Thursday, August 1st 2024

Intel Reports Q2-2024 Financial Results; Announces $10 Billion Cost Reduction Plan, Shares Fall 20%+

Intel Corporation today reported second-quarter 2024 financial results. "Our Q2 financial performance was disappointing, even as we hit key product and process technology milestones. Second-half trends are more challenging than we previously expected, and we are leveraging our new operating model to take decisive actions that will improve operating and capital efficiencies while accelerating our IDM 2.0 transformation," said Pat Gelsinger, Intel CEO. "These actions, combined with the launch of Intel 18A next year to regain process technology leadership, will strengthen our position in the market, improve our profitability and create shareholder value."

"Second-quarter results were impacted by gross margin headwinds from the accelerated ramp of our AI PC product, higher than typical charges related to non-core businesses and the impact from unused capacity," said David Zinsner, Intel CFO. "By implementing our spending reductions, we are taking proactive steps to improve our profits and strengthen our balance sheet. We expect these actions to meaningfully improve liquidity and reduce our debt balance while enabling us to make the right investments to drive long-term value for shareholders."
Cost-Reduction Plan
As Intel nears the completion of rebuilding a sustainable engine of process technology leadership, it announced a series of initiatives to create a sustainable financial engine that accelerates profitable growth, enables further operational efficiency and agility, and creates capacity for ongoing strategic investment in technology and manufacturing leadership. These initiatives follow the establishment of separate financial reporting for Intel Products and Intel Foundry, which provides a "clean sheet" view of the business and has uncovered significant opportunities to drive meaningful operational and cost efficiencies. The actions include structural and operating realignment across the company, headcount reductions, and operating expense and capital expenditure reductions of more than $10 billion in 2025 compared to previous estimates. As a result of these actions, Intel aims to achieve clear line of sight toward a sustainable business model with the ongoing financial resources and liquidity needed to support the company's long-term strategy.
The plan will enable the next phase of the company's multiyear transformation strategy, and is focused on four key priorities:
  • Reducing Operating Expenses: The company will streamline its operations and meaningfully cut spending and headcount, reducing non-GAAP R&D and marketing, general and administrative (MG&A) to approximately $20 billion in 2024 and approximately $17.5 billion in 2025, with further reductions expected in 2026. Intel expects to reduce headcount by greater than 15% with the majority completed by the end of 2024.
  • Reducing Capital Expenditures: With the end of its historic five-nodes-in-four-years journey firmly in sight, Intel is now shifting its focus toward capital efficiency and investment levels aligned to market requirements. This will reduce gross capital expenditures in 2024 by more than 20% from prior projections, bringing gross capital expenditures in 2024 to between $25 billion and $27 billion. Intel expects net capital spending in 2024 of between $11 billion and $13 billion. In 2025, the company is targeting gross capital expenditures between $20 billion and $23 billion and net capital spending between $12 billion and $14 billion.
  • Reducing Cost of Sales: The company expects to generate $1 billion in savings in non-variable cost of sales in 2025. Product mix will continue to be a headwind next year, contributing to modest YoY improvements to 2025's gross margin.
  • Maintaining Core Investments to Execute Strategy: The company continues to advance its long-term innovation and path to leadership across process technology and products, and the increased efficiency from its actions is expected to further support its execution. In addition, Intel continues to sustain investments to build a resilient and sustainable semiconductor supply chain in the United States and around the world.
Intel is taking the added step of suspending the dividend starting in the fourth quarter, recognizing the importance of prioritizing liquidity to support the investments needed to execute its strategy. The company reiterates its long-term commitment to a competitive dividend as cash flows improve to sustainably higher levels.

In the second quarter, the company generated $2.3 billion in cash from operations and paid dividends of $0.5 billion.
Business Unit Summary
Intel previously announced the implementation of an internal foundry operating model, which took effect in the first quarter of 2024 and created a foundry relationship between its Intel Products business (collectively CCG, DCAI and NEX) and its Intel Foundry business (including Foundry Technology Development, Foundry Manufacturing and Supply Chain, and Foundry Services (formerly IFS)). The foundry operating model is a key component of the company's strategy and is designed to reshape operational dynamics and drive greater transparency, accountability, and focus on costs and efficiency. The company also previously announced its intent to operate Altera as a standalone business beginning in the first quarter of 2024. Altera was previously included in DCAI's segment results. As a result of these changes, the company modified its segment reporting in the first quarter of 2024 to align to this new operating model. All prior-period segment data has been retrospectively adjusted to reflect the way the company internally receives information and manages and monitors its operating segment performance starting in fiscal year 2024. There are no changes to Intel's consolidated financial statements for any prior periods.

