Friday, December 4th 2020

1 Hour Power Outage at Micron Manufacturing Plant Could Mean Increased DRAM Prices Throughout 2021

Semiconductor manufacturing is a risky business. Not only is it heavily capital-intensive, which means that even some state-backed would-be players can fail in pooling together the required resources for an industry break-in; but the entire nature of the manufacturing process is a delicate balance of materials, nearly-endless fabrication, cleanup, and QA testing. Wafer manufacturing can take months between the initial fabrication stages through to the final packaging process; and this means that power outages or material contamination can jeopardize an outrageous number of in-fabrication semiconductors.

Recent news as covered by DigiTimes place one of Micron's fabrication plants in Taiwan as being hit with a 1-hour long power outage, which can potentially affect 10% of the entire predictable DRAM supply for the coming months (a power outage affects every step of the manufacturing process). Considering the increased demand for DRAM components due to the COVID-19 pandemic and associated demand for DRAM-inside products such as PCs, DIY DRAM, laptops, and tablets, industry players are now expecting a price hike for DRAM throughout 2021 until this sudden supply constraint is dealt with. As we know, DRAM manufacturers and resellers are a fickle bunch when it comes to increasing prices in even the slightest, dream-like hint of reduced supply. It remains to be seen how much of this 10% DRAM supply is actually salvageable, but projecting from past experience, a price hike seems to be all but guaranteed.
Sources: DigiTimes, via reddit
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86 Comments on 1 Hour Power Outage at Micron Manufacturing Plant Could Mean Increased DRAM Prices Throughout 2021

#76
rtwjunkie
PC Gaming Enthusiast
TheUn4seenYou guys seem fairly outraged about something you have no knowledge of.
As an example: My wife does high-level auditing in corporations. A few years ago a certain biomedical company lost more than a billion Euros after a similar power outage lasting less than two hours. Why no backup power? Well, their factory uses almost five megawatts. They would need a small power plant as a backup power source, which actually wouldn't help, as generator startup takes a lot of time and the most losses were due to cooling/refrigeration failures which are time critical. A semiconductor manufacturing plant uses way more power and is at least as vulnerable to the loss of filtration, temperature control and production progression. I can tell you from experience, if a complex production line stops, the reset time takes hours if not days, the products and half-products which were on the line have to be junked and it's generally a bad day for everyone.
It's like I said earlier. One hour power loss leads to a much longer down time. Not to mention anything in production at the time is done for. It has to be a fresh start.

I worked for a year and a half back in the day at the former IBM manufacturing plant in Essex Jct, VT. The amount of power necessary there in 5 different production buildings meant that no immediate emergency power backup can sustain the critical states of production power necessary.
Posted on Reply
#77
remixedcat
Don't these plants have n+4 redundancy?? Like data centers do??!!

Hell the chemical plants and window mfr plants got 4 phase and several have 2 grids.. and they don't make RAM !! They make windows and polymers and stuff..
newtekie1Wait, you're telling me a huge fab like this didn't have backup generators? There is no excuse for this.
No generators or multiple grids.. they might have had a couple of 450VA "UPSes" for the marketing dept.
Posted on Reply
#78
bug
TheUn4seenYou guys seem fairly outraged about something you have no knowledge of.
As an example: My wife does high-level auditing in corporations. A few years ago a certain biomedical company lost more than a billion Euros after a similar power outage lasting less than two hours. Why no backup power? Well, their factory uses almost five megawatts. They would need a small power plant as a backup power source, which actually wouldn't help, as generator startup takes a lot of time and the most losses were due to cooling/refrigeration failures which are time critical. A semiconductor manufacturing plant uses way more power and is at least as vulnerable to the loss of filtration, temperature control and production progression. I can tell you from experience, if a complex production line stops, the reset time takes hours if not days, the products and half-products which were on the line have to be junked and it's generally a bad day for everyone.
Wth is wrong with you? Coming into a forum and trying to teach people out of their knee-jerk reactions? :kookoo:
Posted on Reply
#79
krusha03
I can't find numbers for DUV, but one EUV system apparently uses about 1MW of power. I want to see the UPS/generator/battery pack for running bunch of these for 1 hour.. :D
Posted on Reply
#80
ThrashZone
Hi,
To think they don't have a backup generator is really sad lol
Posted on Reply
#81
bug
ThrashZoneHi,
To think they don't have a backup generator is really sad lol
To think this was addressed at least twice in this very thread and still you felt the need to post this isn't much happier.
Posted on Reply
#82
ThrashZone
bugTo think this was addressed at least twice in this very thread and still you felt the need to post this isn't much happier.
Hi,
lol yeah but you assume I read all replies and I doubt anyone said it exactly as I
So can we assume greenpeace got to them and insisted they use wind and solar instead of natual gas generators and the wind wasn't blowing and it was cloudy or at night without full moon :-)
Posted on Reply
#83
rtwjunkie
PC Gaming Enthusiast
ThrashZoneHi,
lol yeah but you assume I read all replies and I doubt anyone said it exactly as I
So can we assume greenpeace got to them and insisted they use wind and solar instead of natual gas generators and the wind wasn't blowing and it was cloudy or at night without full moon :)
You probably should have read the replies. It’s been answered, and it’s only 4 pages. ;)
Posted on Reply
#84
R-T-B
krusha03I can't find numbers for DUV, but one EUV system apparently uses about 1MW of power. I want to see the UPS/generator/battery pack for running bunch of these for 1 hour.. :D
I withdraw my point in light of that data.
Posted on Reply
#85
krusha03
R-T-BI withdraw my point in light of that data.
Are you saying I changed someone's opinion on the internet using simple fact and logic? 2020 is a crazy year indeed :laugh:
Posted on Reply
#86
R0H1T
No not really, or maybe you did btw what year is this o_O
Posted on Reply
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