Monday, January 6th 2025
NVIDIA 2025 International CES Keynote: Liveblog
NVIDIA kicks off the 2025 International CES with a bang. The company is expected to debut its new GeForce "Blackwell" RTX 5000 generation of gaming graphics cards. It is also expected to launch new technology, such as neural rendering, and DLSS 4. The company is also expected to highlight a new piece of silicon for Windows on Arm laptops, showcase the next in its Drive PX FSD hardware, and probably even talk about its next-generation "Blackwell Ultra" AI GPU, and if we're lucky, even namedrop "Rubin." Join us, as we liveblog CEO Jensen Huang's keynote address.02:22 UTC: The show is finally underway!02:35 UTC: CTA president Gary Shaprio kicks off the show, introduces Jensen Huang.02:46 UTC: "Tokens are the building blocks of AI"
02:46 UTC: "Do you like my jacket?"02:47 UTC: NVIDIA recounts progress all the way till NV1 and UDA.02:48 UTC: "CUDA was difficult to explain, it took 6 years to get the industry to like it"02:50 UTC: "AI is coming home to GeForce". NVIDIA teases neural material and neural rendering. Rendered on "Blackwell"02:55 UTC: Every single pixel is ray traced, thanks to AI rendering.02:55 UTC: Here it is, the GeForce RTX 5090.03:20 UTC: At least someone is pushing the limits for GPUs.03:22 UTC: Incredible board design.03:22 UTC: RTX 5070 matches RTX 4090 at $550.03:24 UTC: Here's the lineup, available from January.03:24 UTC: RTX 5070 Laptop starts at $1299.03:24 UTC: "The future of computer graphics is neural rendering"03:25 UTC: Laptops powered by RTX Blackwell: staring prices:03:26 UTC: AI has come back to power GeForce.03:28 UTC: Supposedly the Grace Blackwell NVLink72.03:28 UTC: 1.4 ExaFLOPS.03:32 UTC: NVIDIA very sneakily teased a Windows AI PC chip.
03:35 UTC: NVIDIA is teaching generative AI basic physics. NVIDIA Cosmos, a world foundation model.03:41 UTC: NVIDIA Cosmos is trained on 20 million hours of video.
03:43 UTC: Cosmos is open-licensed on GitHub.
03:52 UTC: NVIDIA onboards Toyota for its next generation EV for full-self driving.
03:53 UTC: NVIDIA unveils Thor Blackwell robotics processor.03:53 UTC: Thor is 20x the processing capability of Orin.
03:54 UTC: CUDA is now a functional safe computer thanks to its automobile certifications.04:01 UTC: NVIDIA brought a dozen humanoid robots to the stage.
04:07 UTC: Project DIGITS, is a shrunk down AI supercomputer.04:08 UTC: NVIDIA GB110 "Grace-Blackwell" chip powers DIGITS.
02:46 UTC: "Do you like my jacket?"02:47 UTC: NVIDIA recounts progress all the way till NV1 and UDA.02:48 UTC: "CUDA was difficult to explain, it took 6 years to get the industry to like it"02:50 UTC: "AI is coming home to GeForce". NVIDIA teases neural material and neural rendering. Rendered on "Blackwell"02:55 UTC: Every single pixel is ray traced, thanks to AI rendering.02:55 UTC: Here it is, the GeForce RTX 5090.03:20 UTC: At least someone is pushing the limits for GPUs.03:22 UTC: Incredible board design.03:22 UTC: RTX 5070 matches RTX 4090 at $550.03:24 UTC: Here's the lineup, available from January.03:24 UTC: RTX 5070 Laptop starts at $1299.03:24 UTC: "The future of computer graphics is neural rendering"03:25 UTC: Laptops powered by RTX Blackwell: staring prices:03:26 UTC: AI has come back to power GeForce.03:28 UTC: Supposedly the Grace Blackwell NVLink72.03:28 UTC: 1.4 ExaFLOPS.03:32 UTC: NVIDIA very sneakily teased a Windows AI PC chip.
03:35 UTC: NVIDIA is teaching generative AI basic physics. NVIDIA Cosmos, a world foundation model.03:41 UTC: NVIDIA Cosmos is trained on 20 million hours of video.
03:43 UTC: Cosmos is open-licensed on GitHub.
03:52 UTC: NVIDIA onboards Toyota for its next generation EV for full-self driving.