Intel Products Highlights
  • CCG: Intel continues to define and drive the AI PC category, shipping more than 15 million AI PCs since December 2023, far more than all of Intel's competitors combined, and on track to ship more than 40 million AI PCs by year-end. Lunar Lake, the company's next-generation AI CPU, achieved production release in July 2024, ahead of schedule, with shipments starting in the third quarter. Lunar Lake will power over 80 new Copilot+ PCs across more than 20 OEMs.
  • DCAI: More than 130 million Intel Xeon processors power data centers around the world today, and at Computex Intel introduced its next-generation Intel Xeon 6 processor with Efficient-cores (E-cores), code-named Sierra Forest, marking the company's first Intel 3 server product architected for high-density, scale-out workloads. Intel expects Intel Xeon 6 processors with Performance-cores (P-cores), code-named Granite Rapids, to begin shipping in the third quarter of 2024. The Intel Gaudi 3 AI accelerator is also on track to launch in the third quarter and is expected to deliver roughly two-times the performance per dollar on both inference and training versus the leading competitor.
  • NEX: Intel announced an array of AI-optimized scale-out Ethernet solutions, including the Intel AI network interface card and foundry chiplets that will launch next year. New infrastructure processing unit (IPU) adaptors for the enterprise are now broadly available and supported by Dell Technologies, Red Hat and others. IPUs will play an increasingly important role in Intel's accelerator portfolio, which the company expects will help drive AI data center growth and profitability in 2025 and beyond. Additionally, Intel and others announced the creation of the Ultra Accelerator Link, a new industry standard dedicated to advancing high-speed, low-latency communication for scale-up AI systems communication in data centers.
Intel Foundry Highlights
  • Intel is nearing the completion of its promised five-nodes-in-four-years strategy, with Intel 18A on track to be manufacturing-ready by the end of this year and production wafer start volumes in the first half of 2025. In July 2024, Intel released to foundry customers the 1.0 PDK for Intel 18A. The company's first two Intel 18A products, Panther Lake for client—the first microprocessor to use RibbonFet, PowerVia and advanced packaging—and Clearwater Forest for servers, are on track to launch in 2025.
  • Ansys, Cadence, Siemens, and Synopsys announced the availability of reference flows for Intel's embedded multi-die interconnect bridge (EMIB) advanced packaging technology, which simplifies the design process and offers design flexibility. The companies also declared readiness for Intel 18A designs.
  • During the quarter, Intel named industry veteran Kevin O'Buckley to lead Foundry Services. The company also recently appointed Dr. Naga Chandrasekaran to lead Intel Foundry Manufacturing and Supply Chain. Their leadership will support Intel's continued development of the first systems foundry for the AI era.
Other Highlights
Intel announced its second Semiconductor Co-Investment Program (SCIP) agreement, the formation of a joint venture with Apollo related to Intel's Fab 34 in Ireland. SCIP is an element of Intel's Smart Capital strategy, a funding approach designed to create financial flexibility to accelerate the company's strategy, including investing in its global manufacturing operations, while maintaining a strong balance sheet.
Q3 2024 Dividend
The company announced that its board of directors has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.125 per share on the company's common stock, which will be payable Sept. 1, 2024, to shareholders of record as of Aug. 7, 2024.

As noted earlier, Intel is suspending the dividend starting in the fourth quarter.
Business Outlook
Intel's guidance for the third quarter of 2024 includes both GAAP and non-GAAP estimates as follows:
Reconciliations between GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures are included below. Actual results may differ materially from Intel's business outlook as a result of, among other things, the factors described under "Forward-Looking Statements" below. The gross margin and EPS outlook are based on the mid-point of the revenue range.

The complete slide-deck follows.
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50 Comments on Intel Reports Q2-2024 Financial Results; Announces $10 Billion Cost Reduction Plan, Shares Fall 20%+

#26
64K
Should be a nervous day for Intel investors when trading begins this morning. This is the biggest reason that I don't invest in individual stocks. I like being able to sleep good at night and not having stomach ulcers.
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#27
Darmok N Jalad
mechtechAnything about execs leading by example and taking a 90% cut
Typically, executives get a fairly nominal base salary, with stock as the primary bonus mechanism. Basically, if the company performs, the execs get "raises" in stock options that they can keep or sell. If they sell, that gets reported. For example:

www.investopedia.com/apple-ceo-tim-cook-sells-shares-valued-at-about-usd88-million-8347443

CEOs aren't kings; they answer to the Board of Directors and shareholders, so when you hear stories about "CEOs giving themselves a raise," this is false, the Board has to approve that, and Board members are usually looking out for the owners of the company first. The CEO can always ask, but it's not up to him. Basically, Pat might still bring home a good salary, but if Intel's stocks tank, he's lost a lot of net worth. Honestly, I can understand why executives make big money--considering the number of livelihoods they are responsible for, you want to offer a really good salary to hopefully get a really good leader. Otherwise there could be the temptation to do something like Enron's execs did, screwing over employees, stockholders and customers.

