^2 4N die. Either the size of the die is wrong, or the performance is wrong, or the CU count is wrong. Or AMD really screwed the pooch that badly.
Something is wrong.
The only thing that saves AMD for now is the presence of a x86 license.
If anything, what AMD should do is find someone who can concentrate on leading the Radeon division or at least the discrete graphics consumer part of it.
I am confused? When we know that Strix Point is coming? Have you ever seen MSI or Asus release a notebook without a DGPU? Have you ever seen a new format come as fast as the Ally, Legion and the absolute litany of handhelds from that 1 Chinese supplier? You have it in your head that AMD Graphics are useless and are using the drop in GPU revenue as a basis. I asked you if the APUs were a part of those numbers and you came back with moving goal posts. It does not matter how much we do Spy vs Spy AMD still made over 3 billion in profit last quarter. What I don't understand is Nvidia has already won the narrative battle but people still love to bash AMD at every chance like we should be disgusted with what they are offering. Today is not the first time that an uninformed comment that Lisa Su must go shows how deep it goes. I had to add it. Zotac are releasing a handheld. Do they make AMD GPUs? Well they are using an AMD chip in that. How many are using Intel again? can you list them?
Drivers not ready, no units ready, no slides ready for CES...
They went into this keeping hush about RDNA4 because there's nothing ready.
It could also be it's going to be another paper launch product that gets quickly snubbed by orders.
Probably can't fill the fab with this one.
I tried to guide one through choosing components today, she was looking up AM5 boards and it was hella cringe.
I think it might have something to do with young people on old junk and it's mostly right.
"Why is there math in the name?" - Reference to the ASUS TUF GAMING X870-PLUS WIFI AMD AM5 X870 ATX motherboard, 16+2+1, 80A SPS...
"Lol I ain't readin all dat"
"Who's reading cards? I just stick it in the machine and let it do its thing." - In direct reference to these $700+ absolute brick sized video cards...
"Everything I just read, I'm gonna forget ALL of it by tomorrow."
I think that's fair. Artists, autists, what have you...They're not us.
They're built a little different. Maybe incorrectly.
I didn't stick around to get hit with any non-Euclidean slurs so we're good.
Guys, it goes back to what I've been saying about video cards.
People don't give a shit about any of this. They see a familiar brand, ask if it's good and "cool, ship it." Done.
That's how ANY of these companies survive long enough to make a sale.
People don't want to look at specs or DOA stats, they don't google "problems with X" or "why X sucks" they just get it.
If they had the time or energy to pour into even a little bit of that, they probably wouldn't be (starving) artists let alone a skrunkly PNG slideshow.
A lot of them game sometimes but they all tend to hit the go live button ritualistically. They have some good ideas like 1080p60 desktop and VR.
Too bad they don't pay attention to stuff that behaves exactly the way they want.
Makes it even more bizarre on why they decided to completely skip it in the keynote
2. "To this, AMD agreed that it cannot commit to a naming scheme, it constantly assesses the market and consumer behavior, and implements whatever works."
Oh yeah, because you guys TOTALLY know what works, the massive sales compared to the competition show that for suuuure.
Christ I HATE AMD at times.
"The company does not have to prove its ability to create enthusiast-segment GPUs, that's just not where the market is at."
Would have loved if the journalists would have continued on that point, DF member John Linneman has stated that he feels the inclusion of a halo product is needed for product perception and I think that is true to an extend, thought I guess you can have your halo product in a lower segment as well.
Like im sure there would be more real world hype for a super solid super affordable cool fast hatchback from Honda then a Ferrari, the Ferrari is fun but just something to look at on youtube, while the Honda is something you would go and buy as long as it really just wins against the competition, makes on feel good about the purchase.
But man....how long has it been since AMD actually had the top dog, I think the doubled up AMD 295X2 was the last one
The last time AMD innovated in the consumer GPU space was back when they introduced tessellation. And that was actually ATI.
AMD does not pretend. My 7900 card can do RT. It is my position that I don't need those things and therefore will not pay a premium for them. I have lived through PhysX and Hairworks.
You made that comment about the UI because you have never experienced AMD software. If you are into computing it is very granular but I understand that 20 years is a long time. Just like Mccaffee in HP pre-builts.
Yep fake frames, the only reason Nvidia "innovated" is because AMD caught them on raster. AI became a buzzword and the rest is history.