According to new data from Chinese Customs, China's imports of integrated circuits suffered their steepest annual drop on record in 2023, falling 15.4% to $349.4 billion. The decline marks the second straight year of falling chip imports and can be attributed to economic uncertainty and US export controls on advanced semiconductors. Shipment volumes of imported chips also saw a substantial 10.8% year-over-year decrease as demand within China stagnated. The country's important tech manufacturing sector has struggled under strict zero-Covid policies and a lackluster recovery post-pandemic. Flagship manufacturing companies like TSMC recorded modest declines in 2023 sales, though TSMC still forecasts overall growth this year.

Sentiment plunged further when the Biden administration heightened restrictions on China's access to cutting-edge AI-capable chips from NVIDIA and other top American suppliers. The escalating US export controls have choked off China's pipeline to advanced semiconductors needed for AI and supercomputing applications. However, early positive signs for global semiconductor demand have emerged, with worldwide chip sales rising for the first time in over a year this past November. The increase was driven by growing demand for AI and other emerging technologies that rely on advanced computing chips. While the US seeks to limit China's progress in this key strategic area, an inflection point for the battered global chip sector may be nearing.