All that said, even a big salary isn't a guarantee of good performance and ethical behavior. However, it can more often be corporate silos and in-fighting that can cause these big failures. Like at MS, for example, where the Windows and Office teams seem to never be on the same page. A good CEO knows that this ultimately falls on him, and he can only spin this stuff for so long before the truth comes out. Intel has been treading water for too long, and it looks like investors are finally taking notice. I actually wonder how much more runway Pat has with as many issues as we're seeing--Raptor Lake problems, node production issues, big losses in the GPU division. Much of that he inherited, but none of it has improved. I actually wonder if the GPU division is on the list of things to get cut. It doesn't look like it will be profitable any time soon.
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#28
R0H1T
It's not as simple as that, Intel's cross licensing x86-64 from AMD as well & without that they're stuck on 4GB ram.
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#29
phanbuey
usinameGood job Pat, keep the good work!
Looking forward to the market opening
Oh my god these are gonna be spicy.
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#30
64K
Down around 28% so far today. For investors that bought in a few months ago at the highs have seen their investment get cut in half. Assuming they sell today. The loss is just on paper until they sell. I wonder how bad this train wreck will get before working through the defective CPU issue and the likely expensive class action lawsuit.
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#31
phanbuey
64KDown around 28% so far today. For investors that bought in a few months ago at the highs have seen their investment get cut in half. Assuming they sell today. The loss is just on paper until they sell. I wonder how bad this train wreck will get before working through the defective CPU issue and the likely expensive class action lawsuit.
They might hit the single digits, but in the long run IMO still a buy.

If China starts to move on Taiwan intel will be a $100 stock overnight.
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#32
Darmok N Jalad
phanbueyThey might hit the single digits, but in the long run IMO still a buy.

If China starts to move on Taiwan intel will be a $100 stock overnight.
They’ll turn it around I’m sure. It’s really just figuring out what the floor is, and right now they don’t have a lot of bright spots to showcase. Still, they make products that aren’t going away anytime soon, even if they are second-class products for the foreseeable future.
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#33
R0H1T
If that happens what do you think will be the fate of the 2-4(?) trillion dollars of goods that move through Indian/Pacific Ocean in that region?

Intel will be the last thing investors will have to worry about!
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#34
z1n0x
Pat's rear-view mirror appears to be malfunctioning.
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#35
MaMoo
kapone32What does DEI mean? For you to use it in such a negative light. Are you really suggesting that Intel is losing because they do not hire only White European people?
I assumed it meant the bloated admin body. I am not sure about Intel but places like Stanford and Yale have somehow a much larger admin body than academic staff. Yale has >5000 admins for 6000 students. Stanford has 18369 admins for 2323 academics. I assumed that Intel has a sizable DEI admin as well that were hired to meet specific DEI and ESG business objectives.
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#36
GhostRyder
This is a failure of leadership and a focus on the past instead of the future. Intel has been too stuck on its previous dominance that it has made them scrambling to keep up recently which is why we are seeing issues across the board. They need a leadership change just like AMD did back in the day to come back.
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#37
Craptacular
R0H1TIt's not as simple as that, Intel's cross licensing x86-64 from AMD as well & without that they're stuck on 4GB ram.
That is not true at all, Intel designed a 64-bit chip, it was called itanium and was a different design than x86-64. It was their attempt to get people to stop using x86 that way they would have a monopoly because they wouldn't be forced to license to AMD.

Intel did cross licensing so that they wouldn't have to reinvent the wheel to get the 64-bit extension for x86 and reduce the time AMD would have a 64-bit extension for x86 monopoly. Intel is and was more than capable of developing a 64-bit extension for x86. It was just faster to use AMD.
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#38
Tom Yum
CraptacularThat is not true at all, Intel designed a 64-bit chip, it was called itanium and was a different design than x86-64. It was their attempt to get people to stop using x86 that way they would have a monopoly because they wouldn't be forced to license to AMD.

