Tuesday, June 27th 2023
NVIDIA Ada Lovelace Successor Set for 2025
According to the NVIDIA roadmap that was spotted in the recently published MLCommons training results, the Ada Lovelace successor is set to come in 2025. The roadmap also reveals the schedule for Hopper Next and Grace Next GPUs, as well as the BlueField-4 DPU.
While the roadmap does not provide a lot of details, it does give us a general idea of when to expect NVIDIA's next GeForce architecture. Since NVIDIA usually launches a new GeForce architecture every two years or so, the latest schedule might sound like a small delay, at least if it plans to launch the Ada Lovelace Next in early 2025 and not later. NVIDIA Pascal was launched in May 2016, Turing in September 2018, Ampere in May 2020, and Ada Lovelace in October 2022.NVIDIA now has a full lineup of GeForce RTX 40 series graphics cards, with some possible future Ti versions. After all, we have just seen the 4-slot cooler for the possible NVIDIA RTX 4090 Ti or TITAN Ada. It is also possible that NVIDIA could launch a refresh at some point next year.
The Grace Next is also scheduled to launch in 2025, and Hopper Next, rumored to be called Blackwell, is coming in the first half of 2024. The same goes for the BlueField-4 DPU, which is also set for 2024.
Source:
HardwareLuxx
While the roadmap does not provide a lot of details, it does give us a general idea of when to expect NVIDIA's next GeForce architecture. Since NVIDIA usually launches a new GeForce architecture every two years or so, the latest schedule might sound like a small delay, at least if it plans to launch the Ada Lovelace Next in early 2025 and not later. NVIDIA Pascal was launched in May 2016, Turing in September 2018, Ampere in May 2020, and Ada Lovelace in October 2022.NVIDIA now has a full lineup of GeForce RTX 40 series graphics cards, with some possible future Ti versions. After all, we have just seen the 4-slot cooler for the possible NVIDIA RTX 4090 Ti or TITAN Ada. It is also possible that NVIDIA could launch a refresh at some point next year.
The Grace Next is also scheduled to launch in 2025, and Hopper Next, rumored to be called Blackwell, is coming in the first half of 2024. The same goes for the BlueField-4 DPU, which is also set for 2024.
85 Comments on NVIDIA Ada Lovelace Successor Set for 2025
Given that the M2 is the smallest product in their stack below the ultra and max and has been sold en mass, it's safe to say by extension that yield is not an issue at this die size on TSMC's latest nodes. Apple is even coming out with chips larger than this 4060 on the more advanced TSMC 3nm shortly.
What's almost impossible is to have bad yields with such a small die, TSMC's processes would have to be catastrophically bad for that to happen, something we know isn't true as I just illustrated. Chances are Nvidia is yielding 95%+ perfect 4060 dies per wafer.
People calling this a 4050 are being generous IMO. Even if you factor in that the 3050 has only 71% of the full die's shaders enabled, if you multiply that by the die size you get an effective die area (the figure that excludes deactivated parts of the die) of 195.96. So at the end of the day you are still getting more effective die area with a 3050 than you are with the 4060. You could very well make an argument that it's between a 4030 and 4050. Surely you jest? Anyone who's been through the recent pandemic would know that just buying a video card and having fun has become a complicated matter.
Your sentiment is an appeal to emotion, in that we should just forget all the things that have happened and the horrendous pricing of video cards and buy buy buy without a second thought. My sentiment is the opposite, in that I'm going to point out precisely everything that's wrong with the pricing and the cards themselves. We as enthusiasts have a duty to hold these companies to account not only for our own sake but for everyone in the market. There are many non-enthusiasts who aren't vocal that are price sensitive. The deterioration of value in the GPU market could easily lead to PC loosing it's status as the top platform. Of course in general you shouldn't need a reason to point out a bad product or pricing. The specs and price speak for themselves, the contextualization of that data just makes it apparent.
nV isn't cornered to release anything stronger than 4090 for now I gues.. even a Ti variant will come with a hefty 2K price and extra 10% max performance gain? this will give 4090 more chance to even sell better.
Till competition shows up so well and games utilize each drop of the current GPU powers, no need for nVidia to rush anything..
nVidia has no reason to release anything better than the Ada cards. Only a few Tis or super to fill the gaps between tiers.
I find it normal for nvidia to delay the next gpu release and practically wouldn’t have made any difference if they even postponed it for 2026.
The consoles and the devs are the ones that have to catch up.
AMD has the chance to release a new product line before nvidia…. Quite unlikely though.
The whole progression curve is grinding to a near-halt. We have exhausted power budget, die space, and refinements on the node itself are entirely a foundry affair.
Games will expand further by pushing harder on VRAM; DLSS/FSR will alleviate that a little bit, if supported.
Further performance must be gained from trickery instead, again, DLSS/FSR is going to be big by pure necessity. Now we know why Nvidia sells Ada on DLSS3.
Games which I'm playing on 2K are getting limited by 8GB vram, but it is okey for now. By 2025. intel shouls release their next gen too if not mistaken.
console gamers living the dream for sure
Hopefully Ada catches dust on shelves until Nvidia lowers the MSRP, if we're not getting anything else for another two years.
"A 12-inch wafer is a lot more expensive today than it was yesterday, and it's not a little bit more expensive, it is a ton more expensive," "Moore's Law is dead … It's completely over, and so the idea that a chip is going to go down in cost over time, unfortunately, is a story of the past."
So, if another generation just means the same or more likely worse price / performance, it only matters to those who want to buy a card faster than RTX 4090 or the coming RTX 4090 Ti. Are you aiming for RTX 5080? Then buy a RTX 4090 now. Are you aiming for RTX 5070? Buy an RTX 4080. And so on. You're getting approximately same performance 2 years earlier, and perhaps cheaper!
The only problem of course is the new backwards incompatible technologies that will come with next generation. New DLSS, no matter how little improved, of course won't work on RTX 40X0 cards. And with the 3 years between releases, Nvidia might completely revamp the raytracing and other RTX effects and try to make old cards obsolete - the only way to force people to "upgrade" in an era of falling price / performance!
The 4090 increased price, even worst considering the 3090 benefited from crazy MSRP's due to the crypto boom. The other cards are all a disaster, they either are bad value or in some cases they are basically the same or even worst then their predecessors, so calling it "priced more reasonably" is definitely using liberties with the term.
You may forget that 3080 10G, 3080 12G, 3080Ti, 3090 are all within 5-7% of difference while the 3090 cost twice the 3080.
the 4070's and 4060's are such a disaster that it's hard to say where is the value, but i guess it scales a little better, even if i think they were priced so you buy the neverending stock of 3060's and 3070's first, not considering those cards on their own. When that happens you'll probably get the "true" price for those cards.
But saying Ada is more appealing than Ampere because at one point in time Ampere cards were much more expensive is just making excuses Nvidia wants you to make. Even the reviewers that explained the higher prices of Ada by comparing them to the scalped record values eventually edited their reviews and deleted that, it didn't go well with the readers. Very few gamers actually bought gaming cards at that time.
That's the right direction?
:p