03:53 UTC: NVIDIA unveils Thor Blackwell robotics processor.03:53 UTC: Thor is 20x the processing capability of Orin.
03:54 UTC: CUDA is now a functional safe computer thanks to its automobile certifications.04:01 UTC: NVIDIA brought a dozen humanoid robots to the stage.
04:07 UTC: Project DIGITS, is a shrunk down AI supercomputer.04:08 UTC: NVIDIA GB110 "Grace-Blackwell" chip powers DIGITS.
446 Comments on NVIDIA 2025 International CES Keynote: Liveblog
I think we're entering the realm of some serious coping right here, 2X FG had ~90-95% scaling and clearly 4X has similar scaling as well from 2X perhaps ever so slightly worse, 85-90%. 5080 with no FG is barely any faster than a 4080 Super in this game, the writing is on the wall.
What would I be coping about? Im just explaining to you how the thing works. Whatever
I know it sounds like craziness, but Apple isn't doing all that bad with their imagination technologies derived graphics silicon, after all.
Apple are way more experienced in this regard than any other "non-GPU" player out here.
On topic: I expected crystal clear vast nothingness from this Blackwell generation but it slightly proved me wrong as prices aren't THAT insane. I assume 5070 Ti will make short work of 4080 in virtually every scenario. 15% IPC gains will be enough for this GPU to become my likely purchase as it'll crawl dangerously close to 8 times the RT performance I have now. And since my pure raster needs are basically covered by whatever GPU beefier than 3080 it's totally a hmmmmmmmm.
This is from the same video, 580% to 1000% is a ~72% increase, that's the scaling from 2X to 4X, from the previous screenshot I posted in order to reach a final percentage of 185% on 4X the starting value must be around ~108%.
This puts the 5080 at a meager ~10-8% faster with 2X FG vs 4080 Super.
Net result, input lag gets even worse, and input lag is the main reason people don't like fake frames in the first place. Not the only reason, but definitely the main one.
More seriously, of the thousand or so demanding titles from the last half decade, only a tiny tiny handful (under 50) actually even support Nvidia's frame-gen.
You can tell from 5090's specs that efficiency is also a problem now. 4090 has 5000 shaders less but also much lower TGP than 5090. Were there any significant architectural changes, it would not end like that. Nvidia brute forced everything towards so called AI features (DLSS, FG). Jensen already stated before that this is the only way for new stage of gaming. I have my doubts, though.
As for new DLSS, please, don't say that 4000 series will be deprived of nothing and basically they just won't support something here, something there, there and also there and god knows where epse as well. RTX 4090 is surely capable (hardware-wise) for new DLSS tech when slower 5080 is capable (and anything below 5080 as well). Or change my mind, give me one real reason why 4090 would not be capable.
RTX 5080 will not beat RTX 4090 in native. Because:
- not enough computing power
- that would negatively affect 4090 sales which is Jensen's golden goose, they can't just release something more powerful and price it 20-30% less, or else they would cripple their own sales
- there will be RTX 5080 Ti with around 14k shaders and this one maybe will be on par with 4090
Performance-wise, from best:
RTX 5090
RTX 4090
RTX 5080 Ti (Super) with around 400W TGP
RTX 5080
RTX 5070 Ti (Super)
RTX 5070
It's also monstrously expensive, if Sony/MS had to design their own, neither one would be making any profit from consoles, even with software sales. Apple gets away with it because they sell more iphones in 6 months then xbox series x/s and ps5/pro have sold combined the ENTIRE generation, and that tech is also used on all their ipads and macs.
I was expecting the 5080 on down to be similar to the Super update. Single digit improvements. They focused on everything other than raster. Can't even buy any old stuff. Shelves are clear at Microcenter. 5080 here I come. I can't believe how hard it is to replace my 6950XT. 7900XTX is only 50% gain. 4080 close to the same. I prefer to at least double my fps when I upgrade. This will be the saddest upgrade ever for me. I previously went from 1060 to 6950XT. That's 4-5x fps improvement. Are we reaching diminishing returns? Good news will be that we don't have to upgrade as often with such measly gains.
I am happy that the core DLSS technologies are improving for all RTX owners probably the best announcement period.
The thing is, there is literally no other way to max out a 4k 240hz monitor without going with MFG. There isn't enough gpu or cpu power to do that on AAA titles, so MFG is very welcome. Wasn't really interested in upgrading but MFG has me thinking