Intel did cross licensing so that they wouldn't have to reinvent the wheel to get the 64-bit extension for x86 and reduce the time AMD would have a 64-bit extension for x86 monopoly. Intel is and was more than capable of developing a 64-bit extension for x86. It was just faster to use AMD.
The point is that Intel and AMD have become so interdependent on each others various x86 patents and licences that they are effectively joint owners of the modern x86 ISA. Neither AMD or Intel could threaten to withdraw their various x86 extensions without effectively losing the ability to make any modern x86 processor.

Intel went with AMD's x64 extension not because it was quicker to implement but because a critical mass of software had already been developed for 'AMD64' (which was introduced in 1999) by the time Intel introduced their x86-64 implementation (2004) once it became clear Itanium was failing against x64 Opteron. MS had also made clear that the AMD64 extension would be THE x64 Windows going forward after the current in-development version was completed (Windows Server 2008). That effectively killed any chance Intel had with Itanium in the consumer and general purpose compute market, leaving Intel with no choice but to adopt AMD64 (rebranded to Intel64, generalised to x86-64). Intel could have tried to develop an alternate x86-64 extension, but by 2003 it was clear an alternative non-compatible x64 extension would fail to get the necessary developer adoption to supplant x86-64.
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#39
Squared
Darmok N JaladAnandtech also had an article on Meteor Lake yields. Basically, yields are terrible on the part of ML that Intel actually fabs, and they are just burning through wafers to get enough supply out the door. They can't afford to have partners go elsewhere for chips (especially now that Qualcomm is in the fray), and they really are taking it in the shorts with their own nodes. At one time, Intel was the best fabricator on the planet, but it's been a long struggle that starts with their 10nm efforts that never really materialized, Intel 7 appears to have been pushed too hard, and now Intel 4 is low-yield. If ever there was a time for Intel's competitors to move in on marketshare, it's now. It does explain AMD's mobile-first push with Zen 5, even if it's only a few weeks earlier.
www.anandtech.com/show/21497/report-intel-meteor-lake-in-short-supply-due-to-yield-issues-intel-running-hot-lots
Intel basically admitted that Intel 4 was struggling when they announced that Sierra Forest and Granite Rapids were moving to Intel 3. Sierra Forest went on sale in June and it has a much larger Intel 3 die than Meteor Lake's Intel 4 die, so it likely has much better yields.
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#40
Panther_Seraphin
Tom YumThe point is that Intel and AMD have become so interdependent on each others various x86 patents and licences that they are effectively joint owners of the modern x86 ISA. Neither AMD or Intel could threaten to withdraw their various x86 extensions without effectively losing the ability to make any modern x86 processor.
This is where the threat of Qualcomm/Apple Silicon is really starting to bite now. While Intel and AMD are almost unwilling partners in a symbiotic relationship at the moment Qualcomm and Apple especially with Rosetta are very quickly making it apparent that x86 has to bring something new/groundbreaking to the table otherwise there is a very viable alternative on the market. Especially in the mobile areas where insane battery life has been claimed for years from both camps but real life usage proves to be a lot lower, Apple/Qualcomm are leaving them completely in the dust without compromising performance.

If I was AMD/Intel I would be looking at RISC and going, we need to put some serious development here because I think purely relying on x86 could very quickly be a dead/dying architecture in the space of a few years.
SquaredIntel basically admitted that Intel 4 was struggling when they announced that Sierra Forest and Granite Rapids were moving to Intel 3. Sierra Forest went on sale in June and it has a much larger Intel 3 die than Meteor Lake's Intel 4 die, so it likely has much better yields.
This to me actually sounds complete the opposite and reeks of desperation. A more complex node (Intel 3) and its a LARGER die than the Intel 4 one its meant to replace with bigger yields? I am highly sceptical as that is not how it works in general!!! Newer generation nodes tend to take quite a while to get to equal failure rates as the previous nodes as the process matures in process and materials and Intel is saying that they have reversed this trend? Please excuse the mountain of salt I need to take with that statement.

