Wednesday, July 17th 2024
Qualcomm Snapdragon X "Copilot+" AI PCs Only Accounted for 0.3% of PassMark Benchmark Runs
The much-anticipated revolution in AI-powered personal computing seems to be off to a slower start than expected. Qualcomm's Snapdragon X CPUs, touted as game-changers in the AI PC market, have struggled to gain significant traction since their launch. Recent data from PassMark, a popular benchmarking software, reveals that Snapdragon X CPUs account for a mere 0.3% of submissions in the past 30 days. This is a massive contrast to the 99.7% share held by traditional x86 processors from Intel and AMD, which raises questions about the immediate future of ARM-based PCs. The underwhelming adoption comes despite bold predictions from industry leaders. Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon had projected that ARM-based CPUs could capture up to 50% of the Windows PC market by 2029. Similarly, ARM's CEO anticipated a shift away from x86's long-standing dominance.
However, it turns out that these PCs are primarily bought for the battery life, not their AI capabilities. Of course, it's premature to declare Arm's Windows venture a failure. The AI PC market is still in its infancy, and upcoming mid-tier laptops featuring Snapdragon X Elite CPUs could boost adoption rates. A lot of time still needs to pass before the volume of these PCs reaches millions of units shipped by x86 makers. The true test will come with the launch of AMD's Ryzen AI 300 and Intel's Lunar Lake CPUs, providing a clearer picture of how ARM-based options compare in AI performance. As the AI PC landscape evolves, Qualcomm faces mounting pressure. NVIDIA's anticipated entry into the market and significant performance improvements in next-generation x86 processors from Intel and AMD pose a massive challenge. The coming months will be crucial in determining whether Snapdragon X CPUs can live up to their initial hype and carve out a significant place in the AI PC ecosystem.
Sources:
PassMark (on X), via Wccftech
However, it turns out that these PCs are primarily bought for the battery life, not their AI capabilities. Of course, it's premature to declare Arm's Windows venture a failure. The AI PC market is still in its infancy, and upcoming mid-tier laptops featuring Snapdragon X Elite CPUs could boost adoption rates. A lot of time still needs to pass before the volume of these PCs reaches millions of units shipped by x86 makers. The true test will come with the launch of AMD's Ryzen AI 300 and Intel's Lunar Lake CPUs, providing a clearer picture of how ARM-based options compare in AI performance. As the AI PC landscape evolves, Qualcomm faces mounting pressure. NVIDIA's anticipated entry into the market and significant performance improvements in next-generation x86 processors from Intel and AMD pose a massive challenge. The coming months will be crucial in determining whether Snapdragon X CPUs can live up to their initial hype and carve out a significant place in the AI PC ecosystem.
28 Comments on Qualcomm Snapdragon X "Copilot+" AI PCs Only Accounted for 0.3% of PassMark Benchmark Runs
0,3% is alot, considering they just released. 99,99% of people don't even run benchmarks on PCs they buy, so those 50+ runs are most likely done by the reviewers and enthusiasts.
Either way, the figure's probably not as meaningful without a number detailing how often users of either types run PassMark, a specific system benchmark among numerous choices.
I can see a 20% market share by 2027.
AI marketing affects as mostly, by breaking our nerves for now, but it might sell to typical consumers who will be amazed by it, even not knowing what exactly is.
Another thing I remembered from a Linus sponsored review is the quality of the webcam on ARM based laptops. That could also sell a few.
Seller: "Yes, we have this one with a Qualcomm CPU, it's amazing on battery." :rolleyes:
Consumer: "That's awesome! What else does it have?" :D
Seller: "It's got AI!" :cool:
Consumer: "AI as in artificial intelligence? Wow! What does it do?" o_O
Seller: "Ehm... well... it can... search the web for (inaccurate) answers, I guess?" :slap: :roll:
That's marketing for you. :oops:
But point conceded. :p
Go on... after 5-10 years :D
Heck, Pi foundation should offer a “Pro” option to help advance the market. I wonder who's fault is it here, hardware or MS?
I remember a video done by LTT about how bad Windows was in this compared to Macs. See above and will add, running intensive task, I wonder how far behind x86 currently is, compared to these Qualcomm chips. Dell is still taking bribes from Intel to keep AMD away, so I wonder what is their bribe arrangement with qualcomm and MS in this case. Actually, was AMD Athlon 64 that was released first and MS screwed them by withholding the release of XP 64, to give intel time to release their version of the AMD64 extensions. Did try to find the source of the article explaining this, but it was a long time ago and since search sucks these days… Amazing cats images of course! :)
So this does paint a very bad look into early market penetration and that in my opinion it seems like it's not selling well.
There might also be an argument that early users might also be more biased to run benchmark software due to this being the 'new class of hardware'(windows on arm) that promised great performance. There is no proof for that though, but you might think it makes sense. If true to some extent, it could make up for an even worse picture.
If you look at most 'new' tech that's good it moves alot of initial volume. The initial intel macs and the M1 sold like hotcakes, ipod, iphones, AMD Zen (couldn't keep mobos in stock), the list goes on. Very rarely does a product ease into market penetration without that initial excitement - this is more like an Intel ARC or a microsoft Zune.
I have some friends who work at dell and best buy -- the sales on these are abysmal, and the return rates are also very high. I don't see this gaining share.
Not a chance in hell I would buy into ARM based computer for at least 2-3 years until we see most software running natively. Not interested in emulation rubbish. Softeware companies need to get off their lazy arses and port programs over.
I don't think it'll proceed very quickly because WOA doesn't have the money behind it that Apple did for the transitions you mention but you can also use Apple to argue just the opposite: The transition from OS 9 to OS X was very slow in penetration and happened while Apple was at an ebb and many saw bankruptcy looming. All the decks were stacked against success. I certainly didn't think they were gonna go anywhere and it took a long time before they did. But they did.
I know intel wanted a brand new architecture without the legacy instructions...
Steve Jobs is truly missed