Friday, July 31st 2020
NVIDIA in Advanced Talks to Acquire Arm from SoftBank
It was reported last week that NVIDIA is "interested" in acquiring UK chip-design firm Arm from Japan's SoftBank that holds a treasure chest of tech IP. Now Bloomberg reports that things are getting serious between NVIDIA and SoftBank, with the two reportedly engaged in "advanced talks" over the possible acquisition of Arm by NVIDIA. The graphics and scalar compute giant recently surpassed Intel in market capitalization.
With a few quick moves, NVIDIA stands a real chance of displacing Intel as makers of the world's most popular CPU machine architecture, driven mainly by smartphones, tablets, networking infrastructure, wearables, and IoT devices. The Arm architecture is also taking strides into the server space, and Apple recently decided to dump Intel x86 in favor of Arm-powered homebrew SoCs. Arm could cost NVIDIA an arm and a leg. New Street Research LLP estimated Arm's valuation at USD $44 billion if its IPO took off in 2021, and as much as $68 billion by 2025.
Source:
Bloomberg
With a few quick moves, NVIDIA stands a real chance of displacing Intel as makers of the world's most popular CPU machine architecture, driven mainly by smartphones, tablets, networking infrastructure, wearables, and IoT devices. The Arm architecture is also taking strides into the server space, and Apple recently decided to dump Intel x86 in favor of Arm-powered homebrew SoCs. Arm could cost NVIDIA an arm and a leg. New Street Research LLP estimated Arm's valuation at USD $44 billion if its IPO took off in 2021, and as much as $68 billion by 2025.
41 Comments on NVIDIA in Advanced Talks to Acquire Arm from SoftBank
Unless it's a "US move" to assume control of future standards.
Nvidia is at an disadvantage. They are unchallenged in software support and absolute compute power on the GPU front. They have recently acquired some high speed network chip maker I believe to complete their I/O part. Now they really need the CPU side to complete their integration. Yes ARM CPU will be weaker compared to AMD and Intel's offering. But it would gave Nvidia full package control instead of relying on say AMD's EPYC completely.
In an ideal world if Nvidia can get their hands on Cyrix / VIA's x86 it would be amazing. With Nvidia's R&D track record they would make some decent x86 CPUs.
Also AI and GPU computing is not a small market. If you sit through Nvidia's Youtube GDC presentation you will see there are loads of opportunities here.
I hope Nvidia's acquisition of ARM materializes.
Who knows how this Apple move will go, but right now they are all in on it. Depending on whether this turns out to be a good move, Apple will be dependant on Nvidia, not just on ARM. So it could just be a smart investment to eventually basically shake out Apple for as much as they can. Which, Apple has more than $ 100 billion just sitting there in the bank and that's an older number I heard.
Not doubting the usefulness of ARM design. But it is also too early to call this end of x86.
There is no strict RSIC vs CISC as most designs try to learn from what the others are doing better. x86 will it superior abosolute performance and compatibility will still dominate the HPC market for the foreseeable future.
Nvidia buying ARM could be the best thing happening for both Intel and the consumer market.
We get faster and cheaper cpu:s.
Don't forget the fastest supercomputer in the world is now officially ARM-based. It beat the now second-best x86 supercomputer by a factor of 2.8x ! The only reason ARM may have problems taking over the HPC market, is simply because of the enormous investments already made into x86 over the years. But customers aren't going to stay loyal to x86, if ARM suddenly is seen as a better choice. Here's a Link to an article.
On top of that, there could still be a cross-licensing deal of some kind between VIA and Intel that could prevent them from transferring their existing Intel-licensed portion of x86 tech in the event of a sale (if they even still have any). I'm speculating on that because otherwise why wouldn't somebody have bought out VIA a long time ago specifically for that purpose? Or bought out AMD for that matter when their stock was at $2.70-ish per share back in 2014(?) and a lot of people were thinking they were about ready to fold?
As far as Cyrix-specific x86 tech, the patents on all that expired long ago so there's really no need to buy anything. Sure, circuits can be copyrighted now and protected even after the patent expires, but change the values of all the resistors and capacitors by tiny percentage that doesn't effect the circuit, move the layout around a bit, and you just circumvented that. But, it's old-ass tech that's not going to do much good without licensing the newer stuff with it.
Bottom line whether any of that is even semi-accurate or not: For whatever reason, I don't think they have any interest in x86 at all:
As much as their corporate practices sickens me, I have to admit that nVida aren't stupid, and they have very talented engineers, and plenty of them, and plenty of resources to hire more. If they wanted x86 tech, they would probably design it themselves just like Cyrix did, except unlike Cyrix, they have the money to not get buried alive in legal costs when Intel (and also AMD this time) sues them.
Unreasonable, they both developed and cross licenced technology that makes the world run literally, why would they let a third competitor in they're niche, and market's ,do they look that skint, AMD we're but that still didn't happen.
This would push MIPS and RISC options into use IMHO
They were probably dealing with patent offices in who knows how many countries also though, with who knows how many different laws, so who knows what went on (off the top of my head, I would say patents rarely get filed in a single country anymore).
Yes, I know it is Wikipedia, but good enough for this.
Otherwise, they could get everyone onboard and they go into production, trucks go on the road to deliver the products and suddenly, "Oh, sorry, we changed our minds. The license fees just went up thirty fold." The holder of a patent for a big enough tech could potentially destroy an entire nation's economy that way if enough other companies were on board (although, at least in the US, it would never happen because it would be blatant monopolistic practice).
x86 is completely proprietary though so I don't think Intel, AMD, and VIA would have any such obligations except under their own agreements with each other.
I would think anyway. I'm going to do some more reading on this stuff, learning about law is fun! lol I think I missed my calling...