The only way I would accept this is if their Intel 3 tech is being made in a completely different foundry to intel 4 and Intel 4 has a fundamental process/material/equiment failure that basically makes it basically unviable.
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#41
Squared
Panther_SeraphinIf I was AMD/Intel I would be looking at RISC and going, we need to put some serious development here because I think purely relying on x86 could very quickly be a dead/dying architecture in the space of a few years.
x86 CPUs started implementing good ideas from RISC philosophy back in the 90s. Since then, ARM has gotten a lot more complex so the differences between ARM and x86 aren't so extreme. And today it shows. Reviews that try to compare Zen 5 to Oryon show very similar native performance at very similar power draw. They're both TSMC N4 CPUs launched at about the same time.
Panther_SeraphinThis to me actually sounds complete the opposite and reeks of desperation. A more complex node (Intel 3) and its a LARGER die than the Intel 4 one its meant to replace with bigger yields? I am highly sceptical as that is not how it works in general!!! Newer generation nodes tend to take quite a while to get to equal failure rates as the previous nodes as the process matures in process and materials and Intel is saying that they have reversed this trend? Please excuse the mountain of salt I need to take with that statement.
Intel 4 is the trial run for Intel 3. Intel 3 is only a minor shrink over Intel 4. Sierra Forest has 144 cores on one die. Meteor Lake has 14 on one die.
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#42
Tech Ninja
People need to focus on the balance sheet at this point. Intel has ALOT of debt. They may have to restructure and issue tons of equity to reduce it.
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#43
Vayra86
Witness the godawful smell of burning old socks! Muahahaha. You will all burn with me! Or, degrade, at least.

-signed, Pat G
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#44
wheresmycar
4th Quarter dividend halting won't wash well with investor confidence. Previous post-pandemic large dividend cuts were already concerning alongside layoffs and reduced employee compensation. Back then you could have only imagined things looking up going forward but that doesn't seem to be the story here.

3-4 fold uptick in returns with 13/14th Gen (and thats not accounting for Intel direct returns) just makes matters worse. I bet AMDs already sharpening their crayons to draw some of that potentially traumatised marketshare and mindshare in red.
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#45
Rullino32
It's strange to see Intel struggling and AMD thriving, it used to be the other way around, almost every single PC I've seen when I was at school had an Intel CPU, from pre-school all the way up to high-school, I remember almost every ads from Euronics showing the Intel jingle whenever they've advertised a high-end computer with an Intel i7, nowadays i don't watch the TV as much as before, but I thought Intel has always been the reliable option since I've had an HP Pavilion PC with an Intel i3-2100 for over a decade, and I thought going for Intel would've made sense since it worked well for me, now that I've made some research about AMD CPUs, I'll consider going for them since they have better upgradability for desktops and good iGPU and possibly better battery life for laptops.

I've heard that Intel had some anti-competitive practices like buying OEM manufacturers to only use their CPUs and if they considered other options they'd be punished in a way or the other, I've heard something similar about Nvidia with their AI and Data Center GPUs, correct me if I'm wrong.
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#46
Totally
64KThis is something that I don't know much about but I guess the question is can the x86 license be transferred to the buyer? I have heard that it can't be when the possibility that AMD could face bankruptcy years ago was discussed here.
Intel is the rights holder. It would be the rights that would be transferred not a license. Buyer would be getting the goose not the eggs.
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#47
Super XP
Intel should have come out earlier about their major CPU issues, but they kept denying it up until its too late.
Rullino32It's strange to see Intel struggling and AMD thriving, it used to be the other way around, almost every single PC I've seen when I was at school had an Intel CPU, from pre-school all the way up to high-school, I remember almost every ads from Euronics showing the Intel jingle whenever they've advertised a high-end computer with an Intel i7, nowadays i don't watch the TV as much as before, but I thought Intel has always been the reliable option since I've had an HP Pavilion PC with an Intel i3-2100 for over a decade, and I thought going for Intel would've made sense since it worked well for me, now that I've made some research about AMD CPUs, I'll consider going for them since they have better upgradability for desktops and good iGPU and possibly better battery life for laptops.

I've heard that Intel had some anti-competitive practices like buying OEM manufacturers to only use their CPUs and if they considered other options they'd be punished in a way or the other, I've heard something similar about Nvidia with their AI and Data Center GPUs, correct me if I'm wrong.
Intel is well known & has been fined for anti -competitive practices for decades now. AMD is doing alright, but they ALWAYS seem to NOT take full advantage of Intel's misery or should I say miseries. And part of that problem is AMD still cannot meet supply demand for its products, where as Intel has the ability to pump more hardware into supply chains in a jiffy. Anyhow, I see AMDs processor market share increasing significantly in the next few quarters.
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#48
csendesmark
"Intel Financials Not Looking Good"
Are you some kind of detective? :D
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#49
wheresmycar
csendesmark"Intel Financials Not Looking Good"
Are you some kind of detective? :D
Its all about "perspective". If you flip it horizontally Intels doing great with more affordable processors unlike a few years ago. I still recall previous generation chips seeing next to zero reduction in price and nowadays you can pick up a 12th Gen 6 core part for as little as £100. So things are looking up for me... (well for the investor maybe not)

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