Friday, May 13th 2022
Micron Reveals 232-layer NAND Flash During Investors Day
During its investors day yesterday, Micron revealed its 232-layer NAND Flash, which for now is the most advanced of its kind. Micron is using what the company calls CMOS Under Array or CuA as the platform to build a pair of TLC stacks on top of, for a total of 232-layers. Each stacked NAND Flash chip is said to have a capacity of 1 Terabit, or 128 GB, so we're not seeing any new capacity increases at this point, compared to the competition, but Micron is promising increased bandwidth node-over-node, so we might end up seeing better performance compared to its competitors. The new NAND Flash is supposed to be optimised for SSDs and other "managed" NAND, such as eMMC and UFS.
Micron also revealed an updated NAND Flash roadmap, with the company planning even more 200 plus layer products before moving to 300 and 400-layer stacks of NAND in the future. The 300-layer stacks are already under structural development, whereas the 400-layer products are still in the very early stages of research. The new 232-layer products are said to go into mass production towards the end of this year, so we shouldn't expect to see products based on Micron's 232-layer NAND until sometime in 2023.
Source:
Micron
Micron also revealed an updated NAND Flash roadmap, with the company planning even more 200 plus layer products before moving to 300 and 400-layer stacks of NAND in the future. The 300-layer stacks are already under structural development, whereas the 400-layer products are still in the very early stages of research. The new 232-layer products are said to go into mass production towards the end of this year, so we shouldn't expect to see products based on Micron's 232-layer NAND until sometime in 2023.
38 Comments on Micron Reveals 232-layer NAND Flash During Investors Day
All this talk about speed, PCIe 4.0 5.0..., but a lot of us still have to use HDDs at the end of the day, because large SSDs are so expensive.
I wouldn't mind even a 3.5" SATA 500MB/s SSD if the price was reasonable. It would still be much faster, quieter, cooler than a HDD. Why is that not a thing?
You can buy a 14 TB HDD for 250.
Or you can buy a 4 TB SSD for 350.
This means that HDDs and SSDs scale across capacities in different ways:
- HDDs start out slightly expensive, but get progressively cheaper as they increase in capacity. New innovations and ultra-high capacity models break this trend somewhat (helium drives, exotic write methods, extreme platter density), but it is generally true.
- SSDs start out very cheap, but price/GB stagnates quickly as you pass the point where the only difference is the amount of flash. And as high capacity SSDs are expensive and thus relatively niche products, they don't benefit from economics of scale to the degree that smaller ones do, rendering them more expensive/GB than their mid-capacity siblings.
Explaining SSDs being more expensive than HDDs only by "corporate greed" or expecting SSDs to match HDDs for price/GB at any point in the foreseeable future just entirely fails to take into account the realities of manufacturing, distributing and selling these products. Unless we see some massive ground-breaking improvement in the fabrication of NAND flash, it'll be years still until we see 2TB SSDs come close to even 4TB HDD pricing today, and that's ... well, that's just reality. The flash for a 2TB SSD alone costs several times more than the retail price of a 2TB HDD.
The thing is that it doesn't work for the users who would not be convinced to pay the premium because the technology doesn't allow to make high capacities cheaper.
Then try to find another technology for faster memory storage which can be manufactured cheap at capacities like 10 - 20 TB.
We need that capacity and speed, and cheap.
And there's good reason for this: for most people, storage needs have dropped significantly in the past decade. Most people are perfectly happy with a 1TB SSD in their laptop (or 128GB in their phone). Of course this is a bit misleading, as they're instead just using someone else's HDDs (aka cloud storage), but the installed capacity for the average PC sold has dropped precipitously since the early 2010s. Streaming and cloud storage killed per-device high capacity storage, and power users have moved to NASes and storage servers, which happily run HDDs as they're generally fast enough for mass storage use and cheaper than anything else that's a reasonable alternative is likely to be in the foreseeable future. Of course there are arguments for current cloud storage practices being rather unsustainable (in terms of cost, drive replacements, and being premised on an idea of growth offsetting low incomes, which also applies to streaming services that are currently struggling in a saturated market), but the solution to that for home users is getting a HDD-equipped NAS, not inventing a new storage technology.
HDDs exist, are fast enough for nearly all mass storage needs, and are quite cheap per capacity. You don't need more than ~150MB/s for media storage, which is also typically mostly sequential reads, which HDDs handle just fine. Very few people have an explicit need for a multi-TB game library, for example. I mean, we can always dream of more for less, but that doesn't mean it will happen in the near future.
There's an inherent problem with this dream: (nearly?) all solid state storage is dependent on silicon lithography, and silicon lithography is expensive compared to making a HDD. Stacked 3D flash is a good way of offsetting this, as it significantly increases per die area storage capacity without sacrificing endurance or performance. So unless one finds a way to drastically increase density, cut lithography costs, or both, this is just going to continue on its current trajectory of slow-and-steady flash price drops. And it's not going to catch up to HDD pricing at mid-to-high capacities. That just isn't technologically feasible. Flash allows for better performance and higher density, but not lower pricing outside of the extreme low end of capacities.
For a large boot drive you can get a 1tb drive for ~70€ today, granted you can get HDDs like the WD blue for about 30 or 35€ but that's one of the slowest hdds on the market.