Friday, July 31st 2020
NVIDIA in Advanced Talks to Acquire Arm from SoftBank
It was reported last week that NVIDIA is "interested" in acquiring UK chip-design firm Arm from Japan's SoftBank that holds a treasure chest of tech IP. Now Bloomberg reports that things are getting serious between NVIDIA and SoftBank, with the two reportedly engaged in "advanced talks" over the possible acquisition of Arm by NVIDIA. The graphics and scalar compute giant recently surpassed Intel in market capitalization.
With a few quick moves, NVIDIA stands a real chance of displacing Intel as makers of the world's most popular CPU machine architecture, driven mainly by smartphones, tablets, networking infrastructure, wearables, and IoT devices. The Arm architecture is also taking strides into the server space, and Apple recently decided to dump Intel x86 in favor of Arm-powered homebrew SoCs. Arm could cost NVIDIA an arm and a leg. New Street Research LLP estimated Arm's valuation at USD $44 billion if its IPO took off in 2021, and as much as $68 billion by 2025.
Source:
Bloomberg
With a few quick moves, NVIDIA stands a real chance of displacing Intel as makers of the world's most popular CPU machine architecture, driven mainly by smartphones, tablets, networking infrastructure, wearables, and IoT devices. The Arm architecture is also taking strides into the server space, and Apple recently decided to dump Intel x86 in favor of Arm-powered homebrew SoCs. Arm could cost NVIDIA an arm and a leg. New Street Research LLP estimated Arm's valuation at USD $44 billion if its IPO took off in 2021, and as much as $68 billion by 2025.
41 Comments on NVIDIA in Advanced Talks to Acquire Arm from SoftBank
Either way for consumers this is very bad news, as both nvidia and apple are closed companies, which want to profit with closed interfaces and ecosystems and don't give anything to the community without requiring an arm and a leg in return.
I'd say it will be a year from now at the earliest, end of next year or beginning of 2022 is more likely though (assuming gov. guys "green lit" it).
At that point in time (assuming Ampere is "good enough"), NV should have enough cash to buy ARM (or at least have a majority stake on it).
^100% speculation
Nvidia is worst corporate to get ARM into, Apple is also same so is Qualcomm, Samsung. They all compete with each another, Nvidia does a little of ARM but giving this big tech to any of them is nightmarish. Already saw what big M&A's harbor, cancer at peak like Disney now owns Fox production 20th Century Fox, giving them > 45% of Hollywood they dictate a lot on how money comes seeing them others copy Universal made that Fast and Furious, Sony with their garbage Jumanji, Spiderman etc. WB with Superhero nonsense. ATT bought out WB completely and they make and distribute as well. We know how EA is worst for their takeovers and ruining studios. Big M&A must never happen, DoJ does nothing, Adminstration does nothing, Congress does nothing to stop them. Only SoftBank can do it, they have to think properly and they are very much Neutral in this ARM than any company that is wanting to buy them atop Nvidia will have to use debt, I hope this gets really cancelled out. Even Apple doesn't want to buy it, and it would face Regulatory scrutiny heavily for sure.
Ngreedia will ruin it badly. And this whole BS of ARM is super powerful BS is getting boring now, esp with all that drama I will quote myself again on that garbage ARM vs x86 talk always.
What this means for the CPU market is.... difficult to say. At face value this would be incredibly lucrative for NVIDIA considering Arm's revenue from smartphones manufacturers... but... Intel has very recently demonstrated that Lakefield is viable, and then there's the whole "cutting off Huawei" thing...
NVIDIA is definitely making this move in order to become more than just a GPU company but I wonder what their long-term plan is - obviously at some point they intend to leverage Arm's CPU expertise in their GPUs and vice versa... but what form exactly would that take? And will they be able to avoid falling into the typical rut that companies with distinct specialties do when they effectively merge (like AMD and ATI), whereby the time trying to figure out merging allows competitors to catch up and surpass them? Or will they plow a ton of time and money into some Arm CPU + NVIDIA GPU hybrid that has the benefits of neither but the drawbacks of both?
There's just too many variables to speculate in any meaningful way.
And why is everybody screaming "antitrust"? NVIDIA and Arm are currently targeting completely different segments of the market, there is no monopoly created if the former buys the latter. NVIDIA may be buying Arm's de facto monopoly but I don't recall that being against antitrust law. The word "majority" doesn't appear anywhere in that article.
I hope they go the IPO route, because that would be a great stock to own long term.